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Predictions › United States › Sacramento State Hornets vs Central Michigan Chippewas
College FootballWed 11 Nov, 19:30 United States time

Sacramento State Hornets vs Central Michigan Chippewas prediction

Kelly/Shorts Stadium

Sacramento State HornetsAway
18.5 : 28.2
projected points
Central Michigan ChippewasHome
25%Sacramento St
75%C Michigan
Eagle safe pickOver 36.5 points
-301

Quick answer

Our prediction for Sacramento State Hornets vs Central Michigan Chippewas is Central Michigan Chippewas to win, with a 75% chance. We project Sacramento State Hornets 18.5 and Central Michigan Chippewas 28.2. Our best bet is Over 36.5 points at -301.

Prediction
Central Michigan Chippewas to win
Chance
75%
Projected score
Sacramento State Hornets 19, Central Michigan Chippewas 28
Projected total
46.8 points
Best bet
Over 36.5 points at -301

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 36.5 points
75% chanceFair price -3012 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Sacramento St to win
26% chanceFair price +2781 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Central Michigan Chippewas 75% and Sacramento State Hornets 25%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Central Michigan Chippewas won 1 of their last 5 and Sacramento State Hornets won 1 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Central Michigan Chippewas won 7 of their last 10 games at home. Sacramento State Hornets won 3 of their last 8 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Central Michigan Chippewas score 21.2 points a game and let in 23.9. Sacramento State Hornets score 28.3 and let in 28.8. Their recent games average 45.1 and 57.2 points in total.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 36.5 points has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Sacramento Strest between games-2%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Sacramento State Hornets vs Central Michigan Chippewas: Central Michigan Chippewas are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Central Michigan Chippewas host Sacramento State Hornets in the College Football on Wed 11 Nov, 19:30 at Kelly/Shorts Stadium. Our prediction for Sacramento State Hornets vs Central Michigan Chippewas is Central Michigan Chippewas to win, with a 75% chance. We project Sacramento State Hornets 18.5 and Central Michigan Chippewas 28.2. Our best bet is Over 36.5 points at -301.

Central Michigan Chippewas form

Central Michigan Chippewas have 9 wins and 10 losses in their last 19 games, with 403 points scored and 454 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, L, newest first.

Sacramento State Hornets form

Sacramento State Hornets have 9 wins and 10 losses in their last 19 games, with 538 points scored and 548 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 5 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Sacramento State Hornets to score about 18.5 points and Central Michigan Chippewas about 28.2. That points to Central Michigan Chippewas to win. Our safest bet is Over 36.5 points at -301. Our bold bet is Sacramento St to win at +278.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 19 games in all competitions.

C MichiganSacramento St
Games played1919
Wins99
Losses1010
Points scored403538
Points conceded454548
Scored per game21.228.3
Conceded per game23.928.8
Home record7W 3L6W 5L
Away record2W 7L3W 5L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

C Michigan spreadCoversFair
C Michigan -16.534%+198
C Michigan -12.543%+132
C Michigan -9.551%-102
C Michigan -6.558%-138
C Michigan -2.567%-207
Total pointsOverUnder
39.568%32%
43.558%42%
46.551%49%
49.543%57%
53.534%66%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. C Michigan +3.5 wins if C Michigan win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Sacramento State Hornets vs Central Michigan Chippewas?

Our prediction for Sacramento State Hornets vs Central Michigan Chippewas is Central Michigan Chippewas to win, with a 75% chance. We project Sacramento State Hornets 18.5 and Central Michigan Chippewas 28.2. Our best bet is Over 36.5 points at -301.

What is the projected score for Sacramento State Hornets vs Central Michigan Chippewas?

We project Sacramento State Hornets 18.5 and Central Michigan Chippewas 28.2, about 46.8 points in total.

How are Central Michigan Chippewas playing?

Central Michigan Chippewas have 9 wins and 10 losses in their last 19 games, with 403 points scored and 454 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, L, newest first.

How are Sacramento State Hornets playing?

Sacramento State Hornets have 9 wins and 10 losses in their last 19 games, with 538 points scored and 548 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 5 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Sacramento State Hornets vs Central Michigan Chippewas?

Over 36.5 points at -301, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in C Michigan against Sacramento St. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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