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Predictions › Argentina › River Plate vs Racing Club
Argentina Liga ProfesionalSun 25 Oct, 22:15 Argentina time

River Plate vs Racing Club prediction

Estadio Más Monumental

River PlateHome
1.27 : 1.11
expected goals
Racing ClubAway
39%River Plate
29%Draw
32%Racing
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.30

Quick answer

Our prediction for River Plate vs Racing Club is River Plate to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.30.

Prediction
River Plate to win
Chance
39%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
River Plate 1.3, Racing Club 1.1
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.30
Both teams to score
49%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
77% chanceFair price 1.302 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
14% chanceFair price 7.231 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives River Plate 39%, the draw 29% and Racing Club 32%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    River Plate took 10 points from their last 5 games and Racing Club took 6 from 5. River Plate come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    River Plate won 6 of their last 14 games at home. Racing Club won 3 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    River Plate score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.1. Racing Club score 0.9 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 of River Plate games and 10 of Racing Club games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, River Plate won 1 and Racing Club won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Racing Club 0, River Plate 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • River Platerecent form+3%
  • River Platerest between games-5%
River Plate form D W L W WRacing form D W L W LHome edge in this league 25% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

River Plate vs Racing Club: River Plate shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

River Plate host Racing Club in the Argentina Liga Profesional on Sun 25 Oct, 22:15 at Estadio Más Monumental. Our prediction for River Plate vs Racing Club is River Plate to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.30.

River Plate form

River Plate have 9 wins, 3 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 21 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses from 14. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, W, W, newest first.

Racing Club form

Racing Club have 5 wins, 5 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 27 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. River Plate won 1, Racing Club won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Racing Club 0, River Plate 2.

Our call

We expect River Plate to score about 1.3 goals and Racing Club about 1.1. That points to River Plate to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.30. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.23.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

River PlateRacing
Games played2020
Wins95
Draws35
Losses810
Goals scored2719
Goals conceded2127
Scored per game1.40.9
Conceded per game1.11.4
Home record6W 2D 6L2W 3D 5L
Away record3W 1D 2L3W 2D 5L
Clean sheets25%15%
Both teams scored45%65%
Over 2.5 goals40%50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals70%1.44
Over 2.5 goals43%2.35
Over 3.5 goals22%4.59
Both teams to score49%2.04
River Plate or Draw68%1.46
Racing Club or Draw61%1.64
River Plate to win and Over 2.521%4.81
Racing Club to win and Over 2.516%6.09
River Plate clean sheet33%3.05
Racing Club clean sheet28%3.56

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.8%
1-010.9%
0-010.0%
0-19.5%
2-18.3%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win River Plate vs Racing Club?

Our prediction for River Plate vs Racing Club is River Plate to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.30.

What is the score prediction for River Plate vs Racing Club?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 0-0. We expect River Plate to score 1.3 goals and Racing Club 1.1.

Will both teams score in River Plate vs Racing Club?

Both teams to score has a 49% chance. Both sides scored in 9 of River Plate last 20 games and 13 of Racing Club last 20.

How are River Plate playing?

River Plate have 9 wins, 3 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 21 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses from 14. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, W, W, newest first.

How are Racing Club playing?

Racing Club have 5 wins, 5 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 27 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, L, newest first.

What happened when River Plate and Racing Club last met?

It ended Racing Club 0, River Plate 2. In the last 2 meetings River Plate won 1 and Racing Club won 1.

What is the best bet for River Plate vs Racing Club?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.30, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in River Plate against Racing . A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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