Predictions › Champions League › Sabah FK vs Borussia Dortmund
Champions LeagueTue 20 Oct, 16:45 UTC

Sabah FK vs Borussia Dortmund prediction

Baku Olympic Stadium

Sabah FKHome
1.31 : 1.59
expected goals
Borussia DortmundAway
31%Sabah
26%Draw
43%Dortmund
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.30

Quick answer

Our prediction for Sabah FK vs Borussia Dortmund is Borussia Dortmund to win, with a 43% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.30.

Prediction
Borussia Dortmund to win
Chance
43%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Sabah FK 1.3, Borussia Dortmund 1.6
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.30
Both teams to score
59%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
77% chanceFair price 1.302 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Borussia Dortmund to win and Over 2.5
27% chanceFair price 3.721 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Sabah FK 31%, the draw 26% and Borussia Dortmund 43%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Sabah FK took 0 points from their last 1 games and Borussia Dortmund took 13 from 5. Borussia Dortmund come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Goals

    Sabah FK score 0.0 goals a game and let in 4.0. Borussia Dortmund score 2.0 and let in 1.2. Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 of Sabah FK games and 12 of Borussia Dortmund games in that run.

  4. 4
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Sabahrecent form-1%
  • Dortmundrecent form+6%
  • Sabahrest between games-3%
  • Dortmundrest between games-5%
Sabah form L W L W LDortmund form D W W W WHome edge in this league 32% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Sabah FK vs Borussia Dortmund: Borussia Dortmund shade it

The big picture

Sabah FK host Borussia Dortmund in the Champions League on Tue 20 Oct, 16:45 at Baku Olympic Stadium. Our prediction for Sabah FK vs Borussia Dortmund is Borussia Dortmund to win, with a 43% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.30.

Sabah FK form

Sabah FK have 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss in their last 1 games, with 0 goals scored and 4 conceded. Their last 1 results read L, newest first.

Borussia Dortmund form

Borussia Dortmund have 13 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 40 goals scored and 24 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Sabah FK to score about 1.3 goals and Borussia Dortmund about 1.6. That points to Borussia Dortmund to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.30. Our bold bet is Borussia Dortmund to win and Over 2.5 at 3.72.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

SabahDortmund
Games played120
Wins013
Draws02
Losses15
Goals scored040
Goals conceded424
Scored per game0.02.0
Conceded per game4.01.2
Home recordn/a8W 1D 2L
Away record0W 0D 1L5W 1D 3L
Clean sheets0%40%
Both teams scored0%50%
Over 2.5 goals100%60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals79%1.26
Over 2.5 goals56%1.80
Over 3.5 goals33%3.02
Both teams to score59%1.70
Sabah FK or Draw57%1.76
Borussia Dortmund or Draw69%1.45
Sabah FK to win and Over 2.520%5.10
Borussia Dortmund to win and Over 2.528%3.53
Sabah FK clean sheet20%4.92
Borussia Dortmund clean sheet27%3.71

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.1%
1-29.1%
0-18.0%
2-17.5%
0-26.9%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Sabah FK vs Borussia Dortmund?

Our prediction for Sabah FK vs Borussia Dortmund is Borussia Dortmund to win, with a 43% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.30.

What is the score prediction for Sabah FK vs Borussia Dortmund?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 0-1. We expect Sabah FK to score 1.3 goals and Borussia Dortmund 1.6.

Will both teams score in Sabah FK vs Borussia Dortmund?

Both teams to score has a 59% chance. Both sides scored in 0 of Sabah FK last 1 games and 10 of Borussia Dortmund last 20.

How are Sabah FK playing?

Sabah FK have 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss in their last 1 games, with 0 goals scored and 4 conceded. Their last 1 results read L, newest first.

How are Borussia Dortmund playing?

Borussia Dortmund have 13 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 40 goals scored and 24 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, W, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Sabah FK vs Borussia Dortmund?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.30, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Sabah against Dortmund. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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