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Predictions › United States › Samford Bulldogs vs UAB Blazers
College FootballSat 3 Oct, 15:30 United States time

Samford Bulldogs vs UAB Blazers prediction

Protective Stadium

Samford BulldogsAway
9.9 : 40.6
projected points
UAB BlazersHome
5%Samford
95%UAB
Eagle safe pickUAB -20.5
-291

Quick answer

Our prediction for Samford Bulldogs vs UAB Blazers is UAB Blazers to win, with a 95% chance. We project Samford Bulldogs 9.9 and UAB Blazers 40.6. Our best bet is UAB -20.5 at -291.

Prediction
UAB Blazers to win
Chance
95%
Projected score
Samford Bulldogs 10, UAB Blazers 41
Projected total
50.5 points
Best bet
UAB -20.5 at -291

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

UAB -20.5
74% chanceFair price -2911 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives UAB Blazers 95% and Samford Bulldogs 5%. The bookmakers agree and make UAB Blazers the favourite at -10000.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    UAB Blazers won 3 of their last 5 and Samford Bulldogs won 0 of their last 2. UAB Blazers come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Scoring

    UAB Blazers score 23.4 points a game and let in 34.4. Samford Bulldogs score 3.5 and let in 45.0. Their recent games average 57.9 and 48.5 points in total, and the market line is 50.5.

  4. 4
    The safest bet

    UAB -20.5 has a 74% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Samfordrest between games-3%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Samford Bulldogs vs UAB Blazers: UAB Blazers are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

UAB Blazers host Samford Bulldogs in the College Football on Sat 3 Oct, 15:30 at Protective Stadium. Our prediction for Samford Bulldogs vs UAB Blazers is UAB Blazers to win, with a 95% chance. We project Samford Bulldogs 9.9 and UAB Blazers 40.6. Our best bet is UAB -20.5 at -291.

UAB Blazers form

UAB Blazers have 5 wins and 9 losses in their last 14 games, with 328 points scored and 482 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 3 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, W, newest first.

Samford Bulldogs form

Samford Bulldogs have 0 wins and 2 losses in their last 2 games, with 7 points scored and 90 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins and 2 losses from 2. Their last 2 results read L, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Samford Bulldogs to score about 9.9 points and UAB Blazers about 40.6. That points to UAB Blazers to win. Our safest bet is UAB -20.5 at -291.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 14 games in all competitions.

UABSamford
Games played142
Wins50
Losses92
Points scored3287
Points conceded48290
Scored per game23.43.5
Conceded per game34.445.0
Home record4W 3Ln/a
Away record1W 6L0W 2L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
UAB to win95%-1725-10000-4.5%
Samford to win1%+9900+3000-69.0%
UAB -30.547%+112-110-10.1%
Samford +30.547%+115-110-11.2%
Over 50.5 points47%+114-110-10.7%
Under 50.5 points47%+114-110-10.7%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

UAB spreadCoversFair
UAB -37.533%+200
UAB -33.543%+133
UAB -30.550%-101
UAB -27.558%-137
UAB -23.567%-205
Total pointsOverUnder
43.567%33%
47.557%43%
50.550%50%
53.543%57%
57.533%67%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. UAB +3.5 wins if UAB win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Samford Bulldogs vs UAB Blazers?

Our prediction for Samford Bulldogs vs UAB Blazers is UAB Blazers to win, with a 95% chance. We project Samford Bulldogs 9.9 and UAB Blazers 40.6. Our best bet is UAB -20.5 at -291.

What is the projected score for Samford Bulldogs vs UAB Blazers?

We project Samford Bulldogs 9.9 and UAB Blazers 40.6, about 50.5 points in total.

How are UAB Blazers playing?

UAB Blazers have 5 wins and 9 losses in their last 14 games, with 328 points scored and 482 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 3 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, W, newest first.

How are Samford Bulldogs playing?

Samford Bulldogs have 0 wins and 2 losses in their last 2 games, with 7 points scored and 90 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins and 2 losses from 2. Their last 2 results read L, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Samford Bulldogs vs UAB Blazers?

UAB -20.5 at -291, with a 74% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in UAB against Samford. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
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