Predictions › United States › Sacramento Kings vs New Orleans Pelicans
NBAThu 29 Oct, 20:00 United States time

Sacramento Kings vs New Orleans Pelicans prediction

Smoothie King Center

Sacramento KingsAway
112.9 : 122.5
projected points
New Orleans PelicansHome
22%Kings
78%Pelicans
Eagle safe pickPelicans to win
-357

Quick answer

Our prediction for Sacramento Kings vs New Orleans Pelicans is New Orleans Pelicans to win, with a 78% chance. We project Sacramento Kings 112.9 and New Orleans Pelicans 122.5. Our best bet is Pelicans to win at -357.

Prediction
New Orleans Pelicans to win
Chance
78%
Projected score
Sacramento Kings 113, New Orleans Pelicans 123
Projected total
235.4 points
Best bet
Pelicans to win at -357

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Pelicans to win
78% chanceFair price -3572 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives New Orleans Pelicans 78% and Sacramento Kings 22%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    New Orleans Pelicans won 3 of their last 5 and Sacramento Kings won 0 of their last 5. New Orleans Pelicans come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    New Orleans Pelicans won 6 of their last 9 games at home. Sacramento Kings won 2 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    New Orleans Pelicans score 114.6 points a game and let in 117.6. Sacramento Kings score 110.2 and let in 120.5. Their recent games average 232.2 and 230.7 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 3 meetings, New Orleans Pelicans won 2 and Sacramento Kings won 1. The last one ended Sacramento Kings 117, New Orleans Pelicans 113.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Pelicans to win has a 78% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Kingsteam news-1%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Sacramento Kings vs New Orleans Pelicans: New Orleans Pelicans are favourites

The big picture

New Orleans Pelicans host Sacramento Kings in the NBA on Thu 29 Oct, 20:00 at Smoothie King Center. Our prediction for Sacramento Kings vs New Orleans Pelicans is New Orleans Pelicans to win, with a 78% chance. We project Sacramento Kings 112.9 and New Orleans Pelicans 122.5. Our best bet is Pelicans to win at -357.

New Orleans Pelicans form

New Orleans Pelicans have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 2292 points scored and 2352 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, L, newest first.

Sacramento Kings form

Sacramento Kings have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 2203 points scored and 2411 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 9 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 3 times in our records. New Orleans Pelicans won 2, Sacramento Kings won 1. Last time out it finished Sacramento Kings 117, New Orleans Pelicans 113.

Our call

We expect Sacramento Kings to score about 112.9 points and New Orleans Pelicans about 122.5. That points to New Orleans Pelicans to win. Our safest bet is Pelicans to win at -357.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

PelicansKings
Games played2020
Wins86
Losses1214
Points scored22922203
Points conceded23522411
Scored per game114.6110.2
Conceded per game117.6120.5
Home record6W 3L4W 5L
Away record2W 9L2W 9L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Pelicans spreadCoversFair
Pelicans -15.532%+214
Pelicans -12.541%+145
Pelicans -9.550%-102
Pelicans -6.560%-149
Pelicans -3.569%-220
Total pointsOverUnder
229.563%37%
232.556%44%
235.550%50%
238.543%57%
241.537%63%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Pelicans +3.5 wins if Pelicans win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Sacramento Kings vs New Orleans Pelicans?

Our prediction for Sacramento Kings vs New Orleans Pelicans is New Orleans Pelicans to win, with a 78% chance. We project Sacramento Kings 112.9 and New Orleans Pelicans 122.5. Our best bet is Pelicans to win at -357.

What is the projected score for Sacramento Kings vs New Orleans Pelicans?

We project Sacramento Kings 112.9 and New Orleans Pelicans 122.5, about 235.4 points in total.

How are New Orleans Pelicans playing?

New Orleans Pelicans have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 2292 points scored and 2352 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, L, newest first.

How are Sacramento Kings playing?

Sacramento Kings have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 2203 points scored and 2411 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 9 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

What happened when New Orleans Pelicans and Sacramento Kings last met?

It ended Sacramento Kings 117, New Orleans Pelicans 113. In the last 3 meetings New Orleans Pelicans won 2 and Sacramento Kings won 1.

What is the best bet for Sacramento Kings vs New Orleans Pelicans?

Pelicans to win at -357, with a 78% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Pelicans against Kings. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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