Predictions › United States › Sacramento Kings vs LA Clippers
NBAWed 21 Oct, 22:30 United States time

Sacramento Kings vs LA Clippers prediction

Intuit Dome

Sacramento KingsAway
111.9 : 117.6
projected points
LA ClippersHome
42%Kings
58%Clippers
Eagle safe pickClippers +3.5
-314

Quick answer

Our prediction for Sacramento Kings vs LA Clippers is LA Clippers to win, with a 58% chance, but it is a close call. We project Sacramento Kings 111.9 and LA Clippers 117.6. Our best bet is Clippers +3.5 at -314.

Prediction
LA Clippers to win
Chance
58%
Projected score
Sacramento Kings 112, LA Clippers 118
Projected total
229.6 points
Best bet
Clippers +3.5 at -314

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Clippers +3.5
76% chanceFair price -3142 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives LA Clippers 58% and Sacramento Kings 42%. The bookmakers agree and make LA Clippers the favourite at -155.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    LA Clippers won 2 of their last 5 and Sacramento Kings won 1 of their last 5. LA Clippers come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    LA Clippers won 6 of their last 12 games at home. Sacramento Kings won 2 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    LA Clippers score 114.4 points a game and let in 113.0. Sacramento Kings score 111.5 and let in 120.0. Their recent games average 227.4 and 231.6 points in total, and the market line is 230.5.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 5 meetings, LA Clippers won 4 and Sacramento Kings won 1. The last one ended Sacramento Kings 109, LA Clippers 138.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Clippers +3.5 has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Clippersrest between games-5%
  • Kingsrest between games-5%
  • Kingsteam news-1%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Sacramento Kings vs LA Clippers: LA Clippers shade it

The big picture

LA Clippers host Sacramento Kings in the NBA on Wed 21 Oct, 22:30 at Intuit Dome. Our prediction for Sacramento Kings vs LA Clippers is LA Clippers to win, with a 58% chance, but it is a close call. We project Sacramento Kings 111.9 and LA Clippers 117.6. Our best bet is Clippers +3.5 at -314.

LA Clippers form

LA Clippers have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 2288 points scored and 2260 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 6 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, L, newest first.

Sacramento Kings form

Sacramento Kings have 7 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 2231 points scored and 2401 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 8 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 5 times in our records. LA Clippers won 4, Sacramento Kings won 1. Last time out it finished Sacramento Kings 109, LA Clippers 138.

Our call

We expect Sacramento Kings to score about 111.9 points and LA Clippers about 117.6. That points to LA Clippers to win. Our safest bet is Clippers +3.5 at -314.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

ClippersKings
Games played2020
Wins107
Losses1013
Points scored22882231
Points conceded22602401
Scored per game114.4111.5
Conceded per game113.0120.0
Home record6W 6L5W 5L
Away record4W 4L2W 8L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Clippers to win58%-138-155-4.7%
Kings to win37%+168+130-14.1%
Clippers -4.551%-102-105-1.4%
Kings +4.544%+127-115-17.5%
Over 230.5 points46%+119-110-13.0%
Under 230.5 points49%+104-110-6.4%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Clippers spreadCoversFair
Clippers -11.532%+211
Clippers -8.541%+143
Clippers -5.551%-103
Clippers -2.560%-151
Clippers +0.569%-223
Total pointsOverUnder
223.563%37%
226.557%43%
229.550%50%
232.544%56%
235.537%63%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Clippers +3.5 wins if Clippers win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Sacramento Kings vs LA Clippers?

Our prediction for Sacramento Kings vs LA Clippers is LA Clippers to win, with a 58% chance, but it is a close call. We project Sacramento Kings 111.9 and LA Clippers 117.6. Our best bet is Clippers +3.5 at -314.

What is the projected score for Sacramento Kings vs LA Clippers?

We project Sacramento Kings 111.9 and LA Clippers 117.6, about 229.6 points in total.

How are LA Clippers playing?

LA Clippers have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 2288 points scored and 2260 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 6 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, L, newest first.

How are Sacramento Kings playing?

Sacramento Kings have 7 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 2231 points scored and 2401 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 8 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, W, newest first.

What happened when LA Clippers and Sacramento Kings last met?

It ended Sacramento Kings 109, LA Clippers 138. In the last 5 meetings LA Clippers won 4 and Sacramento Kings won 1.

What is the best bet for Sacramento Kings vs LA Clippers?

Clippers +3.5 at -314, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Clippers against Kings. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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