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Predictions › Portugal › Rio Ave vs Braga
Primeira LigaSun 8 Nov, 20:30 Portugal time

Rio Ave vs Braga prediction

Estádio do Rio Ave

Rio AveHome
1.05 : 1.96
expected goals
BragaAway
19%Rio Ave
23%Draw
58%Braga
Eagle safe pickBraga or Draw
1.24

Quick answer

Our prediction for Rio Ave vs Braga is Braga to win, with a 58% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Braga or Draw at 1.24.

Prediction
Braga to win
Chance
58%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Rio Ave 1.1, Braga 2.0
Best bet
Braga or Draw at 1.24
Both teams to score
56%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Braga or Draw
81% chanceFair price 1.242 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Braga to win and Over 2.5
39% chanceFair price 2.571 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Rio Ave 19%, the draw 23% and Braga 58%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Rio Ave took 4 points from their last 5 games and Braga took 3 from 5. Rio Ave come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Rio Ave won 2 of their last 11 games at home. Braga won 3 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Rio Ave score 1.0 goals a game and let in 1.7. Braga score 1.4 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Rio Ave games and 13 of Braga games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Rio Ave won 0 and Braga won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Braga 3, Rio Ave 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Braga or Draw has a 81% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Rio Averecent form+1%
  • Bragarecent form-3%
Rio Ave form D W W L DBraga form D W L L LHome edge in this league 17% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Rio Ave vs Braga: Braga are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Rio Ave host Braga in the Primeira Liga on Sun 8 Nov, 20:30 at Estádio do Rio Ave. Our prediction for Rio Ave vs Braga is Braga to win, with a 58% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Braga or Draw at 1.24.

Rio Ave form

Rio Ave have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 34 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, D, L, newest first.

Braga form

Braga have 7 wins, 6 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 29 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Rio Ave won 0, Braga won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Braga 3, Rio Ave 0.

Our call

We expect Rio Ave to score about 1.1 goals and Braga about 2.0. That points to Braga to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Braga or Draw at 1.24. Our bold bet is Braga to win and Over 2.5 at 2.57.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Rio AveBraga
Games played2020
Wins67
Draws56
Losses97
Goals scored2027
Goals conceded3429
Scored per game1.01.4
Conceded per game1.71.4
Home record2W 4D 5L4W 3D 2L
Away record4W 1D 4L3W 3D 5L
Clean sheets25%25%
Both teams scored40%65%
Over 2.5 goals50%65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals81%1.24
Over 2.5 goals58%1.73
Over 3.5 goals36%2.82
Both teams to score56%1.77
Rio Ave or Draw42%2.39
Braga or Draw81%1.24
Rio Ave to win and Over 2.512%8.45
Braga to win and Over 2.540%2.53
Rio Ave clean sheet14%7.13
Braga clean sheet35%2.85

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-110.7%
1-29.9%
0-29.5%
0-19.1%
1-36.5%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Rio Ave vs Braga?

Our prediction for Rio Ave vs Braga is Braga to win, with a 58% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Braga or Draw at 1.24.

What is the score prediction for Rio Ave vs Braga?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 0-2. We expect Rio Ave to score 1.1 goals and Braga 2.0.

Will both teams score in Rio Ave vs Braga?

Both teams to score has a 56% chance. Both sides scored in 8 of Rio Ave last 20 games and 13 of Braga last 20.

How are Rio Ave playing?

Rio Ave have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 34 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, D, L, newest first.

How are Braga playing?

Braga have 7 wins, 6 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 29 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Rio Ave and Braga last met?

It ended Braga 3, Rio Ave 0. In the last 1 meeting Rio Ave won 0 and Braga won 1.

What is the best bet for Rio Ave vs Braga?

Braga or Draw at 1.24, with a 81% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Rio Ave against Braga. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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