Predictions › Spain › Real Sociedad vs Levante

LaLigaSun 25 Oct, 17:30 Spain time

Real Sociedad vs Levante prediction

Reale Arena

Real SociedadHome

1.85 : 1.15

expected goals

LevanteAway

53%Real Sociedad

24%Draw

23%Levante

Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals

1.26

Quick answer

Our prediction for Real Sociedad vs Levante is Real Sociedad to win, with a 53% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.26.

Prediction: Real Sociedad to win
Chance: 53%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Real Sociedad 1.9, Levante 1.1
Best bet: Over 1.5 goals at 1.26
Both teams to score: 58%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

79% chanceFair price 1.262 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Real Sociedad to win and Over 2.5

35% chanceFair price 2.821 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Real Sociedad 53%, the draw 24% and Levante 23%. The bookmakers agree and make Real Sociedad the favourite at 1.71.
2
Recent form
Real Sociedad took 7 points from their last 5 games and Levante took 5 from 5. Real Sociedad come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Real Sociedad won 3 of their last 10 games at home. Levante won 1 of their last 10 on the road.
4
Goals
Real Sociedad score 1.5 goals a game and let in 1.9. Levante score 1.6 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of Real Sociedad games and 10 of Levante games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings, Real Sociedad won 1 and Levante won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Real Sociedad 2, Levante 0.
6
The safest bet
Over 1.5 goals has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Levanterecent form-1%
Real Sociedadrest between games-5%

Real Sociedad form D W W L LLevante form D L L D WHome edge in this league 35% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Real Sociedad vs Levante: Real Sociedad are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Real Sociedad host Levante in the LaLiga on Sun 25 Oct, 17:30 at Reale Arena. Our prediction for Real Sociedad vs Levante is Real Sociedad to win, with a 53% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.26.

Real Sociedad form

Real Sociedad have 5 wins, 7 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 37 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, L, L, newest first.

Levante form

Levante have 8 wins, 6 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 32 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 4 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, D, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Real Sociedad won 1, Levante won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Real Sociedad 2, Levante 0.

Our call

We expect Real Sociedad to score about 1.9 goals and Levante about 1.1. That points to Real Sociedad to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.26. Our bold bet is Real Sociedad to win and Over 2.5 at 2.82.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Real Sociedad	Levante
Games played	20	20
Wins	5	8
Draws	7	6
Losses	8	6
Goals scored	30	32
Goals conceded	37	32
Scored per game	1.5	1.6
Conceded per game	1.9	1.6
Home record	3W 3D 4L	7W 2D 1L
Away record	2W 4D 4L	1W 4D 5L
Clean sheets	10%	35%
Both teams scored	70%	55%
Over 2.5 goals	60%	50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Real Sociedad to win	51%	1.98	1.71	-13.3%
A Draw	23%	4.43	4.00	-9.6%
Levante to win	22%	4.65	4.20	-9.6%
Over 2.5 goals	54%	1.84	1.59	-13.8%
Under 2.5 goals	42%	2.37	2.25	-4.9%
Real Sociedad -0.5	51%	1.94	1.65	-15.4%
Levante +0.5	45%	2.22	2.00	-9.7%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	81%	1.24
Over 2.5 goals	58%	1.73
Over 3.5 goals	35%	2.84
Both teams to score	58%	1.72
Real Sociedad or Draw	77%	1.30
Levante or Draw	47%	2.14
Real Sociedad to win and Over 2.5	36%	2.77
Levante to win and Over 2.5	14%	6.93
Real Sociedad clean sheet	32%	3.15
Levante clean sheet	16%	6.37

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.2%

2-19.8%

1-08.6%

2-08.5%

1-26.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Real Sociedad vs Levante?

Our prediction for Real Sociedad vs Levante is Real Sociedad to win, with a 53% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.26.

What is the score prediction for Real Sociedad vs Levante?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-0. We expect Real Sociedad to score 1.9 goals and Levante 1.1.

Will both teams score in Real Sociedad vs Levante?

Both teams to score has a 58% chance. Both sides scored in 14 of Real Sociedad last 20 games and 11 of Levante last 20.

How are Real Sociedad playing?

How are Levante playing?

What happened when Real Sociedad and Levante last met?

It ended Real Sociedad 2, Levante 0. In the last 2 meetings Real Sociedad won 1 and Levante won 0.

What is the best bet for Real Sociedad vs Levante?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.26, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Real Sociedad against Levante. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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