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Predictions › France › Rodez Aveyron vs AS Nancy Lorraine
Ligue 2Fri 18 Sept, 18:00 France time

Rodez Aveyron vs AS Nancy Lorraine prediction

Stade Paul-Lignon

Rodez AveyronHome
1.39 : 1.14
expected goals
AS Nancy LorraineAway
42%Rodez Aveyron
28%Draw
30%Nancy
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.30

Quick answer

Our prediction for Rodez Aveyron vs AS Nancy Lorraine is Rodez Aveyron to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.30.

Prediction
Rodez Aveyron to win
Chance
42%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Rodez Aveyron 1.4, AS Nancy Lorraine 1.1
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.30
Both teams to score
52%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
77% chanceFair price 1.302 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
13% chanceFair price 7.471 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Rodez Aveyron 42%, the draw 28% and AS Nancy Lorraine 30%. The bookmakers agree and make Rodez Aveyron the favourite at 2.20.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Rodez Aveyron took 4 points from their last 5 games and AS Nancy Lorraine took 6 from 5. AS Nancy Lorraine come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Rodez Aveyron won 6 of their last 10 games at home. AS Nancy Lorraine won 2 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Rodez Aveyron score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.1. AS Nancy Lorraine score 1.1 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Rodez Aveyron games and 9 of AS Nancy Lorraine games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Rodez Aveyron won 1 and AS Nancy Lorraine won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended AS Nancy Lorraine 1, Rodez Aveyron 3.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Rodez Aveyronrecent form-3%
  • Nancyrecent form-1%
  • Rodez Aveyronrest between games-5%
  • Nancyrest between games-5%
Rodez Aveyron form L L D W LNancy form L L W W LHome edge in this league 11% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Rodez Aveyron vs AS Nancy Lorraine: Rodez Aveyron shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Rodez Aveyron host AS Nancy Lorraine in the Ligue 2 on Fri 18 Sept, 18:00 at Stade Paul-Lignon. Our prediction for Rodez Aveyron vs AS Nancy Lorraine is Rodez Aveyron to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.30.

Rodez Aveyron form

Rodez Aveyron have 11 wins, 6 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 23 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, W, L, newest first.

AS Nancy Lorraine form

AS Nancy Lorraine have 5 wins, 8 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 27 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 6 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Rodez Aveyron won 1, AS Nancy Lorraine won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished AS Nancy Lorraine 1, Rodez Aveyron 3.

Our call

We expect Rodez Aveyron to score about 1.4 goals and AS Nancy Lorraine about 1.1. That points to Rodez Aveyron to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.30. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.47.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Rodez AveyronNancy
Games played2020
Wins115
Draws68
Losses37
Goals scored3121
Goals conceded2327
Scored per game1.61.1
Conceded per game1.11.4
Home record6W 3D 1L3W 2D 5L
Away record5W 3D 2L2W 6D 2L
Clean sheets20%30%
Both teams scored70%55%
Over 2.5 goals55%45%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Rodez Aveyron to win39%2.582.20-14.8%
A Draw27%3.773.40-9.9%
AS Nancy Lorraine to win28%3.533.00-14.9%
Over 2.5 goals49%2.031.74-14.0%
Under 2.5 goals48%2.081.91-8.1%
Rodez Aveyron -0.541%2.472.05-17.0%
AS Nancy Lorraine +0.557%1.751.61-8.4%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals73%1.38
Over 2.5 goals46%2.16
Over 3.5 goals25%4.03
Both teams to score52%1.93
Rodez Aveyron or Draw70%1.43
AS Nancy Lorraine or Draw58%1.72
Rodez Aveyron to win and Over 2.524%4.20
AS Nancy Lorraine to win and Over 2.517%6.06
Rodez Aveyron clean sheet32%3.12
AS Nancy Lorraine clean sheet25%4.01

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.4%
1-010.3%
2-18.8%
0-08.7%
0-18.3%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Rodez Aveyron vs AS Nancy Lorraine?

Our prediction for Rodez Aveyron vs AS Nancy Lorraine is Rodez Aveyron to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.30.

What is the score prediction for Rodez Aveyron vs AS Nancy Lorraine?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-1. We expect Rodez Aveyron to score 1.4 goals and AS Nancy Lorraine 1.1.

Will both teams score in Rodez Aveyron vs AS Nancy Lorraine?

Both teams to score has a 52% chance. Both sides scored in 14 of Rodez Aveyron last 20 games and 11 of AS Nancy Lorraine last 20.

How are Rodez Aveyron playing?

Rodez Aveyron have 11 wins, 6 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 23 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, W, L, newest first.

How are AS Nancy Lorraine playing?

AS Nancy Lorraine have 5 wins, 8 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 27 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 6 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Rodez Aveyron and AS Nancy Lorraine last met?

It ended AS Nancy Lorraine 1, Rodez Aveyron 3. In the last 1 meeting Rodez Aveyron won 1 and AS Nancy Lorraine won 0.

What is the best bet for Rodez Aveyron vs AS Nancy Lorraine?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.30, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Rodez Aveyron against Nancy. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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