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Predictions › Brazil › Red Bull Bragantino vs Cruzeiro
BrasileiraoTue 13 Oct, 00:00 Brazil time

Red Bull Bragantino vs Cruzeiro prediction

Estádio Municipal Cicero de Souza Marques

Red Bull BragantinoHome
1.43 : 1.22
expected goals
CruzeiroAway
41%Bragantino
27%Draw
32%Cruzeiro
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.32

Quick answer

Our prediction for Red Bull Bragantino vs Cruzeiro is Red Bull Bragantino to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.32.

Prediction
Red Bull Bragantino to win
Chance
41%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Red Bull Bragantino 1.4, Cruzeiro 1.2
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.32
Both teams to score
54%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
76% chanceFair price 1.322 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
13% chanceFair price 7.651 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Red Bull Bragantino 41%, the draw 27% and Cruzeiro 32%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Red Bull Bragantino took 4 points from their last 5 games and Cruzeiro took 9 from 5. Cruzeiro come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Red Bull Bragantino won 5 of their last 10 games at home. Cruzeiro won 5 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Red Bull Bragantino score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.1. Cruzeiro score 1.6 and let in 1.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Red Bull Bragantino games and 13 of Cruzeiro games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Red Bull Bragantino won 0 and Cruzeiro won 2 with 0 draws. The last one ended Cruzeiro 2, Red Bull Bragantino 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Bragantinorecent form-3%
  • Cruzeirorecent form-1%
Bragantino form L D L L WCruzeiro form W L W L LHome edge in this league 38% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Red Bull Bragantino vs Cruzeiro: Red Bull Bragantino shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Red Bull Bragantino host Cruzeiro in the Brasileirao on Tue 13 Oct, 00:00 at Estádio Municipal Cicero de Souza Marques. Our prediction for Red Bull Bragantino vs Cruzeiro is Red Bull Bragantino to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.32.

Red Bull Bragantino form

Red Bull Bragantino have 8 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 23 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, L, W, newest first.

Cruzeiro form

Cruzeiro have 10 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 23 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Red Bull Bragantino won 0, Cruzeiro won 2 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Cruzeiro 2, Red Bull Bragantino 1.

Our call

We expect Red Bull Bragantino to score about 1.4 goals and Cruzeiro about 1.2. That points to Red Bull Bragantino to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.32. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.65.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

BragantinoCruzeiro
Games played2020
Wins810
Draws45
Losses85
Goals scored2832
Goals conceded2323
Scored per game1.41.6
Conceded per game1.11.1
Home record5W 1D 4L5W 2D 2L
Away record3W 3D 4L5W 3D 3L
Clean sheets30%15%
Both teams scored55%80%
Over 2.5 goals50%65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals75%1.33
Over 2.5 goals49%2.03
Over 3.5 goals27%3.64
Both teams to score54%1.84
Red Bull Bragantino or Draw68%1.46
Cruzeiro or Draw59%1.69
Red Bull Bragantino to win and Over 2.524%4.09
Cruzeiro to win and Over 2.518%5.43
Red Bull Bragantino clean sheet29%3.40
Cruzeiro clean sheet24%4.16

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.1%
1-09.3%
2-18.8%
0-17.9%
0-07.8%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Red Bull Bragantino vs Cruzeiro?

Our prediction for Red Bull Bragantino vs Cruzeiro is Red Bull Bragantino to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.32.

What is the score prediction for Red Bull Bragantino vs Cruzeiro?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-1. We expect Red Bull Bragantino to score 1.4 goals and Cruzeiro 1.2.

Will both teams score in Red Bull Bragantino vs Cruzeiro?

Both teams to score has a 54% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Red Bull Bragantino last 20 games and 16 of Cruzeiro last 20.

How are Red Bull Bragantino playing?

Red Bull Bragantino have 8 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 23 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, L, W, newest first.

How are Cruzeiro playing?

Cruzeiro have 10 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 23 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Red Bull Bragantino and Cruzeiro last met?

It ended Cruzeiro 2, Red Bull Bragantino 1. In the last 2 meetings Red Bull Bragantino won 0 and Cruzeiro won 2.

What is the best bet for Red Bull Bragantino vs Cruzeiro?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.32, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Bragantino against Cruzeiro. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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