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Predictions › Belgium › Royal Charleroi SC vs Sint-Truidense
Belgian Pro LeagueSat 21 Nov, 15:00 Belgium time

Royal Charleroi SC vs Sint-Truidense prediction

Stade du Pays de Charleroi

Royal Charleroi SCHome
1.91 : 1.49
expected goals
Sint-TruidenseAway
47%Royal Charleroi
23%Draw
30%Sint-Truidense
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.17

Quick answer

Our prediction for Royal Charleroi SC vs Sint-Truidense is Royal Charleroi SC to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.17.

Prediction
Royal Charleroi SC to win
Chance
47%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Royal Charleroi SC 1.9, Sint-Truidense 1.5
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.17
Both teams to score
67%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
86% chanceFair price 1.172 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Royal Charleroi SC to win and Over 2.5
34% chanceFair price 2.911 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Royal Charleroi SC 47%, the draw 23% and Sint-Truidense 30%. The bookmakers agree and make Royal Charleroi SC the favourite at 2.00.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Royal Charleroi SC took 12 points from their last 5 games and Sint-Truidense took 7 from 5. Royal Charleroi SC come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Royal Charleroi SC won 6 of their last 10 games at home. Sint-Truidense won 3 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Royal Charleroi SC score 1.9 goals a game and let in 0.9. Sint-Truidense score 1.9 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of Royal Charleroi SC games and 12 of Sint-Truidense games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Royal Charleroi SC won 1 and Sint-Truidense won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Sint-Truidense 0, Royal Charleroi SC 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 86% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Royal Charleroirecent form+4%
  • Sint-Truidenserecent form-1%
Royal Charleroi form W W L W WSint-Truidense form D D L L WHome edge in this league 19% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Royal Charleroi SC vs Sint-Truidense: Royal Charleroi SC are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Royal Charleroi SC host Sint-Truidense in the Belgian Pro League on Sat 21 Nov, 15:00 at Stade du Pays de Charleroi. Our prediction for Royal Charleroi SC vs Sint-Truidense is Royal Charleroi SC to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.17.

Royal Charleroi SC form

Royal Charleroi SC have 14 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 38 goals scored and 19 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, W, newest first.

Sint-Truidense form

Sint-Truidense have 8 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 37 goals scored and 31 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Royal Charleroi SC won 1, Sint-Truidense won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Sint-Truidense 0, Royal Charleroi SC 2.

Our call

We expect Royal Charleroi SC to score about 1.9 goals and Sint-Truidense about 1.5. That points to Royal Charleroi SC to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.17. Our bold bet is Royal Charleroi SC to win and Over 2.5 at 2.91.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Royal CharleroiSint-Truidense
Games played2020
Wins148
Draws24
Losses48
Goals scored3837
Goals conceded1931
Scored per game1.91.9
Conceded per game0.91.6
Home record6W 1D 3L5W 3D 3L
Away record8W 1D 1L3W 1D 5L
Clean sheets40%20%
Both teams scored50%60%
Over 2.5 goals45%60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Royal Charleroi SC to win44%2.262.00-11.4%
A Draw23%4.423.85-12.8%
Sint-Truidense to win29%3.413.15-7.7%
Over 3.5 goals40%2.482.25-9.2%
Under 3.5 goals53%1.901.54-18.8%
Royal Charleroi SC -0.545%2.241.91-14.7%
Sint-Truidense +0.548%2.071.74-15.8%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals86%1.16
Over 2.5 goals66%1.51
Over 3.5 goals44%2.26
Both teams to score67%1.50
Royal Charleroi SC or Draw70%1.42
Sint-Truidense or Draw53%1.89
Royal Charleroi SC to win and Over 2.535%2.85
Sint-Truidense to win and Over 2.522%4.63
Royal Charleroi SC clean sheet23%4.44
Sint-Truidense clean sheet15%6.75

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-110.1%
2-19.1%
1-27.1%
2-26.8%
2-06.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Royal Charleroi SC vs Sint-Truidense?

Our prediction for Royal Charleroi SC vs Sint-Truidense is Royal Charleroi SC to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.17.

What is the score prediction for Royal Charleroi SC vs Sint-Truidense?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-2. We expect Royal Charleroi SC to score 1.9 goals and Sint-Truidense 1.5.

Will both teams score in Royal Charleroi SC vs Sint-Truidense?

Both teams to score has a 67% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Royal Charleroi SC last 20 games and 12 of Sint-Truidense last 20.

How are Royal Charleroi SC playing?

Royal Charleroi SC have 14 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 38 goals scored and 19 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, W, newest first.

How are Sint-Truidense playing?

Sint-Truidense have 8 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 37 goals scored and 31 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Royal Charleroi SC and Sint-Truidense last met?

It ended Sint-Truidense 0, Royal Charleroi SC 2. In the last 1 meeting Royal Charleroi SC won 1 and Sint-Truidense won 0.

What is the best bet for Royal Charleroi SC vs Sint-Truidense?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.17, with a 86% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Royal Charleroi against Sint-Truidense. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
  • 18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
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