Predictions › United States › Rice Owls vs Florida Atlantic Owls
College FootballSat 24 Oct, 12:00 United States time

Rice Owls vs Florida Atlantic Owls prediction

Flagler Credit Union Stadium

Rice OwlsAway
18.3 : 39.0
projected points
Florida Atlantic OwlsHome
11%Rice
89%FAU
Eagle safe pickFAU -10.5
-291

Quick answer

Our prediction for Rice Owls vs Florida Atlantic Owls is Florida Atlantic Owls to win, with a 89% chance. We project Rice Owls 18.3 and Florida Atlantic Owls 39.0. Our best bet is FAU -10.5 at -291.

Prediction
Florida Atlantic Owls to win
Chance
89%
Projected score
Rice Owls 18, Florida Atlantic Owls 39
Projected total
57.3 points
Best bet
FAU -10.5 at -291

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

FAU -10.5
74% chanceFair price -2911 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Florida Atlantic Owls 89% and Rice Owls 11%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Florida Atlantic Owls won 4 of their last 5 and Rice Owls won 0 of their last 5. Florida Atlantic Owls come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Florida Atlantic Owls won 5 of their last 8 games at home. Rice Owls won 1 of their last 8 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Florida Atlantic Owls score 31.8 points a game and let in 34.4. Rice Owls score 19.2 and let in 32.1. Their recent games average 66.2 and 51.4 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Florida Atlantic Owls won 1 and Rice Owls won 0. The last one ended Rice Owls 21, Florida Atlantic Owls 27.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    FAU -10.5 has a 74% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Rice Owls vs Florida Atlantic Owls: Florida Atlantic Owls are favourites

The big picture

Florida Atlantic Owls host Rice Owls in the College Football on Sat 24 Oct, 12:00 at Flagler Credit Union Stadium. Our prediction for Rice Owls vs Florida Atlantic Owls is Florida Atlantic Owls to win, with a 89% chance. We project Rice Owls 18.3 and Florida Atlantic Owls 39.0. Our best bet is FAU -10.5 at -291.

Florida Atlantic Owls form

Florida Atlantic Owls have 7 wins and 8 losses in their last 15 games, with 477 points scored and 516 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 3 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Rice Owls form

Rice Owls have 5 wins and 12 losses in their last 17 games, with 327 points scored and 546 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win and 7 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Florida Atlantic Owls won 1, Rice Owls won 0. Last time out it finished Rice Owls 21, Florida Atlantic Owls 27.

Our call

We expect Rice Owls to score about 18.3 points and Florida Atlantic Owls about 39.0. That points to Florida Atlantic Owls to win. Our safest bet is FAU -10.5 at -291.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 17 games in all competitions.

FAURice
Games played1517
Wins75
Losses812
Points scored477327
Points conceded516546
Scored per game31.819.2
Conceded per game34.432.1
Home record5W 3L4W 5L
Away record2W 5L1W 7L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

FAU spreadCoversFair
FAU -27.534%+197
FAU -23.543%+132
FAU -20.551%-102
FAU -17.558%-138
FAU -13.567%-207
Total pointsOverUnder
50.567%33%
54.557%43%
57.550%50%
60.542%58%
64.533%67%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. FAU +3.5 wins if FAU win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Rice Owls vs Florida Atlantic Owls?

Our prediction for Rice Owls vs Florida Atlantic Owls is Florida Atlantic Owls to win, with a 89% chance. We project Rice Owls 18.3 and Florida Atlantic Owls 39.0. Our best bet is FAU -10.5 at -291.

What is the projected score for Rice Owls vs Florida Atlantic Owls?

We project Rice Owls 18.3 and Florida Atlantic Owls 39.0, about 57.3 points in total.

How are Florida Atlantic Owls playing?

Florida Atlantic Owls have 7 wins and 8 losses in their last 15 games, with 477 points scored and 516 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 3 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

How are Rice Owls playing?

Rice Owls have 5 wins and 12 losses in their last 17 games, with 327 points scored and 546 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win and 7 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Florida Atlantic Owls and Rice Owls last met?

It ended Rice Owls 21, Florida Atlantic Owls 27. In the last 1 meeting Florida Atlantic Owls won 1 and Rice Owls won 0.

What is the best bet for Rice Owls vs Florida Atlantic Owls?

FAU -10.5 at -291, with a 74% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in FAU against Rice. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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