Predictions › France › Red Star FC 93 vs Pau
Ligue 2Fri 20 Nov, 19:00 France time

Red Star FC 93 vs Pau prediction

Stade Bauer

Red Star FC 93Home
1.26 : 1.79
expected goals
PauAway
26%Red Star FC
24%Draw
49%Pau
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.23

Quick answer

Our prediction for Red Star FC 93 vs Pau is Pau to win, with a 49% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.23.

Prediction
Pau to win
Chance
49%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Red Star FC 93 1.3, Pau 1.8
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.23
Both teams to score
60%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
81% chanceFair price 1.232 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Pau to win and Over 2.5
33% chanceFair price 3.021 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Red Star FC 93 26%, the draw 24% and Pau 49%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Red Star FC 93 took 3 points from their last 5 games and Pau took 12 from 5. Pau come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Red Star FC 93 won 4 of their last 10 games at home. Pau won 5 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Red Star FC 93 score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.4. Pau score 1.3 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Red Star FC 93 games and 10 of Pau games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Red Star FC 93 won 1 and Pau won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Red Star FC 93 0, Pau 3.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 81% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Red Star FC recent form-4%
  • Paurecent form+4%
Red Star FC form L L L L WPau form L W W W WHome edge in this league 10% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Red Star FC 93 vs Pau: Pau are favourites

The big picture

Red Star FC 93 host Pau in the Ligue 2 on Fri 20 Nov, 19:00 at Stade Bauer. Our prediction for Red Star FC 93 vs Pau is Pau to win, with a 49% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.23.

Red Star FC 93 form

Red Star FC 93 have 10 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 27 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, W, newest first.

Pau form

Pau have 9 wins, 3 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 31 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Red Star FC 93 won 1, Pau won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Red Star FC 93 0, Pau 3.

Our call

We expect Red Star FC 93 to score about 1.3 goals and Pau about 1.8. That points to Pau to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.23. Our bold bet is Pau to win and Over 2.5 at 3.02.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Red Star FC Pau
Games played2020
Wins109
Draws43
Losses68
Goals scored2925
Goals conceded2731
Scored per game1.41.3
Conceded per game1.41.6
Home record4W 3D 3L4W 2D 4L
Away record6W 1D 3L5W 1D 4L
Clean sheets30%25%
Both teams scored60%50%
Over 2.5 goals50%50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals82%1.23
Over 2.5 goals59%1.70
Over 3.5 goals36%2.74
Both teams to score60%1.66
Red Star FC 93 or Draw51%1.96
Pau or Draw74%1.36
Red Star FC 93 to win and Over 2.517%5.76
Pau to win and Over 2.534%2.97
Red Star FC 93 clean sheet17%5.98
Pau clean sheet28%3.54

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.3%
1-29.5%
0-17.8%
0-27.5%
2-16.8%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Red Star FC 93 vs Pau?

Our prediction for Red Star FC 93 vs Pau is Pau to win, with a 49% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.23.

What is the score prediction for Red Star FC 93 vs Pau?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 0-1. We expect Red Star FC 93 to score 1.3 goals and Pau 1.8.

Will both teams score in Red Star FC 93 vs Pau?

Both teams to score has a 60% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Red Star FC 93 last 20 games and 10 of Pau last 20.

How are Red Star FC 93 playing?

Red Star FC 93 have 10 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 27 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, W, newest first.

How are Pau playing?

Pau have 9 wins, 3 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 31 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Red Star FC 93 and Pau last met?

It ended Red Star FC 93 0, Pau 3. In the last 2 meetings Red Star FC 93 won 1 and Pau won 1.

What is the best bet for Red Star FC 93 vs Pau?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.23, with a 81% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Red Star FC against Pau. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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