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Predictions › Portugal › Rio Ave vs FC Famalicao
Primeira LigaSun 25 Oct, 18:00 Portugal time

Rio Ave vs FC Famalicao prediction

Estádio do Rio Ave

Rio AveHome
0.99 : 1.90
expected goals
FC FamalicaoAway
19%Rio Ave
23%Draw
58%FC Famalicao
Eagle safe pickFC Famalicao or Draw
1.25

Quick answer

Our prediction for Rio Ave vs FC Famalicao is FC Famalicao to win, with a 58% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is FC Famalicao or Draw at 1.25.

Prediction
FC Famalicao to win
Chance
58%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Rio Ave 1.0, FC Famalicao 1.9
Best bet
FC Famalicao or Draw at 1.25
Both teams to score
54%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

FC Famalicao or Draw
80% chanceFair price 1.252 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

FC Famalicao to win and Over 2.5
38% chanceFair price 2.631 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Rio Ave 19%, the draw 23% and FC Famalicao 58%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Rio Ave took 4 points from their last 5 games and FC Famalicao took 6 from 5. FC Famalicao come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Rio Ave won 2 of their last 10 games at home. FC Famalicao won 3 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Rio Ave score 1.0 goals a game and let in 1.6. FC Famalicao score 1.3 and let in 0.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of Rio Ave games and 8 of FC Famalicao games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Rio Ave won 0 and FC Famalicao won 0 with 2 draws. The last one ended Rio Ave 0, FC Famalicao 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    FC Famalicao or Draw has a 80% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Rio Averecent form-4%
  • FC Famalicaorecent form+1%
Rio Ave form D L D L LFC Famalicao form D W D D DHome edge in this league 19% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Rio Ave vs FC Famalicao: FC Famalicao are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Rio Ave host FC Famalicao in the Primeira Liga on Sun 25 Oct, 18:00 at Estádio do Rio Ave. Our prediction for Rio Ave vs FC Famalicao is FC Famalicao to win, with a 58% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is FC Famalicao or Draw at 1.25.

Rio Ave form

Rio Ave have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 31 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, L, L, newest first.

FC Famalicao form

FC Famalicao have 7 wins, 10 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 19 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 6 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, D, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Rio Ave won 0, FC Famalicao won 0 and 2 games ended level. Last time out it finished Rio Ave 0, FC Famalicao 0.

Our call

We expect Rio Ave to score about 1.0 goals and FC Famalicao about 1.9. That points to FC Famalicao to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is FC Famalicao or Draw at 1.25. Our bold bet is FC Famalicao to win and Over 2.5 at 2.63.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Rio AveFC Famalicao
Games played2020
Wins67
Draws510
Losses93
Goals scored2025
Goals conceded3119
Scored per game1.01.3
Conceded per game1.60.9
Home record2W 4D 4L4W 4D 2L
Away record4W 1D 5L3W 6D 1L
Clean sheets25%45%
Both teams scored40%50%
Over 2.5 goals45%40%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals79%1.27
Over 2.5 goals55%1.81
Over 3.5 goals33%3.05
Both teams to score54%1.85
Rio Ave or Draw42%2.39
FC Famalicao or Draw81%1.23
Rio Ave to win and Over 2.511%9.11
FC Famalicao to win and Over 2.538%2.63
Rio Ave clean sheet15%6.69
FC Famalicao clean sheet37%2.68

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.1%
0-210.1%
0-110.0%
1-29.9%
0-36.4%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Rio Ave vs FC Famalicao?

Our prediction for Rio Ave vs FC Famalicao is FC Famalicao to win, with a 58% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is FC Famalicao or Draw at 1.25.

What is the score prediction for Rio Ave vs FC Famalicao?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-2 and 0-1. We expect Rio Ave to score 1.0 goals and FC Famalicao 1.9.

Will both teams score in Rio Ave vs FC Famalicao?

Both teams to score has a 54% chance. Both sides scored in 8 of Rio Ave last 20 games and 10 of FC Famalicao last 20.

How are Rio Ave playing?

Rio Ave have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 31 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, L, L, newest first.

How are FC Famalicao playing?

FC Famalicao have 7 wins, 10 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 19 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 6 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, D, D, newest first.

What happened when Rio Ave and FC Famalicao last met?

It ended Rio Ave 0, FC Famalicao 0. In the last 2 meetings Rio Ave won 0 and FC Famalicao won 0.

What is the best bet for Rio Ave vs FC Famalicao?

FC Famalicao or Draw at 1.25, with a 80% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Rio Ave against FC Famalicao. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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