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Predictions › Italy › Sampdoria vs Catanzaro
Serie BSat 19 Sept, 15:15 Italy time

Sampdoria vs Catanzaro prediction

Stadio Luigi Ferraris

SampdoriaHome
1.36 : 1.17
expected goals
CatanzaroAway
40%Sampdoria
28%Draw
31%Catanzaro
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.31

Quick answer

Our prediction for Sampdoria vs Catanzaro is Sampdoria to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.31.

Prediction
Sampdoria to win
Chance
40%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Sampdoria 1.4, Catanzaro 1.2
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.31
Both teams to score
52%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
77% chanceFair price 1.312 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
13% chanceFair price 7.451 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Sampdoria 40%, the draw 28% and Catanzaro 31%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Sampdoria took 4 points from their last 5 games and Catanzaro took 4 from 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Sampdoria won 5 of their last 10 games at home. Catanzaro won 1 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Sampdoria score 0.9 goals a game and let in 1.3. Catanzaro score 1.6 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of Sampdoria games and 12 of Catanzaro games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Sampdoria won 0 and Catanzaro won 0 with 2 draws. The last one ended Catanzaro 0, Sampdoria 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Sampdoriarecent form-6%
  • Catanzarorecent form-4%
  • Catanzarorest between games-5%
Sampdoria form L L D L LCatanzaro form W L L L LHome edge in this league 32% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Sampdoria vs Catanzaro: Sampdoria shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Sampdoria host Catanzaro in the Serie B on Sat 19 Sept, 15:15 at Stadio Luigi Ferraris. Our prediction for Sampdoria vs Catanzaro is Sampdoria to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.31.

Sampdoria form

Sampdoria have 7 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 18 goals scored and 26 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, L, W, newest first.

Catanzaro form

Catanzaro have 6 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 33 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 4 draws and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Sampdoria won 0, Catanzaro won 0 and 2 games ended level. Last time out it finished Catanzaro 0, Sampdoria 0.

Our call

We expect Sampdoria to score about 1.4 goals and Catanzaro about 1.2. That points to Sampdoria to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.31. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.45.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

SampdoriaCatanzaro
Games played2020
Wins76
Draws56
Losses88
Goals scored1833
Goals conceded2633
Scored per game0.91.6
Conceded per game1.31.6
Home record5W 2D 3L5W 2D 2L
Away record2W 3D 5L1W 4D 6L
Clean sheets30%20%
Both teams scored45%65%
Over 2.5 goals45%60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals73%1.37
Over 2.5 goals47%2.15
Over 3.5 goals25%4.00
Both teams to score52%1.92
Sampdoria or Draw69%1.46
Catanzaro or Draw60%1.68
Sampdoria to win and Over 2.523%4.34
Catanzaro to win and Over 2.517%5.74
Sampdoria clean sheet31%3.23
Catanzaro clean sheet26%3.91

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.4%
1-010.0%
0-08.7%
2-18.6%
0-18.5%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Sampdoria vs Catanzaro?

Our prediction for Sampdoria vs Catanzaro is Sampdoria to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.31.

What is the score prediction for Sampdoria vs Catanzaro?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 0-0. We expect Sampdoria to score 1.4 goals and Catanzaro 1.2.

Will both teams score in Sampdoria vs Catanzaro?

Both teams to score has a 52% chance. Both sides scored in 9 of Sampdoria last 20 games and 13 of Catanzaro last 20.

How are Sampdoria playing?

Sampdoria have 7 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 18 goals scored and 26 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, L, W, newest first.

How are Catanzaro playing?

Catanzaro have 6 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 33 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 4 draws and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, D, newest first.

What happened when Sampdoria and Catanzaro last met?

It ended Catanzaro 0, Sampdoria 0. In the last 2 meetings Sampdoria won 0 and Catanzaro won 0.

What is the best bet for Sampdoria vs Catanzaro?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.31, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Sampdoria against Catanzaro. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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