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Predictions › Argentina › Rosario Central vs Gimnasia (Mendoza)
Argentina Liga ProfesionalSun 22 Nov, 19:00 Argentina time

Rosario Central vs Gimnasia (Mendoza) prediction

Gigante de Arroyito

Rosario CentralHome
1.97 : 0.56
expected goals
Gimnasia (Mendoza)Away
70%Rosario Central
21%Draw
9%Gimnasia (M)
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.32

Quick answer

Our prediction for Rosario Central vs Gimnasia (Mendoza) is Rosario Central to win, with a 70% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.32.

Prediction
Rosario Central to win
Chance
70%
Most likely score
2-0
Expected goals
Rosario Central 2.0, Gimnasia (Mendoza) 0.6
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.32
Both teams to score
38%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
76% chanceFair price 1.322 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Rosario Central to win and Over 2.5
39% chanceFair price 2.581 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Rosario Central 70%, the draw 21% and Gimnasia (Mendoza) 9%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Rosario Central took 15 points from their last 5 games and Gimnasia (Mendoza) took 5 from 5. Rosario Central come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Rosario Central won 6 of their last 10 games at home. Gimnasia (Mendoza) won 2 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Rosario Central score 1.5 goals a game and let in 0.7. Gimnasia (Mendoza) score 1.1 and let in 1.2. Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 of Rosario Central games and 8 of Gimnasia (Mendoza) games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Rosario Centralrecent form+7%
  • Gimnasia (M)recent form-1%
Rosario Central form W W W W WGimnasia (M) form D D L L WHome edge in this league 23% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Rosario Central vs Gimnasia (Mendoza): Rosario Central are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Rosario Central host Gimnasia (Mendoza) in the Argentina Liga Profesional on Sun 22 Nov, 19:00 at Gigante de Arroyito. Our prediction for Rosario Central vs Gimnasia (Mendoza) is Rosario Central to win, with a 70% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.32.

Rosario Central form

Rosario Central have 11 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 14 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Gimnasia (Mendoza) form

Gimnasia (Mendoza) have 8 wins, 5 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 24 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, D, L, L, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Rosario Central to score about 2.0 goals and Gimnasia (Mendoza) about 0.6. That points to Rosario Central to win, with 2-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.32. Our bold bet is Rosario Central to win and Over 2.5 at 2.58.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Rosario CentralGimnasia (M)
Games played2020
Wins118
Draws55
Losses47
Goals scored3023
Goals conceded1424
Scored per game1.51.1
Conceded per game0.71.2
Home record6W 3D 1L6W 3D 1L
Away record5W 2D 3L2W 2D 6L
Clean sheets50%30%
Both teams scored40%45%
Over 2.5 goals40%40%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals72%1.38
Over 2.5 goals46%2.15
Over 3.5 goals25%4.00
Both teams to score38%2.65
Rosario Central or Draw91%1.10
Gimnasia (Mendoza) or Draw30%3.36
Rosario Central to win and Over 2.540%2.51
Gimnasia (Mendoza) to win and Over 2.54%25.64
Rosario Central clean sheet57%1.76
Gimnasia (Mendoza) clean sheet14%7.16

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-015.4%
1-015.1%
3-010.1%
1-19.4%
2-18.7%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Rosario Central vs Gimnasia (Mendoza)?

Our prediction for Rosario Central vs Gimnasia (Mendoza) is Rosario Central to win, with a 70% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.32.

What is the score prediction for Rosario Central vs Gimnasia (Mendoza)?

2-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 3-0. We expect Rosario Central to score 2.0 goals and Gimnasia (Mendoza) 0.6.

Will both teams score in Rosario Central vs Gimnasia (Mendoza)?

Both teams to score has a 38% chance. Both sides scored in 8 of Rosario Central last 20 games and 9 of Gimnasia (Mendoza) last 20.

How are Rosario Central playing?

Rosario Central have 11 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 14 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Gimnasia (Mendoza) playing?

Gimnasia (Mendoza) have 8 wins, 5 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 24 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, D, L, L, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Rosario Central vs Gimnasia (Mendoza)?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.32, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Rosario Central against Gimnasia (M). A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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