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Predictions › United States › Sacramento State Hornets vs Ball State Cardinals
College FootballSat 24 Oct, 15:30 United States time

Sacramento State Hornets vs Ball State Cardinals prediction

Scheumann Stadium

Sacramento State HornetsAway
22.9 : 30.9
projected points
Ball State CardinalsHome
30%Sacramento St
70%Ball State
Eagle safe pickBall State +2.5
-293

Quick answer

Our prediction for Sacramento State Hornets vs Ball State Cardinals is Ball State Cardinals to win, with a 70% chance. We project Sacramento State Hornets 22.9 and Ball State Cardinals 30.9. Our best bet is Ball State +2.5 at -293.

Prediction
Ball State Cardinals to win
Chance
70%
Projected score
Sacramento State Hornets 23, Ball State Cardinals 31
Projected total
53.8 points
Best bet
Ball State +2.5 at -293

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Ball State +2.5
75% chanceFair price -2931 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Sacramento St to win
28% chanceFair price +2511 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Ball State Cardinals 70% and Sacramento State Hornets 30%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Ball State Cardinals won 1 of their last 5 and Sacramento State Hornets won 1 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Ball State Cardinals won 5 of their last 7 games at home. Sacramento State Hornets won 3 of their last 7 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Ball State Cardinals score 18.6 points a game and let in 32.4. Sacramento State Hornets score 30.2 and let in 28.5. Their recent games average 51.0 and 58.7 points in total.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Ball State +2.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Sacramento State Hornets vs Ball State Cardinals: Ball State Cardinals are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Ball State Cardinals host Sacramento State Hornets in the College Football on Sat 24 Oct, 15:30 at Scheumann Stadium. Our prediction for Sacramento State Hornets vs Ball State Cardinals is Ball State Cardinals to win, with a 70% chance. We project Sacramento State Hornets 22.9 and Ball State Cardinals 30.9. Our best bet is Ball State +2.5 at -293.

Ball State Cardinals form

Ball State Cardinals have 5 wins and 11 losses in their last 16 games, with 297 points scored and 519 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 2 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, W, newest first.

Sacramento State Hornets form

Sacramento State Hornets have 8 wins and 8 losses in their last 16 games, with 483 points scored and 456 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 4 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Sacramento State Hornets to score about 22.9 points and Ball State Cardinals about 30.9. That points to Ball State Cardinals to win. Our safest bet is Ball State +2.5 at -293. Our bold bet is Sacramento St to win at +251.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 16 games in all competitions.

Ball StateSacramento St
Games played1616
Wins58
Losses118
Points scored297483
Points conceded519456
Scored per game18.630.2
Conceded per game32.428.5
Home record5W 2L5W 4L
Away record0W 9L3W 4L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Ball State spreadCoversFair
Ball State -14.534%+193
Ball State -10.544%+129
Ball State -7.551%-105
Ball State -4.559%-141
Ball State -0.568%-212
Total pointsOverUnder
46.568%32%
50.558%42%
53.551%49%
56.543%57%
60.534%66%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Ball State +3.5 wins if Ball State win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Sacramento State Hornets vs Ball State Cardinals?

Our prediction for Sacramento State Hornets vs Ball State Cardinals is Ball State Cardinals to win, with a 70% chance. We project Sacramento State Hornets 22.9 and Ball State Cardinals 30.9. Our best bet is Ball State +2.5 at -293.

What is the projected score for Sacramento State Hornets vs Ball State Cardinals?

We project Sacramento State Hornets 22.9 and Ball State Cardinals 30.9, about 53.8 points in total.

How are Ball State Cardinals playing?

Ball State Cardinals have 5 wins and 11 losses in their last 16 games, with 297 points scored and 519 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 2 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, W, newest first.

How are Sacramento State Hornets playing?

Sacramento State Hornets have 8 wins and 8 losses in their last 16 games, with 483 points scored and 456 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 4 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Sacramento State Hornets vs Ball State Cardinals?

Ball State +2.5 at -293, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Ball State against Sacramento St. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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