Predictions › Spain › Real Valladolid vs Albacete

LaLiga 2Mon 12 Oct, 12:00 Spain time

Real Valladolid vs Albacete prediction

Estadio José Zorrilla

Real ValladolidHome

1.09 : 0.87

expected goals

AlbaceteAway

39%Valladolid

33%Draw

28%Albacete

Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals

1.19

Quick answer

Our prediction for Real Valladolid vs Albacete is Real Valladolid to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.19.

Prediction: Real Valladolid to win
Chance: 39%
Most likely score: 0-0
Expected goals: Real Valladolid 1.1, Albacete 0.9
Best bet: Under 3.5 goals at 1.19
Both teams to score: 39%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals

84% chanceFair price 1.192 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 0-0

15% chanceFair price 6.741 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Real Valladolid 39%, the draw 33% and Albacete 28%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
Real Valladolid took 8 points from their last 5 games and Albacete took 1 from 5. Real Valladolid come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Real Valladolid won 6 of their last 10 games at home. Albacete won 3 of their last 10 on the road.
4
Goals
Real Valladolid score 0.9 goals a game and let in 1.3. Albacete score 1.4 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 of Real Valladolid games and 12 of Albacete games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings, Real Valladolid won 0 and Albacete won 2 with 0 draws. The last one ended Real Valladolid 0, Albacete 1.
6
The safest bet
Under 3.5 goals has a 84% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Valladolidrecent form+1%
Albaceterecent form-6%

Valladolid form W D L W DAlbacete form L L D L LHome edge in this league 22% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Real Valladolid vs Albacete: Real Valladolid shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Real Valladolid host Albacete in the LaLiga 2 on Mon 12 Oct, 12:00 at Estadio José Zorrilla. Our prediction for Real Valladolid vs Albacete is Real Valladolid to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.19.

Real Valladolid form

Real Valladolid have 6 wins, 3 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 18 goals scored and 25 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, W, D, newest first.

Albacete form

Albacete have 7 wins, 3 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Real Valladolid won 0, Albacete won 2 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Real Valladolid 0, Albacete 1.

Our call

We expect Real Valladolid to score about 1.1 goals and Albacete about 0.9. That points to Real Valladolid to win, with 0-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.19. Our bold bet is Correct score 0-0 at 6.74.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Valladolid	Albacete
Games played	20	20
Wins	6	7
Draws	3	3
Losses	11	10
Goals scored	18	27
Goals conceded	25	28
Scored per game	0.9	1.4
Conceded per game	1.3	1.4
Home record	6W 1D 3L	4W 1D 5L
Away record	0W 2D 8L	3W 2D 5L
Clean sheets	25%	10%
Both teams scored	35%	65%
Over 2.5 goals	35%	60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	59%	1.69
Over 2.5 goals	31%	3.19
Over 3.5 goals	14%	7.33
Both teams to score	39%	2.53
Real Valladolid or Draw	72%	1.39
Albacete or Draw	61%	1.65
Real Valladolid to win and Over 2.5	17%	6.02
Albacete to win and Over 2.5	11%	8.93
Real Valladolid clean sheet	42%	2.39
Albacete clean sheet	34%	2.98

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

0-014.8%

1-014.5%

1-114.2%

0-111.4%

2-08.3%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Real Valladolid vs Albacete?

Our prediction for Real Valladolid vs Albacete is Real Valladolid to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.19.

What is the score prediction for Real Valladolid vs Albacete?

0-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 1-1. We expect Real Valladolid to score 1.1 goals and Albacete 0.9.

Will both teams score in Real Valladolid vs Albacete?

Both teams to score has a 39% chance. Both sides scored in 7 of Real Valladolid last 20 games and 13 of Albacete last 20.

How are Real Valladolid playing?

How are Albacete playing?

What happened when Real Valladolid and Albacete last met?

It ended Real Valladolid 0, Albacete 1. In the last 2 meetings Real Valladolid won 0 and Albacete won 2.

What is the best bet for Real Valladolid vs Albacete?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.19, with a 84% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Valladolid against Albacete. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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