Predictions › Champions League › Sabah FK vs Slavia Prague
Champions LeagueTue 13 Oct, 16:45 UTC

Sabah FK vs Slavia Prague prediction

Baku Olympic Stadium

Sabah FKHome
1.27 : 1.72
expected goals
Slavia PragueAway
28%Sabah
25%Draw
47%Slavia Prague
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.28

Quick answer

Our prediction for Sabah FK vs Slavia Prague is Slavia Prague to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.28.

Prediction
Slavia Prague to win
Chance
47%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Sabah FK 1.3, Slavia Prague 1.7
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.28
Both teams to score
60%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
78% chanceFair price 1.282 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Slavia Prague to win and Over 2.5
31% chanceFair price 3.201 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Sabah FK 28%, the draw 25% and Slavia Prague 47%. The bookmakers agree and make Slavia Prague the favourite at 1.95.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Sabah FK took 0 points from their last 1 games and Slavia Prague took 1 from 5. Slavia Prague come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Goals

    Sabah FK score 0.0 goals a game and let in 4.0. Slavia Prague score 0.8 and let in 2.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 of Sabah FK games and 7 of Slavia Prague games in that run.

  4. 4
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 78% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Sabahrecent form-1%
  • Slavia Praguerecent form-6%
Sabah form L W L W LSlavia Prague form L L L L DHome edge in this league 32% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Sabah FK vs Slavia Prague: Slavia Prague are favourites

The big picture

Sabah FK host Slavia Prague in the Champions League on Tue 13 Oct, 16:45 at Baku Olympic Stadium. Our prediction for Sabah FK vs Slavia Prague is Slavia Prague to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.28.

Sabah FK form

Sabah FK have 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss in their last 1 games, with 0 goals scored and 4 conceded. Their last 1 results read L, newest first.

Slavia Prague form

Slavia Prague have 0 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses in their last 9 games, with 7 goals scored and 22 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 4. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, D, newest first.

Our call

We expect Sabah FK to score about 1.3 goals and Slavia Prague about 1.7. That points to Slavia Prague to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.28. Our bold bet is Slavia Prague to win and Over 2.5 at 3.20.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 9 games in all competitions.

SabahSlavia Prague
Games played19
Wins00
Draws03
Losses16
Goals scored07
Goals conceded422
Scored per game0.00.8
Conceded per game4.02.4
Home recordn/a0W 2D 3L
Away record0W 0D 1L0W 1D 3L
Clean sheets0%22%
Both teams scored0%44%
Over 2.5 goals100%78%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Sabah FK to win27%3.673.45-6.0%
A Draw25%4.073.65-10.3%
Slavia Prague to win45%2.231.95-12.4%
Over 2.5 goals54%1.841.63-11.5%
Under 2.5 goals40%2.482.20-11.2%
Sabah FK +0.549%2.041.77-13.2%
Slavia Prague -0.546%2.191.87-14.5%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals81%1.24
Over 2.5 goals57%1.74
Over 3.5 goals35%2.85
Both teams to score60%1.68
Sabah FK or Draw53%1.90
Slavia Prague or Draw72%1.38
Sabah FK to win and Over 2.518%5.59
Slavia Prague to win and Over 2.532%3.14
Sabah FK clean sheet18%5.58
Slavia Prague clean sheet28%3.56

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.6%
1-29.4%
0-18.0%
0-27.4%
2-17.0%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Sabah FK vs Slavia Prague?

Our prediction for Sabah FK vs Slavia Prague is Slavia Prague to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.28.

What is the score prediction for Sabah FK vs Slavia Prague?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 0-1. We expect Sabah FK to score 1.3 goals and Slavia Prague 1.7.

Will both teams score in Sabah FK vs Slavia Prague?

Both teams to score has a 60% chance. Both sides scored in 0 of Sabah FK last 1 games and 4 of Slavia Prague last 9.

How are Sabah FK playing?

Sabah FK have 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss in their last 1 games, with 0 goals scored and 4 conceded. Their last 1 results read L, newest first.

How are Slavia Prague playing?

Slavia Prague have 0 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses in their last 9 games, with 7 goals scored and 22 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 4. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, D, newest first.

What is the best bet for Sabah FK vs Slavia Prague?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.28, with a 78% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Sabah against Slavia Prague. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
  • 18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
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