PredictionsDenmarkSønderjyske Fodbold vs Randers FC
Danish SuperligaSun 20 Sept, 12:00 Denmark time

Sønderjyske Fodbold vs Randers FC prediction

Sydbank Park

Sønderjyske FodboldHome
1.08 : 1.49
expected goals
Randers FCAway
27%Sønderjyske
27%Draw
46%Randers
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.33

Quick answer

Our prediction for Sønderjyske Fodbold vs Randers FC is Randers FC to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.33.

Prediction
Randers FC to win
Chance
46%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Sønderjyske Fodbold 1.1, Randers FC 1.5
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.33
Both teams to score
52%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
75% chanceFair price 1.332 units

Eagle bold pick

Randers FC to win and Over 2.5
25% chanceFair price 3.961 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Sønderjyske Fodbold 27%, the draw 27% and Randers FC 46%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Sønderjyske Fodbold took 1 point from their last 5 games and Randers FC took 9 from 5. Randers FC come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Sønderjyske Fodbold won 2 of their last 10 games at home. Randers FC won 3 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Sønderjyske Fodbold score 0.9 goals a game and let in 2.0. Randers FC score 1.2 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Sønderjyske Fodbold games and 12 of Randers FC games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Sønderjyske Fodbold won 0 and Randers FC won 1 with 1 draw. The last one ended Randers FC 0, Sønderjyske Fodbold 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Sønderjyskerecent form-6%
  • Randersrecent form+1%
  • Sønderjyskerest between games-5%
Sønderjyske form D L L L LRanders form W W L L WHome edge in this league 16% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Sønderjyske Fodbold vs Randers FC: Randers FC are favourites

The big picture

Sønderjyske Fodbold host Randers FC in the Danish Superliga on Sun 20 Sept, 12:00 at Sydbank Park. Our prediction for Sønderjyske Fodbold vs Randers FC is Randers FC to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.33.

Sønderjyske Fodbold form

Sønderjyske Fodbold have 3 wins, 5 draws and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 40 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Randers FC form

Randers FC have 7 wins, 4 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 31 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Sønderjyske Fodbold won 0, Randers FC won 1 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Randers FC 0, Sønderjyske Fodbold 0.

Our call

We expect Sønderjyske Fodbold to score about 1.1 goals and Randers FC about 1.5. That points to Randers FC to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.33. Our bold bet is Randers FC to win and Over 2.5 at 3.96.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

SønderjyskeRanders
Games played2020
Wins37
Draws54
Losses129
Goals scored1924
Goals conceded4031
Scored per game0.91.2
Conceded per game2.01.6
Home record2W 2D 6L4W 3D 4L
Away record1W 3D 6L3W 1D 5L
Clean sheets25%25%
Both teams scored50%45%
Over 2.5 goals55%60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals74%1.36
Over 2.5 goals48%2.10
Over 3.5 goals26%3.86
Both teams to score52%1.92
Sønderjyske Fodbold or Draw54%1.85
Randers FC or Draw73%1.37
Sønderjyske Fodbold to win and Over 2.515%6.75
Randers FC to win and Over 2.527%3.74
Sønderjyske Fodbold clean sheet22%4.45
Randers FC clean sheet34%2.96

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.0%
0-110.6%
1-29.2%
0-28.5%
0-08.3%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Sønderjyske Fodbold vs Randers FC?

Our prediction for Sønderjyske Fodbold vs Randers FC is Randers FC to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.33.

What is the score prediction for Sønderjyske Fodbold vs Randers FC?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 1-2. We expect Sønderjyske Fodbold to score 1.1 goals and Randers FC 1.5.

Will both teams score in Sønderjyske Fodbold vs Randers FC?

Both teams to score has a 52% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Sønderjyske Fodbold last 20 games and 9 of Randers FC last 20.

How are Sønderjyske Fodbold playing?

Sønderjyske Fodbold have 3 wins, 5 draws and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 40 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, L, L, newest first.

How are Randers FC playing?

Randers FC have 7 wins, 4 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 31 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Sønderjyske Fodbold and Randers FC last met?

It ended Randers FC 0, Sønderjyske Fodbold 0. In the last 2 meetings Sønderjyske Fodbold won 0 and Randers FC won 1.

What is the best bet for Sønderjyske Fodbold vs Randers FC?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.33, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Sønderjyske against Randers. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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