Predictions › United States › Sam Houston Bearkats vs Liberty Flames
College FootballThu 8 Oct, 19:00 United States time

Sam Houston Bearkats vs Liberty Flames prediction

Williams Stadium (VA)

Sam Houston BearkatsAway
19.9 : 36.5
projected points
Liberty FlamesHome
17%Sam Houston
83%Liberty
Eagle safe pickLiberty to win
-488

Quick answer

Our prediction for Sam Houston Bearkats vs Liberty Flames is Liberty Flames to win, with a 83% chance. We project Sam Houston Bearkats 19.9 and Liberty Flames 36.5. Our best bet is Liberty to win at -488.

Prediction
Liberty Flames to win
Chance
83%
Projected score
Sam Houston Bearkats 20, Liberty Flames 36
Projected total
56.4 points
Best bet
Liberty to win at -488

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Liberty to win
83% chanceFair price -4882 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Liberty Flames 83% and Sam Houston Bearkats 17%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Liberty Flames won 3 of their last 5 and Sam Houston Bearkats won 1 of their last 5. Liberty Flames come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Liberty Flames won 4 of their last 7 games at home. Sam Houston Bearkats won 1 of their last 7 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Liberty Flames score 26.9 points a game and let in 25.1. Sam Houston Bearkats score 19.9 and let in 33.4. Their recent games average 52.1 and 53.3 points in total.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Liberty to win has a 83% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Sam Houstonrest between games-2%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Sam Houston Bearkats vs Liberty Flames: Liberty Flames are favourites

The big picture

Liberty Flames host Sam Houston Bearkats in the College Football on Thu 8 Oct, 19:00 at Williams Stadium (VA). Our prediction for Sam Houston Bearkats vs Liberty Flames is Liberty Flames to win, with a 83% chance. We project Sam Houston Bearkats 19.9 and Liberty Flames 36.5. Our best bet is Liberty to win at -488.

Liberty Flames form

Liberty Flames have 6 wins and 8 losses in their last 14 games, with 377 points scored and 352 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 3 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, L, newest first.

Sam Houston Bearkats form

Sam Houston Bearkats have 3 wins and 10 losses in their last 13 games, with 259 points scored and 434 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win and 6 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Sam Houston Bearkats to score about 19.9 points and Liberty Flames about 36.5. That points to Liberty Flames to win. Our safest bet is Liberty to win at -488.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 14 games in all competitions.

LibertySam Houston
Games played1413
Wins63
Losses810
Points scored377259
Points conceded352434
Scored per game26.919.9
Conceded per game25.133.4
Home record4W 3L2W 4L
Away record2W 5L1W 6L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Liberty spreadCoversFair
Liberty -23.533%+201
Liberty -19.543%+134
Liberty -16.550%-101
Liberty -13.558%-136
Liberty -9.567%-204
Total pointsOverUnder
49.567%33%
53.557%43%
56.550%50%
59.542%58%
63.533%67%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Liberty +3.5 wins if Liberty win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Sam Houston Bearkats vs Liberty Flames?

Our prediction for Sam Houston Bearkats vs Liberty Flames is Liberty Flames to win, with a 83% chance. We project Sam Houston Bearkats 19.9 and Liberty Flames 36.5. Our best bet is Liberty to win at -488.

What is the projected score for Sam Houston Bearkats vs Liberty Flames?

We project Sam Houston Bearkats 19.9 and Liberty Flames 36.5, about 56.4 points in total.

How are Liberty Flames playing?

Liberty Flames have 6 wins and 8 losses in their last 14 games, with 377 points scored and 352 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 3 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, L, newest first.

How are Sam Houston Bearkats playing?

Sam Houston Bearkats have 3 wins and 10 losses in their last 13 games, with 259 points scored and 434 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win and 6 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Sam Houston Bearkats vs Liberty Flames?

Liberty to win at -488, with a 83% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Liberty against Sam Houston. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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