Predictions › United States › Red Bull New York vs Inter Miami CF
MLSSat 24 Oct, 17:30 United States time

Red Bull New York vs Inter Miami CF prediction

Sports Illustrated Stadium

Red Bull New YorkHome
1.51 : 2.31
expected goals
Inter Miami CFAway
24%Red Bull NY
21%Draw
55%Miami
Eagle safe pickInter Miami CF or Draw
-307

Quick answer

Our prediction for Red Bull New York vs Inter Miami CF is Inter Miami CF to win, with a 55% chance. The most likely score is 1-2. Our best bet is Inter Miami CF or Draw at -307.

Prediction
Inter Miami CF to win
Chance
55%
Most likely score
1-2
Expected goals
Red Bull New York 1.5, Inter Miami CF 2.3
Best bet
Inter Miami CF or Draw at -307
Both teams to score
71%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Inter Miami CF or Draw
75% chanceFair price -3072 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Inter Miami CF to win and Over 2.5
44% chanceFair price +1281 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Red Bull New York 24%, the draw 21% and Inter Miami CF 55%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Red Bull New York took 9 points from their last 5 games and Inter Miami CF took 6 from 5. Red Bull New York come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Red Bull New York won 3 of their last 11 games at home. Inter Miami CF won 4 of their last 8 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Red Bull New York score 1.3 goals a game and let in 1.6. Inter Miami CF score 2.6 and let in 1.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Red Bull New York games and 15 of Inter Miami CF games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Red Bull New York won 0 and Inter Miami CF won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Inter Miami CF 2, Red Bull New York 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Inter Miami CF or Draw has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Red Bull NY form D L W W LMiami form D L D W DHome edge in this league 27% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Red Bull New York vs Inter Miami CF: Inter Miami CF are favourites

The big picture

Red Bull New York host Inter Miami CF in the MLS on Sat 24 Oct, 17:30 at Sports Illustrated Stadium. Our prediction for Red Bull New York vs Inter Miami CF is Inter Miami CF to win, with a 55% chance. The most likely score is 1-2. Our best bet is Inter Miami CF or Draw at -307.

Red Bull New York form

Red Bull New York have 7 wins, 4 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 33 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, L, newest first.

Inter Miami CF form

Inter Miami CF have 9 wins, 7 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 52 goals scored and 36 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, D, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Red Bull New York won 0, Inter Miami CF won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Inter Miami CF 2, Red Bull New York 2.

Our call

We expect Red Bull New York to score about 1.5 goals and Inter Miami CF about 2.3. That points to Inter Miami CF to win, with 1-2 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Inter Miami CF or Draw at -307. Our bold bet is Inter Miami CF to win and Over 2.5 at +128.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Red Bull NYMiami
Games played2020
Wins79
Draws47
Losses94
Goals scored2652
Goals conceded3336
Scored per game1.32.6
Conceded per game1.61.8
Home record3W 3D 5L5W 5D 2L
Away record4W 1D 4L4W 2D 2L
Clean sheets15%20%
Both teams scored55%80%
Over 2.5 goals50%75%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals90%-886
Over 2.5 goals73%-275
Over 3.5 goals53%-113
Both teams to score71%-240
Red Bull New York or Draw45%+122
Inter Miami CF or Draw76%-312
Red Bull New York to win and Over 2.519%+429
Inter Miami CF to win and Over 2.545%+124
Red Bull New York clean sheet10%+903
Inter Miami CF clean sheet22%+353

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-28.8%
1-18.1%
1-36.8%
2-26.7%
0-25.9%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Red Bull New York vs Inter Miami CF?

Our prediction for Red Bull New York vs Inter Miami CF is Inter Miami CF to win, with a 55% chance. The most likely score is 1-2. Our best bet is Inter Miami CF or Draw at -307.

What is the score prediction for Red Bull New York vs Inter Miami CF?

1-2 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 1-3. We expect Red Bull New York to score 1.5 goals and Inter Miami CF 2.3.

Will both teams score in Red Bull New York vs Inter Miami CF?

Both teams to score has a 71% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Red Bull New York last 20 games and 16 of Inter Miami CF last 20.

How are Red Bull New York playing?

Red Bull New York have 7 wins, 4 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 33 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, L, newest first.

How are Inter Miami CF playing?

Inter Miami CF have 9 wins, 7 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 52 goals scored and 36 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, D, D, newest first.

What happened when Red Bull New York and Inter Miami CF last met?

It ended Inter Miami CF 2, Red Bull New York 2. In the last 1 meeting Red Bull New York won 0 and Inter Miami CF won 0.

What is the best bet for Red Bull New York vs Inter Miami CF?

Inter Miami CF or Draw at -307, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Red Bull NY against Miami. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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