Predictions › Spain › Real Valladolid vs Real Oviedo

LaLiga 2Sun 13 Sept, 14:15 Spain time

Real Valladolid vs Real Oviedo prediction

Estadio José Zorrilla

Real ValladolidHome

1.06 : 0.94

expected goals

Real OviedoAway

37%Valladolid

32%Draw

30%Real Oviedo

Eagle safe pickReal Oviedo +0.5

1.51

Quick answer

Our prediction for Real Valladolid vs Real Oviedo is Real Valladolid to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-0. Our best bet is Real Oviedo +0.5 at 1.51.

Prediction: Real Valladolid to win
Chance: 37%
Most likely score: 0-0
Expected goals: Real Valladolid 1.1, Real Oviedo 0.9
Best bet: Real Oviedo +0.5 at 1.51
Both teams to score: 41%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Real Oviedo +0.5

63% chancePrice 1.511 unit

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 0-0

14% chanceFair price 6.981 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Real Valladolid 37%, the draw 32% and Real Oviedo 30%. The bookmakers agree and make Real Valladolid the favourite at 2.55.
2
Recent form
Real Valladolid took 4 points from their last 5 games and Real Oviedo took 5 from 5. Real Oviedo come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Real Valladolid won 6 of their last 9 games at home. Real Oviedo won 2 of their last 9 on the road.
4
Goals
Real Valladolid score 1.0 goals a game and let in 1.3. Real Oviedo score 0.8 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 of Real Valladolid games and 8 of Real Oviedo games in that run.
5
The safest bet
Real Oviedo +0.5 has a 63% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Valladolidrecent form-3%
Real Oviedorecent form-1%

Valladolid form W D L L LReal Oviedo form D W L D LHome edge in this league 22% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Real Valladolid vs Real Oviedo: Real Valladolid shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Real Valladolid host Real Oviedo in the LaLiga 2 on Sun 13 Sept, 14:15 at Estadio José Zorrilla. Our prediction for Real Valladolid vs Real Oviedo is Real Valladolid to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-0. Our best bet is Real Oviedo +0.5 at 1.51.

Real Valladolid form

Real Valladolid have 6 wins, 4 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 25 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, L, L, newest first.

Real Oviedo form

Real Oviedo have 4 wins, 6 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 15 goals scored and 27 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, D, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Real Valladolid to score about 1.1 goals and Real Oviedo about 0.9. That points to Real Valladolid to win, with 0-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Real Oviedo +0.5 at 1.51. Our bold bet is Correct score 0-0 at 6.98.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Valladolid	Real Oviedo
Games played	20	20
Wins	6	4
Draws	4	6
Losses	10	10
Goals scored	20	15
Goals conceded	25	27
Scored per game	1.0	0.8
Conceded per game	1.3	1.4
Home record	6W 1D 2L	2W 4D 5L
Away record	0W 3D 8L	2W 2D 5L
Clean sheets	30%	35%
Both teams scored	35%	30%
Over 2.5 goals	35%	40%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Real Valladolid to win	34%	2.90	2.55	-12.2%
A Draw	31%	3.26	2.95	-9.6%
Real Oviedo to win	29%	3.43	3.10	-9.7%
Over 1.5 goals	62%	1.62	1.53	-5.6%
Under 1.5 goals	36%	2.78	2.40	-13.6%
Real Valladolid -0.5	35%	2.84	2.40	-15.3%
Real Oviedo +0.5	63%	1.59	1.51	-5.1%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	60%	1.66
Over 2.5 goals	32%	3.09
Over 3.5 goals	14%	6.99
Both teams to score	41%	2.46
Real Valladolid or Draw	70%	1.44
Real Oviedo or Draw	63%	1.59
Real Valladolid to win and Over 2.5	16%	6.28
Real Oviedo to win and Over 2.5	13%	7.89
Real Valladolid clean sheet	39%	2.55
Real Oviedo clean sheet	34%	2.90

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

0-014.3%

1-114.3%

1-013.6%

0-111.8%

2-07.7%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Real Valladolid vs Real Oviedo?

Our prediction for Real Valladolid vs Real Oviedo is Real Valladolid to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-0. Our best bet is Real Oviedo +0.5 at 1.51.

What is the score prediction for Real Valladolid vs Real Oviedo?

0-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 1-0. We expect Real Valladolid to score 1.1 goals and Real Oviedo 0.9.

Will both teams score in Real Valladolid vs Real Oviedo?

Both teams to score has a 41% chance. Both sides scored in 7 of Real Valladolid last 20 games and 6 of Real Oviedo last 20.

How are Real Valladolid playing?

How are Real Oviedo playing?

What is the best bet for Real Valladolid vs Real Oviedo?

Real Oviedo +0.5 at 1.51, with a 63% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Valladolid against Real Oviedo. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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