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Predictions › Denmark › Sønderjyske Fodbold vs Odense Boldklub
Danish SuperligaSun 22 Nov, 15:00 Denmark time

Sønderjyske Fodbold vs Odense Boldklub prediction

Sydbank Park

Sønderjyske FodboldHome
1.40 : 1.58
expected goals
Odense BoldklubAway
33%Sønderjyske
26%Draw
41%Odense
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.25

Quick answer

Our prediction for Sønderjyske Fodbold vs Odense Boldklub is Odense Boldklub to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.25.

Prediction
Odense Boldklub to win
Chance
41%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Sønderjyske Fodbold 1.4, Odense Boldklub 1.6
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.25
Both teams to score
60%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
80% chanceFair price 1.252 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Odense Boldklub to win and Over 2.5
27% chanceFair price 3.711 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Sønderjyske Fodbold 33%, the draw 26% and Odense Boldklub 41%. The bookmakers agree and make Odense Boldklub the favourite at 2.25.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Sønderjyske Fodbold took 4 points from their last 5 games and Odense Boldklub took 8 from 5. Odense Boldklub come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Sønderjyske Fodbold won 3 of their last 10 games at home. Odense Boldklub won 2 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Sønderjyske Fodbold score 1.3 goals a game and let in 2.4. Odense Boldklub score 1.3 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 15 of Sønderjyske Fodbold games and 11 of Odense Boldklub games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 3 meetings, Sønderjyske Fodbold won 1 and Odense Boldklub won 1 with 1 draw. The last one ended Odense Boldklub 1, Sønderjyske Fodbold 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 80% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Sønderjyskerecent form-3%
  • Odenserecent form+1%
Sønderjyske form D L L W LOdense form L W D W DHome edge in this league 18% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Sønderjyske Fodbold vs Odense Boldklub: Odense Boldklub shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Sønderjyske Fodbold host Odense Boldklub in the Danish Superliga on Sun 22 Nov, 15:00 at Sydbank Park. Our prediction for Sønderjyske Fodbold vs Odense Boldklub is Odense Boldklub to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.25.

Sønderjyske Fodbold form

Sønderjyske Fodbold have 4 wins, 3 draws and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 47 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, W, L, newest first.

Odense Boldklub form

Odense Boldklub have 6 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, W, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 3 times in our records. Sønderjyske Fodbold won 1, Odense Boldklub won 1 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Odense Boldklub 1, Sønderjyske Fodbold 0.

Our call

We expect Sønderjyske Fodbold to score about 1.4 goals and Odense Boldklub about 1.6. That points to Odense Boldklub to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.25. Our bold bet is Odense Boldklub to win and Over 2.5 at 3.71.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

SønderjyskeOdense
Games played2020
Wins46
Draws36
Losses138
Goals scored2626
Goals conceded4728
Scored per game1.31.3
Conceded per game2.41.4
Home record3W 1D 6L4W 1D 5L
Away record1W 2D 7L2W 5D 3L
Clean sheets20%15%
Both teams scored55%65%
Over 2.5 goals75%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Sønderjyske Fodbold to win33%3.072.70-11.9%
A Draw25%3.993.70-7.3%
Odense Boldklub to win40%2.512.25-10.2%
Over 2.5 goals53%1.881.54-18.0%
Under 2.5 goals40%2.502.25-10.0%
Sønderjyske Fodbold +0.553%1.901.57-17.1%
Odense Boldklub -0.540%2.472.15-13.0%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals80%1.24
Over 2.5 goals57%1.75
Over 3.5 goals35%2.88
Both teams to score60%1.65
Sønderjyske Fodbold or Draw59%1.70
Odense Boldklub or Draw67%1.50
Sønderjyske Fodbold to win and Over 2.522%4.59
Odense Boldklub to win and Over 2.527%3.64
Sønderjyske Fodbold clean sheet21%4.85
Odense Boldklub clean sheet25%4.05

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.9%
1-28.9%
2-17.9%
0-17.4%
1-06.4%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Sønderjyske Fodbold vs Odense Boldklub?

Our prediction for Sønderjyske Fodbold vs Odense Boldklub is Odense Boldklub to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.25.

What is the score prediction for Sønderjyske Fodbold vs Odense Boldklub?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 2-1. We expect Sønderjyske Fodbold to score 1.4 goals and Odense Boldklub 1.6.

Will both teams score in Sønderjyske Fodbold vs Odense Boldklub?

Both teams to score has a 60% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Sønderjyske Fodbold last 20 games and 13 of Odense Boldklub last 20.

How are Sønderjyske Fodbold playing?

Sønderjyske Fodbold have 4 wins, 3 draws and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 47 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, W, L, newest first.

How are Odense Boldklub playing?

Odense Boldklub have 6 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, W, D, newest first.

What happened when Sønderjyske Fodbold and Odense Boldklub last met?

It ended Odense Boldklub 1, Sønderjyske Fodbold 0. In the last 3 meetings Sønderjyske Fodbold won 1 and Odense Boldklub won 1.

What is the best bet for Sønderjyske Fodbold vs Odense Boldklub?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.25, with a 80% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Sønderjyske against Odense. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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