Predictions › Denmark › Sønderjyske Fodbold vs Silkeborg IF

Danish SuperligaSun 18 Oct, 12:00 Denmark time

Sønderjyske Fodbold vs Silkeborg IF prediction

Sydbank Park

Sønderjyske FodboldHome

1.81 : 1.99

expected goals

Silkeborg IFAway

35%Sønderjyske

22%Draw

43%Silkeborg

Eagle safe pickOver 2.5 goals

1.35

Quick answer

Our prediction for Sønderjyske Fodbold vs Silkeborg IF is Silkeborg IF to win, with a 43% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1.35.

Prediction: Silkeborg IF to win
Chance: 43%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Sønderjyske Fodbold 1.8, Silkeborg IF 2.0
Best bet: Over 2.5 goals at 1.35
Both teams to score: 73%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 2.5 goals

74% chanceFair price 1.351 unit

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Silkeborg IF to win and Over 2.5

33% chanceFair price 3.041 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Sønderjyske Fodbold 35%, the draw 22% and Silkeborg IF 43%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
Sønderjyske Fodbold took 4 points from their last 5 games and Silkeborg IF took 6 from 5. Silkeborg IF come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Sønderjyske Fodbold won 3 of their last 11 games at home. Silkeborg IF won 4 of their last 11 on the road.
4
Goals
Sønderjyske Fodbold score 1.1 goals a game and let in 2.1. Silkeborg IF score 1.5 and let in 1.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of Sønderjyske Fodbold games and 13 of Silkeborg IF games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting, Sønderjyske Fodbold won 1 and Silkeborg IF won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Sønderjyske Fodbold 2, Silkeborg IF 1.
6
The safest bet
Over 2.5 goals has a 74% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Sønderjyskerecent form-3%

Sønderjyske form W D L L LSilkeborg form W D D D LHome edge in this league 16% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Sønderjyske Fodbold vs Silkeborg IF: Silkeborg IF shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Sønderjyske Fodbold host Silkeborg IF in the Danish Superliga on Sun 18 Oct, 12:00 at Sydbank Park. Our prediction for Sønderjyske Fodbold vs Silkeborg IF is Silkeborg IF to win, with a 43% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1.35.

Sønderjyske Fodbold form

Sønderjyske Fodbold have 4 wins, 4 draws and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 42 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, L, L, newest first.

Silkeborg IF form

Silkeborg IF have 7 wins, 6 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 36 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, D, D, D, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Sønderjyske Fodbold won 1, Silkeborg IF won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Sønderjyske Fodbold 2, Silkeborg IF 1.

Our call

We expect Sønderjyske Fodbold to score about 1.8 goals and Silkeborg IF about 2.0. That points to Silkeborg IF to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1.35. Our bold bet is Silkeborg IF to win and Over 2.5 at 3.04.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Sønderjyske	Silkeborg
Games played	20	20
Wins	4	7
Draws	4	6
Losses	12	7
Goals scored	23	30
Goals conceded	42	36
Scored per game	1.1	1.5
Conceded per game	2.1	1.8
Home record	3W 2D 6L	3W 4D 2L
Away record	1W 2D 6L	4W 2D 5L
Clean sheets	20%	20%
Both teams scored	55%	65%
Over 2.5 goals	60%	65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	90%	1.11
Over 2.5 goals	73%	1.37
Over 3.5 goals	53%	1.90
Both teams to score	73%	1.38
Sønderjyske Fodbold or Draw	57%	1.74
Silkeborg IF or Draw	65%	1.55
Sønderjyske Fodbold to win and Over 2.5	28%	3.56
Silkeborg IF to win and Over 2.5	34%	2.93
Sønderjyske Fodbold clean sheet	14%	7.34
Silkeborg IF clean sheet	16%	6.10

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-18.5%

1-28.0%

2-17.3%

2-27.3%

1-35.3%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Sønderjyske Fodbold vs Silkeborg IF?

Our prediction for Sønderjyske Fodbold vs Silkeborg IF is Silkeborg IF to win, with a 43% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1.35.

What is the score prediction for Sønderjyske Fodbold vs Silkeborg IF?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 2-1. We expect Sønderjyske Fodbold to score 1.8 goals and Silkeborg IF 2.0.

Will both teams score in Sønderjyske Fodbold vs Silkeborg IF?

Both teams to score has a 73% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Sønderjyske Fodbold last 20 games and 13 of Silkeborg IF last 20.

How are Sønderjyske Fodbold playing?

How are Silkeborg IF playing?

What happened when Sønderjyske Fodbold and Silkeborg IF last met?

It ended Sønderjyske Fodbold 2, Silkeborg IF 1. In the last 1 meeting Sønderjyske Fodbold won 1 and Silkeborg IF won 0.

What is the best bet for Sønderjyske Fodbold vs Silkeborg IF?

Over 2.5 goals at 1.35, with a 74% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Sønderjyske against Silkeborg. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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