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Predictions › South Africa › Richards Bay FC vs Mamelodi Sundowns
South African PremiershipTue 13 Oct, 19:30 South Africa time

Richards Bay FC vs Mamelodi Sundowns prediction

Princess Magogo Stadium

Richards Bay FCHome
0.94 : 1.78
expected goals
Mamelodi SundownsAway
19%Richards Bay
24%Draw
57%M Sundowns
Eagle safe pickMamelodi Sundowns or Draw
1.27

Quick answer

Our prediction for Richards Bay FC vs Mamelodi Sundowns is Mamelodi Sundowns to win, with a 57% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Mamelodi Sundowns or Draw at 1.27.

Prediction
Mamelodi Sundowns to win
Chance
57%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Richards Bay FC 0.9, Mamelodi Sundowns 1.8
Best bet
Mamelodi Sundowns or Draw at 1.27
Both teams to score
51%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Mamelodi Sundowns or Draw
79% chanceFair price 1.272 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Mamelodi Sundowns to win and Over 2.5
34% chanceFair price 2.941 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Richards Bay FC 19%, the draw 24% and Mamelodi Sundowns 57%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Richards Bay FC took 2 points from their last 5 games and Mamelodi Sundowns took 13 from 5. Mamelodi Sundowns come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Richards Bay FC won 2 of their last 10 games at home. Mamelodi Sundowns won 5 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Richards Bay FC score 0.9 goals a game and let in 1.4. Mamelodi Sundowns score 2.3 and let in 0.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 of Richards Bay FC games and 10 of Mamelodi Sundowns games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Richards Bay FC won 0 and Mamelodi Sundowns won 1 with 1 draw. The last one ended Richards Bay FC 0, Mamelodi Sundowns 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Mamelodi Sundowns or Draw has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Richards Bayrecent form-4%
  • M Sundownsrecent form+6%
Richards Bay form L L L D DM Sundowns form W D W W WHome edge in this league 24% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Richards Bay FC vs Mamelodi Sundowns: Mamelodi Sundowns are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Richards Bay FC host Mamelodi Sundowns in the South African Premiership on Tue 13 Oct, 19:30 at Princess Magogo Stadium. Our prediction for Richards Bay FC vs Mamelodi Sundowns is Mamelodi Sundowns to win, with a 57% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Mamelodi Sundowns or Draw at 1.27.

Richards Bay FC form

Richards Bay FC have 3 wins, 9 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 18 goals scored and 27 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, D, D, newest first.

Mamelodi Sundowns form

Mamelodi Sundowns have 14 wins, 5 draws and 1 loss in their last 20 games, with 46 goals scored and 19 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Richards Bay FC won 0, Mamelodi Sundowns won 1 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Richards Bay FC 0, Mamelodi Sundowns 0.

Our call

We expect Richards Bay FC to score about 0.9 goals and Mamelodi Sundowns about 1.8. That points to Mamelodi Sundowns to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Mamelodi Sundowns or Draw at 1.27. Our bold bet is Mamelodi Sundowns to win and Over 2.5 at 2.94.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Richards BayM Sundowns
Games played2020
Wins314
Draws95
Losses81
Goals scored1846
Goals conceded2719
Scored per game0.92.3
Conceded per game1.40.9
Home record2W 5D 3L9W 2D 0L
Away record1W 4D 5L5W 3D 1L
Clean sheets25%40%
Both teams scored60%60%
Over 2.5 goals40%50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals76%1.31
Over 2.5 goals51%1.95
Over 3.5 goals29%3.43
Both teams to score51%1.95
Richards Bay FC or Draw43%2.30
Mamelodi Sundowns or Draw81%1.23
Richards Bay FC to win and Over 2.511%9.48
Mamelodi Sundowns to win and Over 2.535%2.85
Richards Bay FC clean sheet17%5.96
Mamelodi Sundowns clean sheet39%2.56

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.7%
0-111.0%
0-210.4%
1-29.8%
0-07.2%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Richards Bay FC vs Mamelodi Sundowns?

Our prediction for Richards Bay FC vs Mamelodi Sundowns is Mamelodi Sundowns to win, with a 57% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Mamelodi Sundowns or Draw at 1.27.

What is the score prediction for Richards Bay FC vs Mamelodi Sundowns?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 0-2. We expect Richards Bay FC to score 0.9 goals and Mamelodi Sundowns 1.8.

Will both teams score in Richards Bay FC vs Mamelodi Sundowns?

Both teams to score has a 51% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Richards Bay FC last 20 games and 12 of Mamelodi Sundowns last 20.

How are Richards Bay FC playing?

Richards Bay FC have 3 wins, 9 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 18 goals scored and 27 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, D, D, newest first.

How are Mamelodi Sundowns playing?

Mamelodi Sundowns have 14 wins, 5 draws and 1 loss in their last 20 games, with 46 goals scored and 19 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Richards Bay FC and Mamelodi Sundowns last met?

It ended Richards Bay FC 0, Mamelodi Sundowns 0. In the last 2 meetings Richards Bay FC won 0 and Mamelodi Sundowns won 1.

What is the best bet for Richards Bay FC vs Mamelodi Sundowns?

Mamelodi Sundowns or Draw at 1.27, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Richards Bay against M Sundowns. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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