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Predictions › Brazil › Remo vs Chapecoense
BrasileiraoWed 18 Nov, 23:00 Brazil time

Remo vs Chapecoense prediction

Mangueirão

RemoHome
1.62 : 0.85
expected goals
ChapecoenseAway
55%Remo
26%Draw
19%Chapecoense
Eagle safe pickRemo or Draw
1.24

Quick answer

Our prediction for Remo vs Chapecoense is Remo to win, with a 55% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Remo or Draw at 1.24.

Prediction
Remo to win
Chance
55%
Most likely score
1-0
Expected goals
Remo 1.6, Chapecoense 0.8
Best bet
Remo or Draw at 1.24
Both teams to score
47%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Remo or Draw
81% chanceFair price 1.242 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Remo to win and Over 2.5
31% chanceFair price 3.271 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Remo 55%, the draw 26% and Chapecoense 19%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Remo took 5 points from their last 5 games and Chapecoense took 3 from 5. Remo come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Remo won 3 of their last 11 games at home. Chapecoense won 1 of their last 12 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Remo score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.6. Chapecoense score 1.0 and let in 2.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Remo games and 14 of Chapecoense games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Remo won 1 and Chapecoense won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Chapecoense 2, Remo 3.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Remo or Draw has a 81% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Remorecent form-1%
  • Chapecoenserecent form-3%
Remo form L W L D DChapecoense form D L W L LHome edge in this league 40% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Remo vs Chapecoense: Remo are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Remo host Chapecoense in the Brasileirao on Wed 18 Nov, 23:00 at Mangueirão. Our prediction for Remo vs Chapecoense is Remo to win, with a 55% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Remo or Draw at 1.24.

Remo form

Remo have 4 wins, 6 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 33 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, D, D, newest first.

Chapecoense form

Chapecoense have 3 wins, 4 draws and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 42 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 3 draws and 8 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Remo won 1, Chapecoense won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Chapecoense 2, Remo 3.

Our call

We expect Remo to score about 1.6 goals and Chapecoense about 0.8. That points to Remo to win, with 1-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Remo or Draw at 1.24. Our bold bet is Remo to win and Over 2.5 at 3.27.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

RemoChapecoense
Games played2020
Wins43
Draws64
Losses1013
Goals scored2220
Goals conceded3342
Scored per game1.11.0
Conceded per game1.62.1
Home record3W 4D 4L2W 1D 5L
Away record1W 2D 6L1W 3D 8L
Clean sheets15%5%
Both teams scored70%65%
Over 2.5 goals55%70%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals71%1.40
Over 2.5 goals45%2.22
Over 3.5 goals24%4.22
Both teams to score47%2.14
Remo or Draw81%1.23
Chapecoense or Draw45%2.22
Remo to win and Over 2.531%3.24
Chapecoense to win and Over 2.59%10.64
Remo clean sheet43%2.34
Chapecoense clean sheet20%5.07

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-013.0%
1-112.3%
2-011.1%
2-19.4%
0-09.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Remo vs Chapecoense?

Our prediction for Remo vs Chapecoense is Remo to win, with a 55% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Remo or Draw at 1.24.

What is the score prediction for Remo vs Chapecoense?

1-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 2-0. We expect Remo to score 1.6 goals and Chapecoense 0.8.

Will both teams score in Remo vs Chapecoense?

Both teams to score has a 47% chance. Both sides scored in 14 of Remo last 20 games and 13 of Chapecoense last 20.

How are Remo playing?

Remo have 4 wins, 6 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 33 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, D, D, newest first.

How are Chapecoense playing?

Chapecoense have 3 wins, 4 draws and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 42 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 3 draws and 8 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Remo and Chapecoense last met?

It ended Chapecoense 2, Remo 3. In the last 1 meeting Remo won 1 and Chapecoense won 0.

What is the best bet for Remo vs Chapecoense?

Remo or Draw at 1.24, with a 81% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Remo against Chapecoense. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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