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Predictions › United States › Sacramento Kings vs Dallas Mavericks
NBAMon 2 Nov, 20:00 United States time

Sacramento Kings vs Dallas Mavericks prediction

American Airlines Center

Sacramento KingsAway
114.8 : 120.4
projected points
Dallas MavericksHome
32%Kings
68%Mavericks
Eagle safe pickMavericks +2.5
-304

Quick answer

Our prediction for Sacramento Kings vs Dallas Mavericks is Dallas Mavericks to win, with a 68% chance. We project Sacramento Kings 114.8 and Dallas Mavericks 120.4. Our best bet is Mavericks +2.5 at -304.

Prediction
Dallas Mavericks to win
Chance
68%
Projected score
Sacramento Kings 115, Dallas Mavericks 120
Projected total
235.2 points
Best bet
Mavericks +2.5 at -304

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Mavericks +2.5
75% chanceFair price -3042 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Kings to win
31% chanceFair price +2211 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Dallas Mavericks 68% and Sacramento Kings 32%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Dallas Mavericks won 2 of their last 5 and Sacramento Kings won 0 of their last 5. Dallas Mavericks come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Dallas Mavericks won 2 of their last 10 games at home. Sacramento Kings won 1 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Dallas Mavericks score 117.5 points a game and let in 125.0. Sacramento Kings score 109.0 and let in 121.2. Their recent games average 242.5 and 230.2 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 3 meetings, Dallas Mavericks won 1 and Sacramento Kings won 2. The last one ended Dallas Mavericks 121, Sacramento Kings 130.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Mavericks +2.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Mavericksrest between games-5%
  • Kingsrest between games-2%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Sacramento Kings vs Dallas Mavericks: Dallas Mavericks are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Dallas Mavericks host Sacramento Kings in the NBA on Mon 2 Nov, 20:00 at American Airlines Center. Our prediction for Sacramento Kings vs Dallas Mavericks is Dallas Mavericks to win, with a 68% chance. We project Sacramento Kings 114.8 and Dallas Mavericks 120.4. Our best bet is Mavericks +2.5 at -304.

Dallas Mavericks form

Dallas Mavericks have 5 wins and 15 losses in their last 20 games, with 2349 points scored and 2501 conceded. At home they have 2 wins and 8 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, W, newest first.

Sacramento Kings form

Sacramento Kings have 5 wins and 15 losses in their last 20 games, with 2181 points scored and 2423 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win and 10 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 3 times in our records. Dallas Mavericks won 1, Sacramento Kings won 2. Last time out it finished Dallas Mavericks 121, Sacramento Kings 130.

Our call

We expect Sacramento Kings to score about 114.8 points and Dallas Mavericks about 120.4. That points to Dallas Mavericks to win. Our safest bet is Mavericks +2.5 at -304. Our bold bet is Kings to win at +221.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

MavericksKings
Games played2020
Wins55
Losses1515
Points scored23492181
Points conceded25012423
Scored per game117.5109.0
Conceded per game125.0121.2
Home record2W 8L4W 5L
Away record3W 7L1W 10L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Mavericks spreadCoversFair
Mavericks -11.532%+214
Mavericks -8.541%+145
Mavericks -5.550%-101
Mavericks -2.560%-148
Mavericks +0.569%-219
Total pointsOverUnder
229.562%38%
232.556%44%
235.549%51%
238.543%57%
241.536%64%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Mavericks +3.5 wins if Mavericks win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
NBA

Rockets Trap Kyrie Irving as Dallas Drops Season Opener

Houston rolled to a 128-110 win over Dallas, swarming Kyrie Irving and building a massive lead in the second quarter.

22 Oct 2026
NBA

Kings Center Maxime Raynaud Avoids Major Knee Injury

Maxime Raynaud suffered a knee injury in Sacramento's preseason game and will be reevaluated in two weeks.

11 Oct 2026
NBA

Mavs and Rockets Bond and Break Rims on Preseason China Trip

The Dallas Mavericks and Houston Rockets are in Macao, China, for a preseason doubleheader, bonding off the court and meeting fans.

8 Oct 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Sacramento Kings vs Dallas Mavericks?

Our prediction for Sacramento Kings vs Dallas Mavericks is Dallas Mavericks to win, with a 68% chance. We project Sacramento Kings 114.8 and Dallas Mavericks 120.4. Our best bet is Mavericks +2.5 at -304.

What is the projected score for Sacramento Kings vs Dallas Mavericks?

We project Sacramento Kings 114.8 and Dallas Mavericks 120.4, about 235.2 points in total.

How are Dallas Mavericks playing?

Dallas Mavericks have 5 wins and 15 losses in their last 20 games, with 2349 points scored and 2501 conceded. At home they have 2 wins and 8 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, W, newest first.

How are Sacramento Kings playing?

Sacramento Kings have 5 wins and 15 losses in their last 20 games, with 2181 points scored and 2423 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win and 10 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Dallas Mavericks and Sacramento Kings last met?

It ended Dallas Mavericks 121, Sacramento Kings 130. In the last 3 meetings Dallas Mavericks won 1 and Sacramento Kings won 2.

What is the best bet for Sacramento Kings vs Dallas Mavericks?

Mavericks +2.5 at -304, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Mavericks against Kings. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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