Predictions › United States › Sacramento Kings vs San Antonio Spurs
NBATue 27 Oct, 20:00 United States time

Sacramento Kings vs San Antonio Spurs prediction

Frost Bank Center

Sacramento KingsAway
104.9 : 122.7
projected points
San Antonio SpursHome
8%Kings
92%Spurs
Eagle safe pickSpurs -9.5
-307

Quick answer

Our prediction for Sacramento Kings vs San Antonio Spurs is San Antonio Spurs to win, with a 92% chance. We project Sacramento Kings 104.9 and San Antonio Spurs 122.7. Our best bet is Spurs -9.5 at -307.

Prediction
San Antonio Spurs to win
Chance
92%
Projected score
Sacramento Kings 105, San Antonio Spurs 123
Projected total
227.7 points
Best bet
Spurs -9.5 at -307

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Spurs -9.5
75% chanceFair price -3072 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives San Antonio Spurs 92% and Sacramento Kings 8%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    San Antonio Spurs won 2 of their last 5 and Sacramento Kings won 0 of their last 5. San Antonio Spurs come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    San Antonio Spurs won 5 of their last 10 games at home. Sacramento Kings won 2 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    San Antonio Spurs score 112.3 points a game and let in 107.5. Sacramento Kings score 110.2 and let in 120.5. Their recent games average 219.7 and 230.7 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 4 meetings, San Antonio Spurs won 4 and Sacramento Kings won 0. The last one ended San Antonio Spurs 126, Sacramento Kings 97.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Spurs -9.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Spursrest between games-5%
  • Kingsrest between games-5%
  • Kingsteam news-1%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Sacramento Kings vs San Antonio Spurs: San Antonio Spurs are favourites

The big picture

San Antonio Spurs host Sacramento Kings in the NBA on Tue 27 Oct, 20:00 at Frost Bank Center. Our prediction for Sacramento Kings vs San Antonio Spurs is San Antonio Spurs to win, with a 92% chance. We project Sacramento Kings 104.9 and San Antonio Spurs 122.7. Our best bet is Spurs -9.5 at -307.

San Antonio Spurs form

San Antonio Spurs have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 2245 points scored and 2149 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, L, newest first.

Sacramento Kings form

Sacramento Kings have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 2203 points scored and 2411 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 9 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 4 times in our records. San Antonio Spurs won 4, Sacramento Kings won 0. Last time out it finished San Antonio Spurs 126, Sacramento Kings 97.

Our call

We expect Sacramento Kings to score about 104.9 points and San Antonio Spurs about 122.7. That points to San Antonio Spurs to win. Our safest bet is Spurs -9.5 at -307.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

SpursKings
Games played2020
Wins96
Losses1114
Points scored22452203
Points conceded21492411
Scored per game112.3110.2
Conceded per game107.5120.5
Home record5W 5L4W 5L
Away record4W 6L2W 9L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Spurs spreadCoversFair
Spurs -23.532%+208
Spurs -20.541%+141
Spurs -17.551%-104
Spurs -14.560%-153
Spurs -11.569%-226
Total pointsOverUnder
221.563%37%
224.557%43%
227.550%50%
230.544%56%
233.537%63%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Spurs +3.5 wins if Spurs win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Sacramento Kings vs San Antonio Spurs?

Our prediction for Sacramento Kings vs San Antonio Spurs is San Antonio Spurs to win, with a 92% chance. We project Sacramento Kings 104.9 and San Antonio Spurs 122.7. Our best bet is Spurs -9.5 at -307.

What is the projected score for Sacramento Kings vs San Antonio Spurs?

We project Sacramento Kings 104.9 and San Antonio Spurs 122.7, about 227.7 points in total.

How are San Antonio Spurs playing?

San Antonio Spurs have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 2245 points scored and 2149 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, L, newest first.

How are Sacramento Kings playing?

Sacramento Kings have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 2203 points scored and 2411 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 9 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

What happened when San Antonio Spurs and Sacramento Kings last met?

It ended San Antonio Spurs 126, Sacramento Kings 97. In the last 4 meetings San Antonio Spurs won 4 and Sacramento Kings won 0.

What is the best bet for Sacramento Kings vs San Antonio Spurs?

Spurs -9.5 at -307, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Spurs against Kings. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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