Predictions › United States › Sam Houston Bearkats vs Jacksonville State Gamecocks
College FootballSat 7 Nov, 19:00 United States time

Sam Houston Bearkats vs Jacksonville State Gamecocks prediction

AmFirst Stadium

Sam Houston BearkatsAway
15.1 : 32.1
projected points
Jacksonville State GamecocksHome
14%Sam Houston
86%Jax State
Eagle safe pickSam Houston +27.5
-308

Quick answer

Our prediction for Sam Houston Bearkats vs Jacksonville State Gamecocks is Jacksonville State Gamecocks to win, with a 86% chance. We project Sam Houston Bearkats 15.1 and Jacksonville State Gamecocks 32.1. Our best bet is Sam Houston +27.5 at -308.

Prediction
Jacksonville State Gamecocks to win
Chance
86%
Projected score
Sam Houston Bearkats 15, Jacksonville State Gamecocks 32
Projected total
47.2 points
Best bet
Sam Houston +27.5 at -308

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Sam Houston +27.5
75% chanceFair price -3082 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Jacksonville State Gamecocks 86% and Sam Houston Bearkats 14%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Jacksonville State Gamecocks won 5 of their last 5 and Sam Houston Bearkats won 0 of their last 5. Jacksonville State Gamecocks come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Jacksonville State Gamecocks won 9 of their last 10 games at home. Sam Houston Bearkats won 1 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Jacksonville State Gamecocks score 28.3 points a game and let in 23.6. Sam Houston Bearkats score 17.2 and let in 31.7. Their recent games average 51.8 and 48.9 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Jacksonville State Gamecocks won 1 and Sam Houston Bearkats won 0. The last one ended Sam Houston Bearkats 27, Jacksonville State Gamecocks 29.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Sam Houston +27.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Jax Staterest between games-5%
  • Sam Houstonrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Sam Houston Bearkats vs Jacksonville State Gamecocks: Jacksonville State Gamecocks are favourites

The big picture

Jacksonville State Gamecocks host Sam Houston Bearkats in the College Football on Sat 7 Nov, 19:00 at AmFirst Stadium. Our prediction for Sam Houston Bearkats vs Jacksonville State Gamecocks is Jacksonville State Gamecocks to win, with a 86% chance. We project Sam Houston Bearkats 15.1 and Jacksonville State Gamecocks 32.1. Our best bet is Sam Houston +27.5 at -308.

Jacksonville State Gamecocks form

Jacksonville State Gamecocks have 14 wins and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 565 points scored and 471 conceded. At home they have 9 wins and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Sam Houston Bearkats form

Sam Houston Bearkats have 3 wins and 14 losses in their last 17 games, with 292 points scored and 539 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win and 8 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Jacksonville State Gamecocks won 1, Sam Houston Bearkats won 0. Last time out it finished Sam Houston Bearkats 27, Jacksonville State Gamecocks 29.

Our call

We expect Sam Houston Bearkats to score about 15.1 points and Jacksonville State Gamecocks about 32.1. That points to Jacksonville State Gamecocks to win. Our safest bet is Sam Houston +27.5 at -308.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Jax StateSam Houston
Games played2017
Wins143
Losses614
Points scored565292
Points conceded471539
Scored per game28.317.2
Conceded per game23.631.7
Home record9W 1L2W 6L
Away record5W 5L1W 8L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Jax State spreadCoversFair
Jax State -24.532%+213
Jax State -20.541%+142
Jax State -17.549%+105
Jax State -14.556%-129
Jax State -10.566%-192
Total pointsOverUnder
40.566%34%
44.557%43%
47.549%51%
50.542%58%
54.533%67%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Jax State +3.5 wins if Jax State win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Sam Houston Bearkats vs Jacksonville State Gamecocks?

Our prediction for Sam Houston Bearkats vs Jacksonville State Gamecocks is Jacksonville State Gamecocks to win, with a 86% chance. We project Sam Houston Bearkats 15.1 and Jacksonville State Gamecocks 32.1. Our best bet is Sam Houston +27.5 at -308.

What is the projected score for Sam Houston Bearkats vs Jacksonville State Gamecocks?

We project Sam Houston Bearkats 15.1 and Jacksonville State Gamecocks 32.1, about 47.2 points in total.

How are Jacksonville State Gamecocks playing?

Jacksonville State Gamecocks have 14 wins and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 565 points scored and 471 conceded. At home they have 9 wins and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Sam Houston Bearkats playing?

Sam Houston Bearkats have 3 wins and 14 losses in their last 17 games, with 292 points scored and 539 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win and 8 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Jacksonville State Gamecocks and Sam Houston Bearkats last met?

It ended Sam Houston Bearkats 27, Jacksonville State Gamecocks 29. In the last 1 meeting Jacksonville State Gamecocks won 1 and Sam Houston Bearkats won 0.

What is the best bet for Sam Houston Bearkats vs Jacksonville State Gamecocks?

Sam Houston +27.5 at -308, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Jax State against Sam Houston. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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