Predictions › Spain › Real Sociedad II vs Sporting Gijón

LaLiga 2Sat 14 Nov, 15:15 Spain time

Real Sociedad II vs Sporting Gijón prediction

Instalaciones de Zubieta

Real Sociedad IIHome

1.10 : 1.57

expected goals

Sporting GijónAway

26%Real Sociedad II

27%Draw

47%Gijón

Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals

1.31

Quick answer

Our prediction for Real Sociedad II vs Sporting Gijón is Sporting Gijón to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31.

Prediction: Sporting Gijón to win
Chance: 47%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Real Sociedad II 1.1, Sporting Gijón 1.6
Best bet: Over 1.5 goals at 1.31
Both teams to score: 53%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

76% chanceFair price 1.312 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Sporting Gijón to win and Over 2.5

29% chanceFair price 3.491 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Real Sociedad II 26%, the draw 27% and Sporting Gijón 47%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
Real Sociedad II took 3 points from their last 5 games and Sporting Gijón took 12 from 5. Sporting Gijón come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Real Sociedad II won 1 of their last 10 games at home. Sporting Gijón won 6 of their last 11 on the road.
4
Goals
Real Sociedad II score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.6. Sporting Gijón score 1.4 and let in 1.2. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Real Sociedad II games and 11 of Sporting Gijón games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings, Real Sociedad II won 0 and Sporting Gijón won 2 with 0 draws. The last one ended Sporting Gijón 1, Real Sociedad II 0.
6
The safest bet
Over 1.5 goals has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Real Sociedad IIrecent form-4%
Gijónrecent form+4%

Real Sociedad II form W L L L LGijón form W W L W WHome edge in this league 24% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Real Sociedad II vs Sporting Gijón: Sporting Gijón are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Real Sociedad II host Sporting Gijón in the LaLiga 2 on Sat 14 Nov, 15:15 at Instalaciones de Zubieta. Our prediction for Real Sociedad II vs Sporting Gijón is Sporting Gijón to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31.

Real Sociedad II form

Real Sociedad II have 4 wins, 6 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 33 conceded. At home they have 1 win, 4 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Sporting Gijón form

Sporting Gijón have 11 wins, 1 draw and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 24 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Real Sociedad II won 0, Sporting Gijón won 2 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Sporting Gijón 1, Real Sociedad II 0.

Our call

We expect Real Sociedad II to score about 1.1 goals and Sporting Gijón about 1.6. That points to Sporting Gijón to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31. Our bold bet is Sporting Gijón to win and Over 2.5 at 3.49.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Real Sociedad II	Gijón
Games played	20	20
Wins	4	11
Draws	6	1
Losses	10	8
Goals scored	22	28
Goals conceded	33	24
Scored per game	1.1	1.4
Conceded per game	1.6	1.2
Home record	1W 4D 5L	5W 1D 3L
Away record	3W 2D 5L	6W 0D 5L
Clean sheets	15%	30%
Both teams scored	65%	45%
Over 2.5 goals	55%	55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	75%	1.33
Over 2.5 goals	50%	2.01
Over 3.5 goals	28%	3.59
Both teams to score	53%	1.87
Real Sociedad II or Draw	53%	1.90
Sporting Gijón or Draw	74%	1.35
Real Sociedad II to win and Over 2.5	15%	6.76
Sporting Gijón to win and Over 2.5	29%	3.48
Real Sociedad II clean sheet	21%	4.80
Sporting Gijón clean sheet	33%	3.00

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.7%

0-110.2%

1-29.4%

0-28.5%

0-07.7%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Real Sociedad II vs Sporting Gijón?

Our prediction for Real Sociedad II vs Sporting Gijón is Sporting Gijón to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31.

What is the score prediction for Real Sociedad II vs Sporting Gijón?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 1-2. We expect Real Sociedad II to score 1.1 goals and Sporting Gijón 1.6.

Will both teams score in Real Sociedad II vs Sporting Gijón?

Both teams to score has a 53% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of Real Sociedad II last 20 games and 9 of Sporting Gijón last 20.

How are Real Sociedad II playing?

How are Sporting Gijón playing?

What happened when Real Sociedad II and Sporting Gijón last met?

It ended Sporting Gijón 1, Real Sociedad II 0. In the last 2 meetings Real Sociedad II won 0 and Sporting Gijón won 2.

What is the best bet for Real Sociedad II vs Sporting Gijón?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.31, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Real Sociedad II against Gijón. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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