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NBASat 31 Oct, 20:00 United States time

Sacramento Kings vs Memphis Grizzlies prediction

FedExForum

Sacramento KingsAway
114.3 : 120.5
projected points
Memphis GrizzliesHome
29%Kings
71%Grizzlies
Eagle safe pickKings +14.5
-306

Quick answer

Our prediction for Sacramento Kings vs Memphis Grizzlies is Memphis Grizzlies to win, with a 71% chance. We project Sacramento Kings 114.3 and Memphis Grizzlies 120.5. Our best bet is Kings +14.5 at -306.

Prediction
Memphis Grizzlies to win
Chance
71%
Projected score
Sacramento Kings 114, Memphis Grizzlies 121
Projected total
234.8 points
Best bet
Kings +14.5 at -306

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Kings +14.5
75% chanceFair price -3062 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Kings to win
29% chanceFair price +2441 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Memphis Grizzlies 71% and Sacramento Kings 29%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Memphis Grizzlies won 3 of their last 5 and Sacramento Kings won 0 of their last 5. Memphis Grizzlies come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Memphis Grizzlies won 3 of their last 11 games at home. Sacramento Kings won 2 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Memphis Grizzlies score 111.8 points a game and let in 126.2. Sacramento Kings score 110.2 and let in 120.5. Their recent games average 237.9 and 230.7 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 4 meetings, Memphis Grizzlies won 3 and Sacramento Kings won 1. The last one ended Memphis Grizzlies 114, Sacramento Kings 123.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Kings +14.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Sacramento Kings vs Memphis Grizzlies: Memphis Grizzlies are favourites

The big picture

Memphis Grizzlies host Sacramento Kings in the NBA on Sat 31 Oct, 20:00 at FedExForum. Our prediction for Sacramento Kings vs Memphis Grizzlies is Memphis Grizzlies to win, with a 71% chance. We project Sacramento Kings 114.3 and Memphis Grizzlies 120.5. Our best bet is Kings +14.5 at -306.

Memphis Grizzlies form

Memphis Grizzlies have 5 wins and 15 losses in their last 20 games, with 2236 points scored and 2523 conceded. At home they have 3 wins and 8 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, L, newest first.

Sacramento Kings form

Sacramento Kings have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 2203 points scored and 2411 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 9 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 4 times in our records. Memphis Grizzlies won 3, Sacramento Kings won 1. Last time out it finished Memphis Grizzlies 114, Sacramento Kings 123.

Our call

We expect Sacramento Kings to score about 114.3 points and Memphis Grizzlies about 120.5. That points to Memphis Grizzlies to win. Our safest bet is Kings +14.5 at -306. Our bold bet is Kings to win at +244.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

GrizzliesKings
Games played2020
Wins56
Losses1514
Points scored22362203
Points conceded25232411
Scored per game111.8110.2
Conceded per game126.2120.5
Home record3W 8L4W 5L
Away record2W 7L2W 9L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Grizzlies spreadCoversFair
Grizzlies -12.531%+224
Grizzlies -9.540%+152
Grizzlies -6.549%+103
Grizzlies -3.559%-142
Grizzlies -0.568%-210
Total pointsOverUnder
228.564%36%
231.557%43%
234.551%49%
237.544%56%
240.538%62%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Grizzlies +3.5 wins if Grizzlies win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Sacramento Kings vs Memphis Grizzlies?

Our prediction for Sacramento Kings vs Memphis Grizzlies is Memphis Grizzlies to win, with a 71% chance. We project Sacramento Kings 114.3 and Memphis Grizzlies 120.5. Our best bet is Kings +14.5 at -306.

What is the projected score for Sacramento Kings vs Memphis Grizzlies?

We project Sacramento Kings 114.3 and Memphis Grizzlies 120.5, about 234.8 points in total.

How are Memphis Grizzlies playing?

Memphis Grizzlies have 5 wins and 15 losses in their last 20 games, with 2236 points scored and 2523 conceded. At home they have 3 wins and 8 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, L, newest first.

How are Sacramento Kings playing?

Sacramento Kings have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 2203 points scored and 2411 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 9 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Memphis Grizzlies and Sacramento Kings last met?

It ended Memphis Grizzlies 114, Sacramento Kings 123. In the last 4 meetings Memphis Grizzlies won 3 and Sacramento Kings won 1.

What is the best bet for Sacramento Kings vs Memphis Grizzlies?

Kings +14.5 at -306, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Grizzlies against Kings. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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