Predictions › France › Rodez Aveyron vs Dunkerque
Ligue 2Fri 30 Oct, 19:00 France time

Rodez Aveyron vs Dunkerque prediction

Stade Paul-Lignon

Rodez AveyronHome
1.69 : 1.97
expected goals
DunkerqueAway
33%Rodez Aveyron
23%Draw
44%Dunkerque
Eagle safe pickOver 2.5 goals
1.39

Quick answer

Our prediction for Rodez Aveyron vs Dunkerque is Dunkerque to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1.39.

Prediction
Dunkerque to win
Chance
44%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Rodez Aveyron 1.7, Dunkerque 2.0
Best bet
Over 2.5 goals at 1.39
Both teams to score
71%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 2.5 goals
72% chanceFair price 1.391 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Dunkerque to win and Over 2.5
35% chanceFair price 2.901 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Rodez Aveyron 33%, the draw 23% and Dunkerque 44%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Rodez Aveyron took 0 points from their last 5 games and Dunkerque took 7 from 5. Dunkerque come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Rodez Aveyron won 6 of their last 11 games at home. Dunkerque won 2 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Rodez Aveyron score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.4. Dunkerque score 1.4 and let in 1.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Rodez Aveyron games and 9 of Dunkerque games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Rodez Aveyron won 0 and Dunkerque won 0 with 2 draws. The last one ended Dunkerque 1, Rodez Aveyron 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 2.5 goals has a 72% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Rodez Aveyronrecent form-6%
  • Rodez Aveyronrest between games-5%
Rodez Aveyron form D L L L LDunkerque form W L L W DHome edge in this league 9% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Rodez Aveyron vs Dunkerque: Dunkerque shade it

The big picture

Rodez Aveyron host Dunkerque in the Ligue 2 on Fri 30 Oct, 19:00 at Stade Paul-Lignon. Our prediction for Rodez Aveyron vs Dunkerque is Dunkerque to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1.39.

Rodez Aveyron form

Rodez Aveyron have 9 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Dunkerque form

Dunkerque have 4 wins, 5 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 36 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 1 draw and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Rodez Aveyron won 0, Dunkerque won 0 and 2 games ended level. Last time out it finished Dunkerque 1, Rodez Aveyron 1.

Our call

We expect Rodez Aveyron to score about 1.7 goals and Dunkerque about 2.0. That points to Dunkerque to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1.39. Our bold bet is Dunkerque to win and Over 2.5 at 2.90.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Rodez AveyronDunkerque
Games played2020
Wins94
Draws55
Losses611
Goals scored2927
Goals conceded2936
Scored per game1.41.4
Conceded per game1.41.8
Home record6W 2D 3L2W 4D 4L
Away record3W 3D 3L2W 1D 7L
Clean sheets20%0%
Both teams scored60%65%
Over 2.5 goals55%45%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals88%1.13
Over 2.5 goals71%1.41
Over 3.5 goals50%2.01
Both teams to score71%1.42
Rodez Aveyron or Draw56%1.80
Dunkerque or Draw67%1.49
Rodez Aveyron to win and Over 2.526%3.91
Dunkerque to win and Over 2.535%2.88
Rodez Aveyron clean sheet14%7.16
Dunkerque clean sheet18%5.41

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-19.1%
1-28.4%
2-17.2%
2-27.1%
1-35.5%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Rodez Aveyron vs Dunkerque?

Our prediction for Rodez Aveyron vs Dunkerque is Dunkerque to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1.39.

What is the score prediction for Rodez Aveyron vs Dunkerque?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 2-1. We expect Rodez Aveyron to score 1.7 goals and Dunkerque 2.0.

Will both teams score in Rodez Aveyron vs Dunkerque?

Both teams to score has a 71% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Rodez Aveyron last 20 games and 13 of Dunkerque last 20.

How are Rodez Aveyron playing?

Rodez Aveyron have 9 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

How are Dunkerque playing?

Dunkerque have 4 wins, 5 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 36 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 1 draw and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, D, newest first.

What happened when Rodez Aveyron and Dunkerque last met?

It ended Dunkerque 1, Rodez Aveyron 1. In the last 2 meetings Rodez Aveyron won 0 and Dunkerque won 0.

What is the best bet for Rodez Aveyron vs Dunkerque?

Over 2.5 goals at 1.39, with a 72% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Rodez Aveyron against Dunkerque. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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