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Predictions › France › Red Star FC 93 vs Metz
Ligue 2Mon 14 Sept, 18:45 France time

Red Star FC 93 vs Metz prediction

Stade Bauer

Red Star FC 93Home
1.17 : 1.14
expected goals
MetzAway
36%Red Star FC
30%Draw
34%Metz
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.21

Quick answer

Our prediction for Red Star FC 93 vs Metz is Red Star FC 93 to win, with a 36% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.21.

Prediction
Red Star FC 93 to win
Chance
36%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Red Star FC 93 1.2, Metz 1.1
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.21
Both teams to score
48%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
83% chanceFair price 1.212 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
14% chanceFair price 7.121 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Red Star FC 93 36%, the draw 30% and Metz 34%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Red Star FC 93 took 8 points from their last 5 games and Metz took 9 from 5. Metz come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Red Star FC 93 won 4 of their last 11 games at home. Metz won 0 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Red Star FC 93 score 1.3 goals a game and let in 1.4. Metz score 0.9 and let in 1.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Red Star FC 93 games and 11 of Metz games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 83% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Red Star FC recent form+1%
  • Metzrecent form+3%
Red Star FC form W L D D WMetz form W D D D WHome edge in this league 11% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Red Star FC 93 vs Metz: Red Star FC 93 shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Red Star FC 93 host Metz in the Ligue 2 on Mon 14 Sept, 18:45 at Stade Bauer. Our prediction for Red Star FC 93 vs Metz is Red Star FC 93 to win, with a 36% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.21.

Red Star FC 93 form

Red Star FC 93 have 8 wins, 7 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 27 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, D, W, newest first.

Metz form

Metz have 2 wins, 8 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 35 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, D, D, D, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Red Star FC 93 to score about 1.2 goals and Metz about 1.1. That points to Red Star FC 93 to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.21. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.12.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Red Star FC Metz
Games played2020
Wins82
Draws78
Losses510
Goals scored2619
Goals conceded2735
Scored per game1.30.9
Conceded per game1.41.8
Home record4W 5D 2L2W 3D 6L
Away record4W 2D 3L0W 5D 4L
Clean sheets30%25%
Both teams scored60%50%
Over 2.5 goals50%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals68%1.47
Over 2.5 goals41%2.46
Over 3.5 goals20%4.94
Both teams to score48%2.10
Red Star FC 93 or Draw66%1.52
Metz or Draw64%1.56
Red Star FC 93 to win and Over 2.518%5.51
Metz to win and Over 2.517%5.76
Red Star FC 93 clean sheet32%3.13
Metz clean sheet31%3.22

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-114.0%
1-010.8%
0-010.7%
0-110.5%
2-17.7%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Red Star FC 93 vs Metz?

Our prediction for Red Star FC 93 vs Metz is Red Star FC 93 to win, with a 36% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.21.

What is the score prediction for Red Star FC 93 vs Metz?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 0-0. We expect Red Star FC 93 to score 1.2 goals and Metz 1.1.

Will both teams score in Red Star FC 93 vs Metz?

Both teams to score has a 48% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Red Star FC 93 last 20 games and 10 of Metz last 20.

How are Red Star FC 93 playing?

Red Star FC 93 have 8 wins, 7 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 27 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, D, W, newest first.

How are Metz playing?

Metz have 2 wins, 8 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 35 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, D, D, D, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Red Star FC 93 vs Metz?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.21, with a 83% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Red Star FC against Metz. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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