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Predictions › United States › Rice Owls vs North Texas Mean Green
College FootballSat 7 Nov, 16:00 United States time

Rice Owls vs North Texas Mean Green prediction

DATCU Stadium

Rice OwlsAway
17.7 : 48.5
projected points
North Texas Mean GreenHome
2%Rice
98%North Texas
Eagle safe pickNorth Texas -20.5
-301

Quick answer

Our prediction for Rice Owls vs North Texas Mean Green is North Texas Mean Green to win, with a 98% chance. We project Rice Owls 17.7 and North Texas Mean Green 48.5. Our best bet is North Texas -20.5 at -301.

Prediction
North Texas Mean Green to win
Chance
98%
Projected score
Rice Owls 18, North Texas Mean Green 49
Projected total
66.2 points
Best bet
North Texas -20.5 at -301

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

North Texas -20.5
75% chanceFair price -3012 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives North Texas Mean Green 98% and Rice Owls 2%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    North Texas Mean Green won 4 of their last 5 and Rice Owls won 0 of their last 5. North Texas Mean Green come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    North Texas Mean Green won 8 of their last 9 games at home. Rice Owls won 1 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    North Texas Mean Green score 44.7 points a game and let in 29.2. Rice Owls score 20.7 and let in 33.4. Their recent games average 73.9 and 54.1 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, North Texas Mean Green won 1 and Rice Owls won 0. The last one ended Rice Owls 24, North Texas Mean Green 56.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    North Texas -20.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Rice Owls vs North Texas Mean Green: North Texas Mean Green are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

North Texas Mean Green host Rice Owls in the College Football on Sat 7 Nov, 16:00 at DATCU Stadium. Our prediction for Rice Owls vs North Texas Mean Green is North Texas Mean Green to win, with a 98% chance. We project Rice Owls 17.7 and North Texas Mean Green 48.5. Our best bet is North Texas -20.5 at -301.

North Texas Mean Green form

North Texas Mean Green have 15 wins and 4 losses in their last 19 games, with 849 points scored and 555 conceded. At home they have 8 wins and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Rice Owls form

Rice Owls have 5 wins and 14 losses in their last 19 games, with 393 points scored and 635 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win and 8 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. North Texas Mean Green won 1, Rice Owls won 0. Last time out it finished Rice Owls 24, North Texas Mean Green 56.

Our call

We expect Rice Owls to score about 17.7 points and North Texas Mean Green about 48.5. That points to North Texas Mean Green to win. Our safest bet is North Texas -20.5 at -301.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 19 games in all competitions.

North TexasRice
Games played1919
Wins155
Losses414
Points scored849393
Points conceded555635
Scored per game44.720.7
Conceded per game29.233.4
Home record8W 1L4W 6L
Away record7W 3L1W 8L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

North Texas spreadCoversFair
North Texas -37.534%+195
North Texas -33.543%+130
North Texas -30.551%-103
North Texas -27.558%-140
North Texas -23.568%-209
Total pointsOverUnder
59.566%34%
63.557%43%
66.549%51%
69.542%58%
73.532%68%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. North Texas +3.5 wins if North Texas win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Rice Owls vs North Texas Mean Green?

Our prediction for Rice Owls vs North Texas Mean Green is North Texas Mean Green to win, with a 98% chance. We project Rice Owls 17.7 and North Texas Mean Green 48.5. Our best bet is North Texas -20.5 at -301.

What is the projected score for Rice Owls vs North Texas Mean Green?

We project Rice Owls 17.7 and North Texas Mean Green 48.5, about 66.2 points in total.

How are North Texas Mean Green playing?

North Texas Mean Green have 15 wins and 4 losses in their last 19 games, with 849 points scored and 555 conceded. At home they have 8 wins and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

How are Rice Owls playing?

Rice Owls have 5 wins and 14 losses in their last 19 games, with 393 points scored and 635 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win and 8 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

What happened when North Texas Mean Green and Rice Owls last met?

It ended Rice Owls 24, North Texas Mean Green 56. In the last 1 meeting North Texas Mean Green won 1 and Rice Owls won 0.

What is the best bet for Rice Owls vs North Texas Mean Green?

North Texas -20.5 at -301, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in North Texas against Rice. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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