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Predictions › Conference League › Red Star Belgrade vs Inter D'Escaldes
Conference LeagueThu 5 Nov, 17:45 UTC

Red Star Belgrade vs Inter D'Escaldes prediction

Rajko Mitic Stadium

Red Star BelgradeHome
1.49 : 1.23
expected goals
Inter D'EscaldesAway
42%Red Star
27%Draw
31%Inter D'Escaldes
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.30

Quick answer

Our prediction for Red Star Belgrade vs Inter D'Escaldes is Red Star Belgrade to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.30.

Prediction
Red Star Belgrade to win
Chance
42%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Red Star Belgrade 1.5, Inter D'Escaldes 1.2
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.30
Both teams to score
56%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
77% chanceFair price 1.302 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Red Star Belgrade to win and Over 2.5
25% chanceFair price 3.971 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Red Star Belgrade 42%, the draw 27% and Inter D'Escaldes 31%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Red Star Belgrade took 5 points from their last 5 games and Inter D'Escaldes took 0 from 2. Red Star Belgrade come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Goals

    Red Star Belgrade score 1.0 goals a game and let in 1.1. Inter D'Escaldes score 0.5 and let in 2.5. Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of Red Star Belgrade games and 1 of Inter D'Escaldes games in that run.

  4. 4
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Red Starrecent form-3%
Red Star form D L L W LInter D'Escaldes form D L D D WHome edge in this league 36% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Red Star Belgrade vs Inter D'Escaldes: Red Star Belgrade shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Red Star Belgrade host Inter D'Escaldes in the Conference League on Thu 5 Nov, 17:45 at Rajko Mitic Stadium. Our prediction for Red Star Belgrade vs Inter D'Escaldes is Red Star Belgrade to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.30.

Red Star Belgrade form

Red Star Belgrade have 5 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in their last 12 games, with 12 goals scored and 13 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 6. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, W, D, newest first.

Inter D'Escaldes form

Inter D'Escaldes have 0 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses in their last 2 games, with 1 goals scored and 5 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss from 1. Their last 2 results read L, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Red Star Belgrade to score about 1.5 goals and Inter D'Escaldes about 1.2. That points to Red Star Belgrade to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.30. Our bold bet is Red Star Belgrade to win and Over 2.5 at 3.97.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 12 games in all competitions.

Red StarInter D'Escaldes
Games played122
Wins50
Draws30
Losses42
Goals scored121
Goals conceded135
Scored per game1.00.5
Conceded per game1.12.5
Home record2W 3D 1L0W 0D 1L
Away record3W 0D 3L0W 0D 1L
Clean sheets42%0%
Both teams scored42%50%
Over 2.5 goals25%50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals76%1.31
Over 2.5 goals51%1.95
Over 3.5 goals29%3.44
Both teams to score56%1.80
Red Star Belgrade or Draw69%1.44
Inter D'Escaldes or Draw58%1.74
Red Star Belgrade to win and Over 2.526%3.83
Inter D'Escaldes to win and Over 2.518%5.47
Red Star Belgrade clean sheet29%3.43
Inter D'Escaldes clean sheet23%4.44

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.8%
1-09.1%
2-19.0%
1-27.4%
0-17.4%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Red Star Belgrade vs Inter D'Escaldes?

Our prediction for Red Star Belgrade vs Inter D'Escaldes is Red Star Belgrade to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.30.

What is the score prediction for Red Star Belgrade vs Inter D'Escaldes?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-1. We expect Red Star Belgrade to score 1.5 goals and Inter D'Escaldes 1.2.

Will both teams score in Red Star Belgrade vs Inter D'Escaldes?

Both teams to score has a 56% chance. Both sides scored in 5 of Red Star Belgrade last 12 games and 1 of Inter D'Escaldes last 2.

How are Red Star Belgrade playing?

Red Star Belgrade have 5 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in their last 12 games, with 12 goals scored and 13 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 6. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, W, D, newest first.

How are Inter D'Escaldes playing?

Inter D'Escaldes have 0 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses in their last 2 games, with 1 goals scored and 5 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss from 1. Their last 2 results read L, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Red Star Belgrade vs Inter D'Escaldes?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.30, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Red Star against Inter D'Escaldes. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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