Predictions › United States › Rice Owls vs East Carolina Pirates
College FootballSat 10 Oct, 16:00 United States time

Rice Owls vs East Carolina Pirates prediction

Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium

Rice OwlsAway
16.4 : 36.8
projected points
East Carolina PiratesHome
12%Rice
88%East Carolina
Eagle safe pickUnder 63.5 points
-292

Quick answer

Our prediction for Rice Owls vs East Carolina Pirates is East Carolina Pirates to win, with a 88% chance. We project Rice Owls 16.4 and East Carolina Pirates 36.8. Our best bet is Under 63.5 points at -292.

Prediction
East Carolina Pirates to win
Chance
88%
Projected score
Rice Owls 16, East Carolina Pirates 37
Projected total
53.2 points
Best bet
Under 63.5 points at -292

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 63.5 points
75% chanceFair price -2921 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives East Carolina Pirates 88% and Rice Owls 12%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    East Carolina Pirates won 3 of their last 5 and Rice Owls won 1 of their last 5. East Carolina Pirates come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    East Carolina Pirates won 6 of their last 8 games at home. Rice Owls won 1 of their last 7 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    East Carolina Pirates score 29.9 points a game and let in 22.3. Rice Owls score 20.1 and let in 33.5. Their recent games average 52.2 and 53.5 points in total.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Under 63.5 points has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Rice Owls vs East Carolina Pirates: East Carolina Pirates are favourites

The big picture

East Carolina Pirates host Rice Owls in the College Football on Sat 10 Oct, 16:00 at Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium. Our prediction for Rice Owls vs East Carolina Pirates is East Carolina Pirates to win, with a 88% chance. We project Rice Owls 16.4 and East Carolina Pirates 36.8. Our best bet is Under 63.5 points at -292.

East Carolina Pirates form

East Carolina Pirates have 10 wins and 5 losses in their last 15 games, with 448 points scored and 335 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 2 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, W, newest first.

Rice Owls form

Rice Owls have 5 wins and 10 losses in their last 15 games, with 301 points scored and 502 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win and 6 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Rice Owls to score about 16.4 points and East Carolina Pirates about 36.8. That points to East Carolina Pirates to win. Our safest bet is Under 63.5 points at -292.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 15 games in all competitions.

East CarolinaRice
Games played1515
Wins105
Losses510
Points scored448301
Points conceded335502
Scored per game29.920.1
Conceded per game22.333.5
Home record6W 2L4W 4L
Away record4W 3L1W 6L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

East Carolina spreadCoversFair
East Carolina -27.533%+204
East Carolina -23.542%+136
East Carolina -20.550%+101
East Carolina -17.557%-133
East Carolina -13.567%-200
Total pointsOverUnder
46.566%34%
50.557%43%
53.549%51%
56.542%58%
60.532%68%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. East Carolina +3.5 wins if East Carolina win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Rice Owls vs East Carolina Pirates?

Our prediction for Rice Owls vs East Carolina Pirates is East Carolina Pirates to win, with a 88% chance. We project Rice Owls 16.4 and East Carolina Pirates 36.8. Our best bet is Under 63.5 points at -292.

What is the projected score for Rice Owls vs East Carolina Pirates?

We project Rice Owls 16.4 and East Carolina Pirates 36.8, about 53.2 points in total.

How are East Carolina Pirates playing?

East Carolina Pirates have 10 wins and 5 losses in their last 15 games, with 448 points scored and 335 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 2 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, W, newest first.

How are Rice Owls playing?

Rice Owls have 5 wins and 10 losses in their last 15 games, with 301 points scored and 502 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win and 6 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Rice Owls vs East Carolina Pirates?

Under 63.5 points at -292, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in East Carolina against Rice. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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