Predictions › France › Red Star FC 93 vs Saint-Étienne

Ligue 2Sat 17 Oct, 18:00 France time

Red Star FC 93 vs Saint-Étienne prediction

Stade Bauer

Red Star FC 93Home

1.21 : 1.45

expected goals

Saint-ÉtienneAway

31%Red Star FC

27%Draw

42%St. Étienne

Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals

1.33

Quick answer

Our prediction for Red Star FC 93 vs Saint-Étienne is Saint-Étienne to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.33.

Prediction: Saint-Étienne to win
Chance: 42%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Red Star FC 93 1.2, Saint-Étienne 1.4
Best bet: Over 1.5 goals at 1.33
Both teams to score: 54%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

75% chanceFair price 1.332 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1

13% chanceFair price 7.691 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Red Star FC 93 31%, the draw 27% and Saint-Étienne 42%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
Red Star FC 93 took 10 points from their last 5 games and Saint-Étienne took 10 from 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.
3
Home and away
Red Star FC 93 won 5 of their last 11 games at home. Saint-Étienne won 4 of their last 10 on the road.
4
Goals
Red Star FC 93 score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.3. Saint-Étienne score 2.1 and let in 0.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Red Star FC 93 games and 15 of Saint-Étienne games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings, Red Star FC 93 won 1 and Saint-Étienne won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Saint-Étienne 2, Red Star FC 93 0.
6
The safest bet
Over 1.5 goals has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Red Star FC recent form+3%
St. Étiennerecent form+3%

Red Star FC form W W W L DSt. Étienne form D L W W WHome edge in this league 10% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Red Star FC 93 vs Saint-Étienne: Saint-Étienne shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Red Star FC 93 host Saint-Étienne in the Ligue 2 on Sat 17 Oct, 18:00 at Stade Bauer. Our prediction for Red Star FC 93 vs Saint-Étienne is Saint-Étienne to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.33.

Red Star FC 93 form

Red Star FC 93 have 10 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 25 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, D, newest first.

Saint-Étienne form

Saint-Étienne have 13 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 42 goals scored and 19 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Red Star FC 93 won 1, Saint-Étienne won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Saint-Étienne 2, Red Star FC 93 0.

Our call

We expect Red Star FC 93 to score about 1.2 goals and Saint-Étienne about 1.4. That points to Saint-Étienne to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.33. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.69.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Red Star FC	St. Étienne
Games played	20	20
Wins	10	13
Draws	5	3
Losses	5	4
Goals scored	27	42
Goals conceded	25	19
Scored per game	1.4	2.1
Conceded per game	1.3	0.9
Home record	5W 4D 2L	9W 0D 1L
Away record	5W 1D 3L	4W 3D 3L
Clean sheets	35%	40%
Both teams scored	55%	50%
Over 2.5 goals	50%	75%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	75%	1.33
Over 2.5 goals	50%	2.01
Over 3.5 goals	28%	3.61
Both teams to score	54%	1.84
Red Star FC 93 or Draw	58%	1.72
Saint-Étienne or Draw	69%	1.45
Red Star FC 93 to win and Over 2.5	18%	5.56
Saint-Étienne to win and Over 2.5	25%	3.98
Red Star FC 93 clean sheet	23%	4.26
Saint-Étienne clean sheet	30%	3.36

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.0%

0-19.4%

1-28.9%

1-07.7%

0-07.7%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Red Star FC 93 vs Saint-Étienne?

Our prediction for Red Star FC 93 vs Saint-Étienne is Saint-Étienne to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.33.

What is the score prediction for Red Star FC 93 vs Saint-Étienne?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 1-2. We expect Red Star FC 93 to score 1.2 goals and Saint-Étienne 1.4.

Will both teams score in Red Star FC 93 vs Saint-Étienne?

Both teams to score has a 54% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Red Star FC 93 last 20 games and 10 of Saint-Étienne last 20.

How are Red Star FC 93 playing?

How are Saint-Étienne playing?

What happened when Red Star FC 93 and Saint-Étienne last met?

It ended Saint-Étienne 2, Red Star FC 93 0. In the last 2 meetings Red Star FC 93 won 1 and Saint-Étienne won 1.

What is the best bet for Red Star FC 93 vs Saint-Étienne?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.33, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Red Star FC against St. Étienne. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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