Predictions › Norway › Rosenborg vs IK Start
EliteserienSat 7 Nov, 17:00 Norway time

Rosenborg vs IK Start prediction

Lerkendal Stadion

RosenborgHome
3.44 : 0.89
expected goals
IK StartAway
84%Rosenborg
10%Draw
6%IK Start
Eagle safe pickRosenborg to win
1.19

Quick answer

Our prediction for Rosenborg vs IK Start is Rosenborg to win, with a 84% chance. The most likely score is 3-0. Our best bet is Rosenborg to win at 1.19.

Prediction
Rosenborg to win
Chance
84%
Most likely score
3-0
Expected goals
Rosenborg 3.4, IK Start 0.9
Best bet
Rosenborg to win at 1.19
Both teams to score
57%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Rosenborg to win
84% chanceFair price 1.192 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Rosenborg to win and both score
43% chanceFair price 2.321 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Rosenborg 84%, the draw 10% and IK Start 6%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Rosenborg took 13 points from their last 5 games and IK Start took 6 from 5. Rosenborg come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Rosenborg won 6 of their last 10 games at home. IK Start won 1 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Rosenborg score 2.2 goals a game and let in 1.2. IK Start score 1.1 and let in 2.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 14 of Rosenborg games and 13 of IK Start games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Rosenborg won 1 and IK Start won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended IK Start 0, Rosenborg 3.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Rosenborg to win has a 84% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Rosenborgrecent form+4%
  • IK Startrecent form-3%
Rosenborg form D W D W WIK Start form D L L L WHome edge in this league 31% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Rosenborg vs IK Start: Rosenborg are favourites

The big picture

Rosenborg host IK Start in the Eliteserien on Sat 7 Nov, 17:00 at Lerkendal Stadion. Our prediction for Rosenborg vs IK Start is Rosenborg to win, with a 84% chance. The most likely score is 3-0. Our best bet is Rosenborg to win at 1.19.

Rosenborg form

Rosenborg have 11 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 44 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, W, W, newest first.

IK Start form

IK Start have 5 wins, 2 draws and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 47 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 0 draws and 8 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Rosenborg won 1, IK Start won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished IK Start 0, Rosenborg 3.

Our call

We expect Rosenborg to score about 3.4 goals and IK Start about 0.9. That points to Rosenborg to win, with 3-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Rosenborg to win at 1.19. Our bold bet is Rosenborg to win and both score at 2.32.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

RosenborgIK Start
Games played2020
Wins115
Draws42
Losses513
Goals scored4423
Goals conceded2447
Scored per game2.21.1
Conceded per game1.22.4
Home record6W 3D 1L4W 2D 5L
Away record5W 1D 4L1W 0D 8L
Clean sheets45%15%
Both teams scored45%55%
Over 2.5 goals70%65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals93%1.07
Over 2.5 goals81%1.24
Over 3.5 goals63%1.59
Both teams to score57%1.75
Rosenborg or Draw94%1.06
IK Start or Draw16%6.37
Rosenborg to win and Over 2.572%1.39
IK Start to win and Over 2.54%24.35
Rosenborg clean sheet41%2.42
IK Start clean sheet3%31.25

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

3-09.0%
3-17.9%
2-07.8%
4-07.7%
2-16.9%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Rosenborg vs IK Start?

Our prediction for Rosenborg vs IK Start is Rosenborg to win, with a 84% chance. The most likely score is 3-0. Our best bet is Rosenborg to win at 1.19.

What is the score prediction for Rosenborg vs IK Start?

3-0 is the most likely score, followed by 3-1 and 2-0. We expect Rosenborg to score 3.4 goals and IK Start 0.9.

Will both teams score in Rosenborg vs IK Start?

Both teams to score has a 57% chance. Both sides scored in 9 of Rosenborg last 20 games and 11 of IK Start last 20.

How are Rosenborg playing?

Rosenborg have 11 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 44 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, W, W, newest first.

How are IK Start playing?

IK Start have 5 wins, 2 draws and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 47 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 0 draws and 8 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Rosenborg and IK Start last met?

It ended IK Start 0, Rosenborg 3. In the last 1 meeting Rosenborg won 1 and IK Start won 0.

What is the best bet for Rosenborg vs IK Start?

Rosenborg to win at 1.19, with a 84% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Rosenborg against IK Start. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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