Predictions › Spain › Real Valladolid vs Leganés

LaLiga 2Mon 2 Nov, 17:30 Spain time

Real Valladolid vs Leganés prediction

Estadio José Zorrilla

Real ValladolidHome

1.61 : 0.74

expected goals

LeganésAway

58%Valladolid

26%Draw

16%Leganés

Eagle safe pickReal Valladolid or Draw

1.20

Quick answer

Our prediction for Real Valladolid vs Leganés is Real Valladolid to win, with a 58% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Real Valladolid or Draw at 1.20.

Prediction: Real Valladolid to win
Chance: 58%
Most likely score: 1-0
Expected goals: Real Valladolid 1.6, Leganés 0.7
Best bet: Real Valladolid or Draw at 1.20
Both teams to score: 43%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Real Valladolid or Draw

83% chanceFair price 1.202 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Real Valladolid to win and Over 2.5

29% chanceFair price 3.411 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Real Valladolid 58%, the draw 26% and Leganés 16%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
Real Valladolid took 7 points from their last 5 games and Leganés took 3 from 5. Real Valladolid come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Real Valladolid won 5 of their last 9 games at home. Leganés won 1 of their last 10 on the road.
4
Goals
Real Valladolid score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.4. Leganés score 0.7 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 of Real Valladolid games and 9 of Leganés games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings, Real Valladolid won 1 and Leganés won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Real Valladolid 3, Leganés 2.
6
The safest bet
Real Valladolid or Draw has a 83% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Valladolidrecent form+1%
Leganésrecent form-3%
Valladolidrest between games-5%

Valladolid form D L W D WLeganés form D L L L WHome edge in this league 23% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Real Valladolid vs Leganés: Real Valladolid are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Real Valladolid host Leganés in the LaLiga 2 on Mon 2 Nov, 17:30 at Estadio José Zorrilla. Our prediction for Real Valladolid vs Leganés is Real Valladolid to win, with a 58% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Real Valladolid or Draw at 1.20.

Real Valladolid form

Real Valladolid have 5 wins, 4 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 27 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, D, W, newest first.

Leganés form

Leganés have 5 wins, 4 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 13 goals scored and 32 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 2 draws and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Real Valladolid won 1, Leganés won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Real Valladolid 3, Leganés 2.

Our call

We expect Real Valladolid to score about 1.6 goals and Leganés about 0.7. That points to Real Valladolid to win, with 1-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Real Valladolid or Draw at 1.20. Our bold bet is Real Valladolid to win and Over 2.5 at 3.41.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Valladolid	Leganés
Games played	20	20
Wins	5	5
Draws	4	4
Losses	11	11
Goals scored	21	13
Goals conceded	27	32
Scored per game	1.1	0.7
Conceded per game	1.4	1.6
Home record	5W 1D 3L	4W 2D 4L
Away record	0W 3D 8L	1W 2D 7L
Clean sheets	25%	25%
Both teams scored	40%	35%
Over 2.5 goals	40%	45%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	69%	1.45
Over 2.5 goals	42%	2.39
Over 3.5 goals	21%	4.72
Both teams to score	43%	2.35
Real Valladolid or Draw	84%	1.20
Leganés or Draw	42%	2.36
Real Valladolid to win and Over 2.5	31%	3.27
Leganés to win and Over 2.5	7%	13.56
Real Valladolid clean sheet	48%	2.10
Leganés clean sheet	20%	5.02

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-014.6%

2-012.4%

1-112.0%

0-010.2%

2-19.2%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Real Valladolid vs Leganés?

Our prediction for Real Valladolid vs Leganés is Real Valladolid to win, with a 58% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Real Valladolid or Draw at 1.20.

What is the score prediction for Real Valladolid vs Leganés?

1-0 is the most likely score, followed by 2-0 and 1-1. We expect Real Valladolid to score 1.6 goals and Leganés 0.7.

Will both teams score in Real Valladolid vs Leganés?

Both teams to score has a 43% chance. Both sides scored in 8 of Real Valladolid last 20 games and 7 of Leganés last 20.

How are Real Valladolid playing?

How are Leganés playing?

What happened when Real Valladolid and Leganés last met?

It ended Real Valladolid 3, Leganés 2. In the last 2 meetings Real Valladolid won 1 and Leganés won 1.

What is the best bet for Real Valladolid vs Leganés?

Real Valladolid or Draw at 1.20, with a 83% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Valladolid against Leganés. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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