Predictions › United States › Red Bull New York vs Atlanta United FC
MLSSat 7 Nov, 16:00 United States time

Red Bull New York vs Atlanta United FC prediction

Sports Illustrated Stadium

Red Bull New YorkHome
1.28 : 1.43
expected goals
Atlanta United FCAway
33%Red Bull NY
27%Draw
40%Atlanta
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
-328

Quick answer

Our prediction for Red Bull New York vs Atlanta United FC is Atlanta United FC to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -328.

Prediction
Atlanta United FC to win
Chance
40%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Red Bull New York 1.3, Atlanta United FC 1.4
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at -328
Both teams to score
55%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
77% chanceFair price -3282 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
13% chanceFair price +6731 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Red Bull New York 33%, the draw 27% and Atlanta United FC 40%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Red Bull New York took 6 points from their last 5 games and Atlanta United FC took 4 from 5. Red Bull New York come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Red Bull New York won 4 of their last 11 games at home. Atlanta United FC won 3 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Red Bull New York score 1.3 goals a game and let in 1.4. Atlanta United FC score 1.4 and let in 1.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Red Bull New York games and 14 of Atlanta United FC games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Red Bull New York won 0 and Atlanta United FC won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Atlanta United FC 2, Red Bull New York 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Red Bull NYrecent form-3%
  • Atlantarecent form-1%
Red Bull NY form D L L W LAtlanta form D L W L DHome edge in this league 26% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Red Bull New York vs Atlanta United FC: Atlanta United FC shade it

The big picture

Red Bull New York host Atlanta United FC in the MLS on Sat 7 Nov, 16:00 at Sports Illustrated Stadium. Our prediction for Red Bull New York vs Atlanta United FC is Atlanta United FC to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -328.

Red Bull New York form

Red Bull New York have 8 wins, 3 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, L, newest first.

Atlanta United FC form

Atlanta United FC have 5 wins, 5 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 36 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Red Bull New York won 0, Atlanta United FC won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Atlanta United FC 2, Red Bull New York 1.

Our call

We expect Red Bull New York to score about 1.3 goals and Atlanta United FC about 1.4. That points to Atlanta United FC to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at -328. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at +673.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Red Bull NYAtlanta
Games played2020
Wins85
Draws35
Losses910
Goals scored2527
Goals conceded2936
Scored per game1.31.4
Conceded per game1.41.8
Home record4W 2D 5L2W 1D 6L
Away record4W 1D 4L3W 4D 4L
Clean sheets20%15%
Both teams scored55%70%
Over 2.5 goals50%70%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals76%-315
Over 2.5 goals51%-103
Over 3.5 goals29%+249
Both teams to score55%-125
Red Bull New York or Draw60%-151
Atlanta United FC or Draw67%-203
Red Bull New York to win and Over 2.520%+408
Atlanta United FC to win and Over 2.524%+313
Red Bull New York clean sheet24%+316
Atlanta United FC clean sheet28%+258

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.9%
0-18.8%
1-28.7%
1-07.8%
2-17.8%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Red Bull New York vs Atlanta United FC?

Our prediction for Red Bull New York vs Atlanta United FC is Atlanta United FC to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -328.

What is the score prediction for Red Bull New York vs Atlanta United FC?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 1-2. We expect Red Bull New York to score 1.3 goals and Atlanta United FC 1.4.

Will both teams score in Red Bull New York vs Atlanta United FC?

Both teams to score has a 55% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Red Bull New York last 20 games and 14 of Atlanta United FC last 20.

How are Red Bull New York playing?

Red Bull New York have 8 wins, 3 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, L, newest first.

How are Atlanta United FC playing?

Atlanta United FC have 5 wins, 5 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 36 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, D, newest first.

What happened when Red Bull New York and Atlanta United FC last met?

It ended Atlanta United FC 2, Red Bull New York 1. In the last 1 meeting Red Bull New York won 0 and Atlanta United FC won 1.

What is the best bet for Red Bull New York vs Atlanta United FC?

Over 1.5 goals at -328, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Red Bull NY against Atlanta. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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