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Predictions › United States › Sam Houston Bearkats vs Missouri State Bears
College FootballTue 27 Oct, 20:00 United States time

Sam Houston Bearkats vs Missouri State Bears prediction

Robert W. Plaster Stadium

Sam Houston BearkatsAway
17.6 : 33.7
projected points
Missouri State BearsHome
16%Sam Houston
84%Missouri St
Eagle safe pickMissouri St to win
-535

Quick answer

Our prediction for Sam Houston Bearkats vs Missouri State Bears is Missouri State Bears to win, with a 84% chance. We project Sam Houston Bearkats 17.6 and Missouri State Bears 33.7. Our best bet is Missouri St to win at -535.

Prediction
Missouri State Bears to win
Chance
84%
Projected score
Sam Houston Bearkats 18, Missouri State Bears 34
Projected total
51.3 points
Best bet
Missouri St to win at -535

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Missouri St to win
84% chanceFair price -5352 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Missouri State Bears 84% and Sam Houston Bearkats 16%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Missouri State Bears won 2 of their last 5 and Sam Houston Bearkats won 1 of their last 5. Missouri State Bears come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Missouri State Bears won 5 of their last 9 games at home. Sam Houston Bearkats won 1 of their last 8 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Missouri State Bears score 25.4 points a game and let in 27.3. Sam Houston Bearkats score 17.7 and let in 32.3. Their recent games average 52.7 and 50.0 points in total.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Missouri St to win has a 84% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Sam Houston Bearkats vs Missouri State Bears: Missouri State Bears are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Missouri State Bears host Sam Houston Bearkats in the College Football on Tue 27 Oct, 20:00 at Robert W. Plaster Stadium. Our prediction for Sam Houston Bearkats vs Missouri State Bears is Missouri State Bears to win, with a 84% chance. We project Sam Houston Bearkats 17.6 and Missouri State Bears 33.7. Our best bet is Missouri St to win at -535.

Missouri State Bears form

Missouri State Bears have 8 wins and 9 losses in their last 17 games, with 432 points scored and 464 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, W, newest first.

Sam Houston Bearkats form

Sam Houston Bearkats have 3 wins and 12 losses in their last 15 games, with 265 points scored and 485 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win and 7 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Sam Houston Bearkats to score about 17.6 points and Missouri State Bears about 33.7. That points to Missouri State Bears to win. Our safest bet is Missouri St to win at -535.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 17 games in all competitions.

Missouri StSam Houston
Games played1715
Wins83
Losses912
Points scored432265
Points conceded464485
Scored per game25.417.7
Conceded per game27.332.3
Home record5W 4L2W 5L
Away record3W 5L1W 7L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Missouri St spreadCoversFair
Missouri St -23.532%+209
Missouri St -19.542%+139
Missouri St -16.549%+103
Missouri St -13.557%-131
Missouri St -9.566%-196
Total pointsOverUnder
44.566%34%
48.557%43%
51.549%51%
54.542%58%
58.533%67%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Missouri St +3.5 wins if Missouri St win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
College Football

Austin Romaine Scores Two Defensive Touchdowns In Seven Seconds For Texas Tech

Texas Tech linebacker Austin Romaine scored two interception return touchdowns on consecutive passes in a wild sequence against Sam Houston.

26 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Sam Houston Bearkats vs Missouri State Bears?

Our prediction for Sam Houston Bearkats vs Missouri State Bears is Missouri State Bears to win, with a 84% chance. We project Sam Houston Bearkats 17.6 and Missouri State Bears 33.7. Our best bet is Missouri St to win at -535.

What is the projected score for Sam Houston Bearkats vs Missouri State Bears?

We project Sam Houston Bearkats 17.6 and Missouri State Bears 33.7, about 51.3 points in total.

How are Missouri State Bears playing?

Missouri State Bears have 8 wins and 9 losses in their last 17 games, with 432 points scored and 464 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, W, newest first.

How are Sam Houston Bearkats playing?

Sam Houston Bearkats have 3 wins and 12 losses in their last 15 games, with 265 points scored and 485 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win and 7 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Sam Houston Bearkats vs Missouri State Bears?

Missouri St to win at -535, with a 84% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Missouri St against Sam Houston. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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