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Predictions › United States › Red Bull New York vs San Diego FC
MLSSat 10 Oct, 19:30 United States time

Red Bull New York vs San Diego FC prediction

Sports Illustrated Stadium

Red Bull New YorkHome
1.32 : 1.69
expected goals
San Diego FCAway
29%Red Bull NY
25%Draw
46%San Diego
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
-364

Quick answer

Our prediction for Red Bull New York vs San Diego FC is San Diego FC to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -364.

Prediction
San Diego FC to win
Chance
46%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Red Bull New York 1.3, San Diego FC 1.7
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at -364
Both teams to score
60%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
78% chanceFair price -3642 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

San Diego FC to win and Over 2.5
30% chanceFair price +2331 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Red Bull New York 29%, the draw 25% and San Diego FC 46%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Red Bull New York took 7 points from their last 5 games and San Diego FC took 2 from 5. Red Bull New York come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Red Bull New York won 2 of their last 10 games at home. San Diego FC won 1 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Red Bull New York score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.8. San Diego FC score 1.6 and let in 1.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Red Bull New York games and 13 of San Diego FC games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 78% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • San Diegorecent form-4%
  • Red Bull NYrest between games-5%
Red Bull NY form L W W L DSan Diego form D D L L LHome edge in this league 27% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Red Bull New York vs San Diego FC: San Diego FC are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Red Bull New York host San Diego FC in the MLS on Sat 10 Oct, 19:30 at Sports Illustrated Stadium. Our prediction for Red Bull New York vs San Diego FC is San Diego FC to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -364.

Red Bull New York form

Red Bull New York have 6 wins, 4 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 36 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, D, newest first.

San Diego FC form

San Diego FC have 5 wins, 6 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 37 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 4 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, D, L, L, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Red Bull New York to score about 1.3 goals and San Diego FC about 1.7. That points to San Diego FC to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at -364. Our bold bet is San Diego FC to win and Over 2.5 at +233.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Red Bull NYSan Diego
Games played2020
Wins65
Draws46
Losses109
Goals scored2333
Goals conceded3637
Scored per game1.11.6
Conceded per game1.81.9
Home record2W 3D 5L4W 2D 4L
Away record4W 1D 5L1W 4D 5L
Clean sheets15%20%
Both teams scored55%60%
Over 2.5 goals50%65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals81%-424
Over 2.5 goals58%-138
Over 3.5 goals36%+181
Both teams to score60%-153
Red Bull New York or Draw54%-119
San Diego FC or Draw71%-242
Red Bull New York to win and Over 2.519%+422
San Diego FC to win and Over 2.531%+224
Red Bull New York clean sheet18%+444
San Diego FC clean sheet27%+274

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.6%
1-29.3%
0-17.7%
2-17.2%
0-27.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news
MLS

San Diego Holds Inter Miami to Fourth Straight Draw Despite Messi Goal

Lionel Messi scored his 101st goal for Inter Miami, but a late equalizer from San Diego's Anders Dreyer forced a 2-2 draw on Sunday night.

21 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Red Bull New York vs San Diego FC?

Our prediction for Red Bull New York vs San Diego FC is San Diego FC to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -364.

What is the score prediction for Red Bull New York vs San Diego FC?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 0-1. We expect Red Bull New York to score 1.3 goals and San Diego FC 1.7.

Will both teams score in Red Bull New York vs San Diego FC?

Both teams to score has a 60% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Red Bull New York last 20 games and 12 of San Diego FC last 20.

How are Red Bull New York playing?

Red Bull New York have 6 wins, 4 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 36 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, D, newest first.

How are San Diego FC playing?

San Diego FC have 5 wins, 6 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 37 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 4 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, D, L, L, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Red Bull New York vs San Diego FC?

Over 1.5 goals at -364, with a 78% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Red Bull NY against San Diego. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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