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Predictions › United States › Sacramento Kings vs San Antonio Spurs
NBAFri 16 Oct, 20:00 United States time

Sacramento Kings vs San Antonio Spurs prediction

Frost Bank Center

Sacramento KingsAway
105.6 : 123.0
projected points
San Antonio SpursHome
10%Kings
90%Spurs
Eagle safe pickKings +25.5
-304

Quick answer

Our prediction for Sacramento Kings vs San Antonio Spurs is San Antonio Spurs to win, with a 90% chance. We project Sacramento Kings 105.6 and San Antonio Spurs 123.0. Our best bet is Kings +25.5 at -304.

Prediction
San Antonio Spurs to win
Chance
90%
Projected score
Sacramento Kings 106, San Antonio Spurs 123
Projected total
228.6 points
Best bet
Kings +25.5 at -304

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Kings +25.5
75% chanceFair price -3042 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives San Antonio Spurs 90% and Sacramento Kings 10%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    San Antonio Spurs won 1 of their last 5 and Sacramento Kings won 1 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    San Antonio Spurs won 5 of their last 10 games at home. Sacramento Kings won 2 of their last 8 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    San Antonio Spurs score 112.5 points a game and let in 105.0. Sacramento Kings score 113.2 and let in 121.0. Their recent games average 217.6 and 234.2 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 3 meetings, San Antonio Spurs won 3 and Sacramento Kings won 0. The last one ended Sacramento Kings 104, San Antonio Spurs 132.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Kings +25.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Spursrest between games-3%
  • Kingsrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Sacramento Kings vs San Antonio Spurs: San Antonio Spurs are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

San Antonio Spurs host Sacramento Kings in the NBA on Fri 16 Oct, 20:00 at Frost Bank Center. Our prediction for Sacramento Kings vs San Antonio Spurs is San Antonio Spurs to win, with a 90% chance. We project Sacramento Kings 105.6 and San Antonio Spurs 123.0. Our best bet is Kings +25.5 at -304.

San Antonio Spurs form

San Antonio Spurs have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 2251 points scored and 2100 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

Sacramento Kings form

Sacramento Kings have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 2264 points scored and 2419 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 6 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 3 times in our records. San Antonio Spurs won 3, Sacramento Kings won 0. Last time out it finished Sacramento Kings 104, San Antonio Spurs 132.

Our call

We expect Sacramento Kings to score about 105.6 points and San Antonio Spurs about 123.0. That points to San Antonio Spurs to win. Our safest bet is Kings +25.5 at -304.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

SpursKings
Games played2020
Wins118
Losses912
Points scored22512264
Points conceded21002419
Scored per game112.5113.2
Conceded per game105.0121.0
Home record5W 5L6W 6L
Away record6W 4L2W 6L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Spurs spreadCoversFair
Spurs -23.531%+221
Spurs -20.540%+150
Spurs -17.550%+102
Spurs -14.559%-144
Spurs -11.568%-213
Total pointsOverUnder
222.563%37%
225.557%43%
228.550%50%
231.544%56%
234.537%63%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Spurs +3.5 wins if Spurs win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
NBA

Ben Simmons Rejects Basketball Critics in Kings Return

Ben Simmons is back in the NBA with the Sacramento Kings, shutting down critics who claimed he does not love the game.

29 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Sacramento Kings vs San Antonio Spurs?

Our prediction for Sacramento Kings vs San Antonio Spurs is San Antonio Spurs to win, with a 90% chance. We project Sacramento Kings 105.6 and San Antonio Spurs 123.0. Our best bet is Kings +25.5 at -304.

What is the projected score for Sacramento Kings vs San Antonio Spurs?

We project Sacramento Kings 105.6 and San Antonio Spurs 123.0, about 228.6 points in total.

How are San Antonio Spurs playing?

San Antonio Spurs have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 2251 points scored and 2100 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

How are Sacramento Kings playing?

Sacramento Kings have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 2264 points scored and 2419 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 6 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

What happened when San Antonio Spurs and Sacramento Kings last met?

It ended Sacramento Kings 104, San Antonio Spurs 132. In the last 3 meetings San Antonio Spurs won 3 and Sacramento Kings won 0.

What is the best bet for Sacramento Kings vs San Antonio Spurs?

Kings +25.5 at -304, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Spurs against Kings. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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