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BrasileiraoMon 2 Nov, 23:00 Brazil time

Red Bull Bragantino vs Santos prediction

Estádio Municipal Cicero de Souza Marques

Red Bull BragantinoHome

1.54 : 1.61

expected goals

SantosAway

36%Bragantino

25%Draw

39%Santos

Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals

1.21

Quick answer

Our prediction for Red Bull Bragantino vs Santos is Santos to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.21.

Prediction: Santos to win
Chance: 39%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Red Bull Bragantino 1.5, Santos 1.6
Best bet: Over 1.5 goals at 1.21
Both teams to score: 64%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

83% chanceFair price 1.212 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Santos to win and Over 2.5

26% chanceFair price 3.811 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Red Bull Bragantino 36%, the draw 25% and Santos 39%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
Red Bull Bragantino took 5 points from their last 5 games and Santos took 10 from 5. Santos come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Red Bull Bragantino won 5 of their last 10 games at home. Santos won 6 of their last 11 on the road.
4
Goals
Red Bull Bragantino score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.2. Santos score 1.7 and let in 1.5. Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 of Red Bull Bragantino games and 15 of Santos games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings, Red Bull Bragantino won 0 and Santos won 1 with 1 draw. The last one ended Santos 2, Red Bull Bragantino 0.
6
The safest bet
Over 1.5 goals has a 83% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Bragantinorecent form-1%
Santosrecent form+1%

Bragantino form D W D L LSantos form D L D W WHome edge in this league 39% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Red Bull Bragantino vs Santos: Santos shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Red Bull Bragantino host Santos in the Brasileirao on Mon 2 Nov, 23:00 at Estádio Municipal Cicero de Souza Marques. Our prediction for Red Bull Bragantino vs Santos is Santos to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.21.

Red Bull Bragantino form

Red Bull Bragantino have 7 wins, 6 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, D, L, L, newest first.

Santos form

Santos have 9 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 34 goals scored and 30 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Red Bull Bragantino won 0, Santos won 1 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Santos 2, Red Bull Bragantino 0.

Our call

We expect Red Bull Bragantino to score about 1.5 goals and Santos about 1.6. That points to Santos to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.21. Our bold bet is Santos to win and Over 2.5 at 3.81.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Bragantino	Santos
Games played	20	20
Wins	7	9
Draws	6	5
Losses	7	6
Goals scored	28	34
Goals conceded	24	30
Scored per game	1.4	1.7
Conceded per game	1.2	1.5
Home record	5W 2D 3L	3W 3D 3L
Away record	2W 4D 4L	6W 2D 3L
Clean sheets	20%	15%
Both teams scored	60%	75%
Over 2.5 goals	40%	75%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	83%	1.21
Over 2.5 goals	61%	1.64
Over 3.5 goals	39%	2.58
Both teams to score	64%	1.57
Red Bull Bragantino or Draw	61%	1.64
Santos or Draw	64%	1.57
Red Bull Bragantino to win and Over 2.5	25%	3.99
Santos to win and Over 2.5	27%	3.67
Red Bull Bragantino clean sheet	20%	5.01
Santos clean sheet	21%	4.68

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.2%

1-28.5%

2-18.2%

2-26.6%

0-16.2%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Red Bull Bragantino vs Santos?

Our prediction for Red Bull Bragantino vs Santos is Santos to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.21.

What is the score prediction for Red Bull Bragantino vs Santos?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 2-1. We expect Red Bull Bragantino to score 1.5 goals and Santos 1.6.

Will both teams score in Red Bull Bragantino vs Santos?

Both teams to score has a 64% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Red Bull Bragantino last 20 games and 15 of Santos last 20.

How are Red Bull Bragantino playing?

How are Santos playing?

What happened when Red Bull Bragantino and Santos last met?

It ended Santos 2, Red Bull Bragantino 0. In the last 2 meetings Red Bull Bragantino won 0 and Santos won 1.

What is the best bet for Red Bull Bragantino vs Santos?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.21, with a 83% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Bragantino against Santos. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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