Predictions › Brazil › Remo vs Red Bull Bragantino

BrasileiraoSun 18 Oct, 22:30 Brazil time

Remo vs Red Bull Bragantino prediction

Mangueirão

RemoHome

1.14 : 1.04

expected goals

Red Bull BragantinoAway

37%Remo

31%Draw

32%Bragantino

Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals

1.25

Quick answer

Our prediction for Remo vs Red Bull Bragantino is Remo to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.25.

Prediction: Remo to win
Chance: 37%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Remo 1.1, Red Bull Bragantino 1.0
Best bet: Under 3.5 goals at 1.25
Both teams to score: 45%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals

80% chanceFair price 1.252 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1

14% chanceFair price 7.041 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Remo 37%, the draw 31% and Red Bull Bragantino 32%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
Remo took 1 point from their last 5 games and Red Bull Bragantino took 2 from 5. Red Bull Bragantino come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Remo won 2 of their last 11 games at home. Red Bull Bragantino won 3 of their last 11 on the road.
4
Goals
Remo score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.6. Red Bull Bragantino score 1.3 and let in 1.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Remo games and 8 of Red Bull Bragantino games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting, Remo won 0 and Red Bull Bragantino won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Red Bull Bragantino 4, Remo 2.
6
The safest bet
Under 3.5 goals has a 80% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Remorecent form-6%
Bragantinorecent form-4%
Remorest between games-5%
Bragantinorest between games-5%

Remo form D L L L LBragantino form D L L D LHome edge in this league 39% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Remo vs Red Bull Bragantino: Remo shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Remo host Red Bull Bragantino in the Brasileirao on Sun 18 Oct, 22:30 at Mangueirão. Our prediction for Remo vs Red Bull Bragantino is Remo to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.25.

Remo form

Remo have 4 wins, 6 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 31 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Red Bull Bragantino form

Red Bull Bragantino have 7 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 23 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, D, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Remo won 0, Red Bull Bragantino won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Red Bull Bragantino 4, Remo 2.

Our call

We expect Remo to score about 1.1 goals and Red Bull Bragantino about 1.0. That points to Remo to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.25. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.04.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Remo	Bragantino
Games played	20	20
Wins	4	7
Draws	6	5
Losses	10	8
Goals scored	23	25
Goals conceded	31	23
Scored per game	1.1	1.3
Conceded per game	1.6	1.1
Home record	2W 4D 5L	4W 2D 3L
Away record	2W 2D 5L	3W 3D 5L
Clean sheets	15%	25%
Both teams scored	70%	55%
Over 2.5 goals	55%	40%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	65%	1.54
Over 2.5 goals	37%	2.69
Over 3.5 goals	18%	5.66
Both teams to score	45%	2.23
Remo or Draw	68%	1.47
Red Bull Bragantino or Draw	63%	1.59
Remo to win and Over 2.5	18%	5.65
Red Bull Bragantino to win and Over 2.5	15%	6.69
Remo clean sheet	35%	2.83
Red Bull Bragantino clean sheet	32%	3.13

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-114.2%

0-012.1%

1-012.1%

0-110.9%

2-17.6%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Remo vs Red Bull Bragantino?

Our prediction for Remo vs Red Bull Bragantino is Remo to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.25.

What is the score prediction for Remo vs Red Bull Bragantino?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-0 and 1-0. We expect Remo to score 1.1 goals and Red Bull Bragantino 1.0.

Will both teams score in Remo vs Red Bull Bragantino?

Both teams to score has a 45% chance. Both sides scored in 14 of Remo last 20 games and 11 of Red Bull Bragantino last 20.

How are Remo playing?

How are Red Bull Bragantino playing?

What happened when Remo and Red Bull Bragantino last met?

It ended Red Bull Bragantino 4, Remo 2. In the last 1 meeting Remo won 0 and Red Bull Bragantino won 1.

What is the best bet for Remo vs Red Bull Bragantino?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.25, with a 80% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Remo against Bragantino. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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