Predictions › France › Saint-Étienne vs Rodez Aveyron

Ligue 2Sat 10 Oct, 18:00 France time

Saint-Étienne vs Rodez Aveyron prediction

Stade Geoffroy Guichard

Saint-ÉtienneHome

2.38 : 1.03

expected goals

Rodez AveyronAway

67%St. Étienne

19%Draw

14%Rodez Aveyron

Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals

1.20

Quick answer

Our prediction for Saint-Étienne vs Rodez Aveyron is Saint-Étienne to win, with a 67% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.20.

Prediction: Saint-Étienne to win
Chance: 67%
Most likely score: 2-1
Expected goals: Saint-Étienne 2.4, Rodez Aveyron 1.0
Best bet: Over 1.5 goals at 1.20
Both teams to score: 59%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

83% chanceFair price 1.202 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Saint-Étienne to win and both score

33% chanceFair price 3.021 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Saint-Étienne 67%, the draw 19% and Rodez Aveyron 14%. The bookmakers agree and make Saint-Étienne the favourite at 1.39.
2
Recent form
Saint-Étienne took 10 points from their last 5 games and Rodez Aveyron took 4 from 5. Saint-Étienne come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Saint-Étienne won 9 of their last 10 games at home. Rodez Aveyron won 5 of their last 10 on the road.
4
Goals
Saint-Étienne score 2.1 goals a game and let in 0.9. Rodez Aveyron score 1.6 and let in 1.3. Over 2.5 goals landed in 15 of Saint-Étienne games and 12 of Rodez Aveyron games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting, Saint-Étienne won 0 and Rodez Aveyron won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Rodez Aveyron 2, Saint-Étienne 1.
6
The safest bet
Over 1.5 goals has a 83% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

St. Étiennerecent form+3%
Rodez Aveyronrecent form-3%

St. Étienne form D L W W WRodez Aveyron form L L L D WHome edge in this league 10% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Saint-Étienne vs Rodez Aveyron: Saint-Étienne are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Saint-Étienne host Rodez Aveyron in the Ligue 2 on Sat 10 Oct, 18:00 at Stade Geoffroy Guichard. Our prediction for Saint-Étienne vs Rodez Aveyron is Saint-Étienne to win, with a 67% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.20.

Saint-Étienne form

Saint-Étienne have 13 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 42 goals scored and 19 conceded. At home they have 9 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, W, W, newest first.

Rodez Aveyron form

Rodez Aveyron have 11 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 26 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, D, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Saint-Étienne won 0, Rodez Aveyron won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Rodez Aveyron 2, Saint-Étienne 1.

Our call

We expect Saint-Étienne to score about 2.4 goals and Rodez Aveyron about 1.0. That points to Saint-Étienne to win, with 2-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.20. Our bold bet is Saint-Étienne to win and both score at 3.02.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	St. Étienne	Rodez Aveyron
Games played	20	20
Wins	13	11
Draws	3	5
Losses	4	4
Goals scored	42	33
Goals conceded	19	26
Scored per game	2.1	1.6
Conceded per game	0.9	1.3
Home record	9W 0D 1L	6W 2D 2L
Away record	4W 3D 3L	5W 3D 2L
Clean sheets	40%	20%
Both teams scored	50%	70%
Over 2.5 goals	75%	60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Saint-Étienne to win	67%	1.49	1.39	-6.9%
A Draw	19%	5.34	4.80	-10.1%
Rodez Aveyron to win	14%	6.94	6.50	-6.3%
Over 3.5 goals	42%	2.40	2.05	-14.5%
Under 3.5 goals	52%	1.92	1.67	-13.3%
Saint-Étienne -1.5	43%	2.33	1.95	-16.2%
Rodez Aveyron +1.5	51%	1.97	1.69	-14.1%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	86%	1.16
Over 2.5 goals	66%	1.51
Over 3.5 goals	44%	2.25
Both teams to score	59%	1.70
Saint-Étienne or Draw	86%	1.17
Rodez Aveyron or Draw	33%	3.01
Saint-Étienne to win and Over 2.5	50%	2.00
Rodez Aveyron to win and Over 2.5	10%	10.38
Saint-Étienne clean sheet	36%	2.80
Rodez Aveyron clean sheet	9%	10.78

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-19.6%

2-09.4%

1-18.6%

3-17.6%

3-07.4%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Saint-Étienne vs Rodez Aveyron?

Our prediction for Saint-Étienne vs Rodez Aveyron is Saint-Étienne to win, with a 67% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.20.

What is the score prediction for Saint-Étienne vs Rodez Aveyron?

2-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-0 and 1-1. We expect Saint-Étienne to score 2.4 goals and Rodez Aveyron 1.0.

Will both teams score in Saint-Étienne vs Rodez Aveyron?

Both teams to score has a 59% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Saint-Étienne last 20 games and 14 of Rodez Aveyron last 20.

How are Saint-Étienne playing?

How are Rodez Aveyron playing?

What happened when Saint-Étienne and Rodez Aveyron last met?

It ended Rodez Aveyron 2, Saint-Étienne 1. In the last 1 meeting Saint-Étienne won 0 and Rodez Aveyron won 1.

What is the best bet for Saint-Étienne vs Rodez Aveyron?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.20, with a 83% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in St. Étienne against Rodez Aveyron. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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