Predictions › France › Saint-Étienne vs Stade Laval
Ligue 2Sat 7 Nov, 19:00 France time

Saint-Étienne vs Stade Laval prediction

Stade Geoffroy Guichard

Saint-ÉtienneHome
2.62 : 0.68
expected goals
Stade LavalAway
78%St. Étienne
15%Draw
7%Stade Laval
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.18

Quick answer

Our prediction for Saint-Étienne vs Stade Laval is Saint-Étienne to win, with a 78% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.18.

Prediction
Saint-Étienne to win
Chance
78%
Most likely score
2-0
Expected goals
Saint-Étienne 2.6, Stade Laval 0.7
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.18
Both teams to score
46%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
85% chanceFair price 1.182 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Saint-Étienne to win and both score
31% chanceFair price 3.251 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Saint-Étienne 78%, the draw 15% and Stade Laval 7%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Saint-Étienne took 10 points from their last 5 games and Stade Laval took 2 from 5. Saint-Étienne come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Saint-Étienne won 9 of their last 10 games at home. Stade Laval won 1 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Saint-Étienne score 2.0 goals a game and let in 0.8. Stade Laval score 1.3 and let in 1.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 of Saint-Étienne games and 12 of Stade Laval games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Saint-Étienne won 1 and Stade Laval won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Saint-Étienne 2, Stade Laval 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 85% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • St. Étiennerecent form+1%
  • Stade Lavalrecent form-3%
St. Étienne form D W W D LStade Laval form D D L D LHome edge in this league 9% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Saint-Étienne vs Stade Laval: Saint-Étienne are favourites

The big picture

Saint-Étienne host Stade Laval in the Ligue 2 on Sat 7 Nov, 19:00 at Stade Geoffroy Guichard. Our prediction for Saint-Étienne vs Stade Laval is Saint-Étienne to win, with a 78% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.18.

Saint-Étienne form

Saint-Étienne have 13 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 41 goals scored and 17 conceded. At home they have 9 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, D, L, newest first.

Stade Laval form

Stade Laval have 4 wins, 8 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 35 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 2 draws and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, D, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Saint-Étienne won 1, Stade Laval won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Saint-Étienne 2, Stade Laval 1.

Our call

We expect Saint-Étienne to score about 2.6 goals and Stade Laval about 0.7. That points to Saint-Étienne to win, with 2-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.18. Our bold bet is Saint-Étienne to win and both score at 3.25.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

St. ÉtienneStade Laval
Games played2020
Wins134
Draws38
Losses48
Goals scored4125
Goals conceded1735
Scored per game2.01.3
Conceded per game0.81.8
Home record9W 0D 1L3W 6D 2L
Away record4W 3D 3L1W 2D 6L
Clean sheets50%15%
Both teams scored40%65%
Over 2.5 goals65%60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals85%1.18
Over 2.5 goals64%1.56
Over 3.5 goals42%2.38
Both teams to score46%2.17
Saint-Étienne or Draw93%1.07
Stade Laval or Draw22%4.65
Saint-Étienne to win and Over 2.557%1.77
Stade Laval to win and Over 2.54%25.12
Saint-Étienne clean sheet51%1.97
Stade Laval clean sheet7%13.79

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-012.6%
3-011.1%
1-09.2%
2-18.6%
3-17.5%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Saint-Étienne vs Stade Laval?

Our prediction for Saint-Étienne vs Stade Laval is Saint-Étienne to win, with a 78% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.18.

What is the score prediction for Saint-Étienne vs Stade Laval?

2-0 is the most likely score, followed by 3-0 and 1-0. We expect Saint-Étienne to score 2.6 goals and Stade Laval 0.7.

Will both teams score in Saint-Étienne vs Stade Laval?

Both teams to score has a 46% chance. Both sides scored in 8 of Saint-Étienne last 20 games and 13 of Stade Laval last 20.

How are Saint-Étienne playing?

Saint-Étienne have 13 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 41 goals scored and 17 conceded. At home they have 9 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, D, L, newest first.

How are Stade Laval playing?

Stade Laval have 4 wins, 8 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 35 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 2 draws and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, D, L, newest first.

What happened when Saint-Étienne and Stade Laval last met?

It ended Saint-Étienne 2, Stade Laval 1. In the last 1 meeting Saint-Étienne won 1 and Stade Laval won 0.

What is the best bet for Saint-Étienne vs Stade Laval?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.18, with a 85% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in St. Étienne against Stade Laval. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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