EagleEyeOdds eagleEagleEyeOddsToday's picks
PredictionsBest bets by countryKenyaNigeriaGhanaSouth AfricaUnited KingdomUnited StatesIndiaTanzaniaUgandaZambiaCameroonIvory CoastAll 54 countriesNewsOur recordHow Eagle 2.0 worksResponsible gambling
Predictions › Conference League › Red Star Belgrade vs F.C. København
Conference LeagueThu 22 Oct, 16:45 UTC

Red Star Belgrade vs F.C. København prediction

Rajko Mitic Stadium

Red Star BelgradeHome
1.31 : 1.76
expected goals
F.C. KøbenhavnAway
28%Red Star
25%Draw
47%København
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.26

Quick answer

Our prediction for Red Star Belgrade vs F.C. København is F.C. København to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.26.

Prediction
F.C. København to win
Chance
47%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Red Star Belgrade 1.3, F.C. København 1.8
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.26
Both teams to score
61%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
79% chanceFair price 1.262 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

F.C. København to win and Over 2.5
31% chanceFair price 3.241 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Red Star Belgrade 28%, the draw 25% and F.C. København 47%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Red Star Belgrade took 10 points from their last 5 games and F.C. København took 12 from 5. F.C. København come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Red Star Belgrade won 2 of their last 5 games at home. F.C. København won 8 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Red Star Belgrade score 0.8 goals a game and let in 0.8. F.C. København score 2.9 and let in 0.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 of Red Star Belgrade games and 17 of F.C. København games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Red Starrecent form-1%
  • Københavnrecent form+6%
  • Red Starrest between games-3%
  • Københavnrest between games-5%
Red Star form L W L L WKøbenhavn form D W W W WHome edge in this league 38% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Red Star Belgrade vs F.C. København: F.C. København are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Red Star Belgrade host F.C. København in the Conference League on Thu 22 Oct, 16:45 at Rajko Mitic Stadium. Our prediction for Red Star Belgrade vs F.C. København is F.C. København to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.26.

Red Star Belgrade form

Red Star Belgrade have 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 10 games, with 8 goals scored and 8 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 5. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, W, W, newest first.

F.C. København form

F.C. København have 16 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 58 goals scored and 19 conceded. Away from home they have 8 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Red Star Belgrade to score about 1.3 goals and F.C. København about 1.8. That points to F.C. København to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.26. Our bold bet is F.C. København to win and Over 2.5 at 3.24.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Red StarKøbenhavn
Games played1020
Wins516
Draws21
Losses33
Goals scored858
Goals conceded819
Scored per game0.82.9
Conceded per game0.80.9
Home record2W 2D 1L8W 0D 1L
Away record3W 0D 2L8W 1D 2L
Clean sheets50%45%
Both teams scored30%50%
Over 2.5 goals10%85%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals82%1.22
Over 2.5 goals59%1.69
Over 3.5 goals37%2.72
Both teams to score61%1.64
Red Star Belgrade or Draw53%1.90
F.C. København or Draw72%1.39
Red Star Belgrade to win and Over 2.519%5.40
F.C. København to win and Over 2.533%3.06
Red Star Belgrade clean sheet17%5.81
F.C. København clean sheet27%3.70

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.3%
1-29.4%
0-17.5%
0-27.2%
2-17.0%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Red Star Belgrade vs F.C. København?

Our prediction for Red Star Belgrade vs F.C. København is F.C. København to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.26.

What is the score prediction for Red Star Belgrade vs F.C. København?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 0-1. We expect Red Star Belgrade to score 1.3 goals and F.C. København 1.8.

Will both teams score in Red Star Belgrade vs F.C. København?

Both teams to score has a 61% chance. Both sides scored in 3 of Red Star Belgrade last 10 games and 10 of F.C. København last 20.

How are Red Star Belgrade playing?

Red Star Belgrade have 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 10 games, with 8 goals scored and 8 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 5. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, W, W, newest first.

How are F.C. København playing?

F.C. København have 16 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 58 goals scored and 19 conceded. Away from home they have 8 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Red Star Belgrade vs F.C. København?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.26, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Red Star against København. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
  • 18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
  • Betting can harm you. If it stops being fun, if you chase losses, or if you hide it from people close to you, stop and get help. Free and private support is available from BeGambleAware, GamCare and Gamblers Anonymous. Read our responsible gambling page for tools that block betting sites.

Full terms are on our disclaimer and terms pages.

Note: Never stake money you need for rent, food, bills or anyone who depends on you.