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Predictions › Brazil › Remo vs Botafogo
BrasileiraoThu 29 Oct, 00:30 Brazil time

Remo vs Botafogo prediction

Mangueirão

RemoHome
1.21 : 1.10
expected goals
BotafogoAway
38%Remo
30%Draw
32%Botafogo
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.26

Quick answer

Our prediction for Remo vs Botafogo is Remo to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.26.

Prediction
Remo to win
Chance
38%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Remo 1.2, Botafogo 1.1
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.26
Both teams to score
48%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
79% chanceFair price 1.262 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
14% chanceFair price 7.151 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Remo 38%, the draw 30% and Botafogo 32%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Remo took 3 points from their last 5 games and Botafogo took 7 from 5. Botafogo come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Remo won 2 of their last 11 games at home. Botafogo won 1 of their last 8 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Remo score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.6. Botafogo score 1.1 and let in 1.3. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Remo games and 9 of Botafogo games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Remo won 1 and Botafogo won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Botafogo 1, Remo 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Remorecent form-3%
  • Botafogorecent form-1%
  • Remorest between games-5%
  • Botafogorest between games-5%
Remo form D D D L LBotafogo form D D L L WHome edge in this league 39% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Remo vs Botafogo: Remo shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Remo host Botafogo in the Brasileirao on Thu 29 Oct, 00:30 at Mangueirão. Our prediction for Remo vs Botafogo is Remo to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.26.

Remo form

Remo have 4 wins, 6 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 31 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, D, D, L, L, newest first.

Botafogo form

Botafogo have 5 wins, 8 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 26 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 3 draws and 4 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Remo won 1, Botafogo won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Botafogo 1, Remo 2.

Our call

We expect Remo to score about 1.2 goals and Botafogo about 1.1. That points to Remo to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.26. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.15.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

RemoBotafogo
Games played2020
Wins45
Draws68
Losses107
Goals scored2322
Goals conceded3126
Scored per game1.11.1
Conceded per game1.61.3
Home record2W 4D 5L4W 5D 3L
Away record2W 2D 5L1W 3D 4L
Clean sheets15%20%
Both teams scored70%65%
Over 2.5 goals55%45%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals68%1.47
Over 2.5 goals41%2.45
Over 3.5 goals20%4.90
Both teams to score48%2.09
Remo or Draw68%1.48
Botafogo or Draw62%1.61
Remo to win and Over 2.519%5.16
Botafogo to win and Over 2.516%6.12
Remo clean sheet33%3.02
Botafogo clean sheet30%3.36

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-114.0%
1-011.2%
0-010.6%
0-110.1%
2-18.0%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Remo vs Botafogo?

Our prediction for Remo vs Botafogo is Remo to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.26.

What is the score prediction for Remo vs Botafogo?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 0-0. We expect Remo to score 1.2 goals and Botafogo 1.1.

Will both teams score in Remo vs Botafogo?

Both teams to score has a 48% chance. Both sides scored in 14 of Remo last 20 games and 13 of Botafogo last 20.

How are Remo playing?

Remo have 4 wins, 6 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 31 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, D, D, L, L, newest first.

How are Botafogo playing?

Botafogo have 5 wins, 8 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 26 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 3 draws and 4 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Remo and Botafogo last met?

It ended Botafogo 1, Remo 2. In the last 1 meeting Remo won 1 and Botafogo won 0.

What is the best bet for Remo vs Botafogo?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.26, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Remo against Botafogo. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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